You are asking him to accept observation in lieu of his religion, the models. That is a hell of a lot to ask a zealot to accept.
No, little cretin, walleyed is asking us to accept a couple of un-referenced pictures of some snow as evidence for or against anything. If you think those pictures 'prove' something about the scientifically measured ice loss in the Arctic, then I guess you're just as retarded and ignorant as walleyed. It seems like having an IQ below 80 is some kind of requirement for getting into your denier cult. Or maybe you just have to be that stupid to be gullible enough to fall for the anti-science bullcrap that is the foundation of your little cult of reality denial.
Unreferenced or not show us ANYPLACE ON THE PLANET WHERE 85 FEET OF ICE IS NO BIG DEAL! You fools are burning in a pit of gasoline and think the little bit of smoke is important! You guys are a hoot!![]()
Never mind this thundering asshole that appeared here on behest of "real science".
He seems to know his place in the food chain though, he is at the end where the excrement comes out, and as they say, "You are what You eat"..
He is a typical bottom feeder and it shows in the "literature & science" that he quoted
![11Fingers.gif](/proxy.php?image=http%3A%2F%2Fi1188.photobucket.com%2Falbums%2Fz416%2Fpolarbear49%2F11Fingers.gif%3Ft%3D1302563802&hash=348f7c45a4a6d3c328a799d7d2d9561f)
greenfyre.wordpress.com
greenfyre.wordpress.comskeptics-contrarians-or-deniers/"Skeptics, Contrarians, or Deniers?
greenfyre.wordpress.comthat-denier-vs-septic-thing-again/#more-2959"]That “Denier vs Septic” thing again
greenfyre.wordpress.com/Why real skeptics detest global warming Deniers[/url]
anarchist606.blogspot.com/2009/02/denialism-climate-change-holocaust.html"]Denialism: Climate Change, Holocaust & Evolution
one-blue-marble.com/blog/?p=302"Climate Change Fundamentalism
Our latest forum addition and the URLs he quotes is a perfect example, ....I awarded "OldRocks" this "prize", now I realize I was mistaken and stand corrected...
even "OldRocks" URL-references are quite a few rungs higher up the chickenshit ladder than what`s being posted here since this latest moron showed up here.
Sadly not even the staunchest defenders of man made global warming read up on what the academics of man made GW have to say...
I waited and waited...but I guess the "science" behind the "Modtran" Computer model, that the entire GW "science" is based on is far too complicated for them to comprehend, nevermind the "explanation" how the academics which created "Modtran" are trying in vain to defend it...
So let`s go to the horses mouth...:
Here is an on line Calculator for Modtran...:
Modtran Infrared Atmospheric Radiation Code
And here is one of Modtran staunchest defenders has to say about it...
You can read the whole thing Yourself, I`ll just quote the parts here where Modtran TOTALLY BOMBED OUT..
Greenhouse effect revisited… | Climate Change
Every once in a while it is worth reviewing the basic physics behind the greenhouse effect and global warming. Sometimes all the debate about global warming in the media loses focus of the fact that the world really is governed by the laws of physics. Unfortunately, many internet explanations get dumbed down to the point of having an atmosphere that serves as a single “slab” between the ground and space, and has a bunch of colorful arrows coming out of it and bouncing off it, etc. This is a useless explanation, and gives no justice to understanding what is happening.
Well so far he is 100% ABSOLUTELY SPOT ON CORRECT...
And then he commits the first major error...:
This post is not meant to discuss why greenhouse gases are greenhouse gases. But it should be noted that the bulk of the atmosphere, including N2, O2, and Argon are not infrared active molecule
And inadvertently advertized that he has absolutely no clue about Infrared Absorption, lest has he ever performed any measurements himself...because the exact opposite is true..:
![absorbspec.gif](/proxy.php?image=http%3A%2F%2Fmembers.shaw.ca%2Fsch25%2FFOS%2Fabsorbspec.gif&hash=f3c76abf4a934dbe18b9df2ba5320ac2)
I have to point out again and again, that the CO2 absorption in these illustrations IS NOT AT THE ACTUAL CONCENTRATIONS WE HAVE IN OUR ATMOSPHERE, but are absorption curves in a concentration range where IR can actually DETECT CO2, at
~ 3% concentration[
But let`s cut this guy some slack here, because he is not committing any intentional and outrageous fraud here...and so far the the mistakes are not of a serious nature
But they soon will be, and again that`s not his fault, but Modtran is at fault here:
![]()
in radiative terms, this is:
http://s0.wp.com/latex.php?latex=\s...ff})+=++150++W+m^{-2}&bg=ffffff&fg=000000&s=0
First huge mistake here, the equation is the right one , but the problem is that a wrong value has been fed into the modified Stefan Bolzman equation
He started out by saying that the "internet equations have been dumbed down" and then he does the exact same thing himself and this pesty little REAL WORLD detail already got lost on the way to this point...:
![350px-SolarZenithAngleCalc.png](/proxy.php?image=http%3A%2F%2Fupload.wikimedia.org%2Fwikipedia%2Fcommons%2Fthumb%2Fd%2Fd3%2FSolarZenithAngleCalc.png%2F350px-SolarZenithAngleCalc.png&hash=88d02b2ec098965f7336d9c3d45e903d)
![300px-Seasons.too.png](/proxy.php?image=http%3A%2F%2Fupload.wikimedia.org%2Fwikipedia%2Fen%2Fthumb%2F5%2F55%2FSeasons.too.png%2F300px-Seasons.too.png&hash=41b6e5b3913ceb57442b50b807c95852)
So even this good fellow is not only using the "dumbed down disc" but is also using the Planck`s equation in a totally wrong way...actually he is not...but "Modtran" does....
....:
One could compute the temperature change for a perturbation in the OLR for just a change in CO2, leaving other climate variables constant.
http://s0.wp.com/latex.php?latex=\l...0.27+K(W+m^{-2})^{-1}&bg=ffffff&fg=000000&s=0
which gives a ~1 C rise in temperature for a 4 W m-2 radiative forcing. This would be the temperature response to a CO2 doubling if only the Planck radiative feedback were important. Unfortunately, life is not that easy, and you need to figure in the feedbacks from water vapor, clouds, albedo, etc.
And this is were the Modtran error is really HUGE, because a TOTALLY WRONG VALUE was fed into the model at this point...here is what should have been fed into Modtran...:
![Solar_Spectrum.png](/proxy.php?image=http%3A%2F%2Forg.ntnu.no%2Fsolarcells%2Fpics%2Fchap2%2FSolar_Spectrum.png&hash=9bf124fe6e43dac2ceacf2a152a49b1f)
The integral of the area between 1900 to 2300 nanometers and not the values "GW science" fed in.
Even that value, the integral of 1900-2300 nm would be way too high, because it includes spectral bands where CO2 absorption is way way weaker than at the "analytical wavenumber" where CO2 absorption actually follows Beer Lambert`s law,...increasing absorption with an increase of CO2 concentration...and the very same Max Planck Institute in Germany, that is named after Max Planck has tried over and over again to point out this serious flaw "Modtran" is using...:
The Climate Catastrophe - A Spectroscopic Artifact
![]()
The radiative forcing for doubling can be calculated by using this figure. If we allocate an absorption of 32 W/m2 [14] over 180º steradiant to the total integral (area) of the n3 band as observed from satellite measurements (Hanel et al., 1971) and applied to a standard atmosphere, and take an increment of 0.17%, the absorption is 0.054 W/m2 - and not 4.3 W/m2.
This is roughly 80 times less than IPCC's radiative forcing.
If we allocate 7.2 degC as greenhouse effect for the present CO2 (as asserted by Kondratjew and Moskalenko in J.T. Houghton's book The Global Climate [14]), the doubling effect should be 0.17% which is 0.012 degC only. If we take 1/80 of the 1.2 degC that result from Stefan-Boltzmann's law with a radiative forcing of 4.3 W/m2, we get a similar value of 0.015 degC.
Kondratjew and Moskalenko are referring to their own work [15] - but when we checked their Russian book on that page, it turned out that this was nothing but an index of terms and nowhere else a deduction of this broadly referred 7.2 K figure [16] could be found. It should be mentioned that the radiative forcing for the present CO2 concentration varies considerably among references. K.P. Shine [17] specifies a value of 12 K whereas according to R. Lindzen CO2 only accounts for about 5% of the natural 33 degC greenhouse effect. This 1.65 degC is less than a quarter of the value used by IPCC and leads to a doubling sensitivity of 0.3 to 0.5 degC only [18].
What is really true? Is there anybody to present a scientific derivation or a reference where this figure is not copied or just stated from assumptions, but properly calculated?
And I wish to add, that REAL SCIENTISTS have been overly polite in their statements, ....
So far we have only discussed the data which is "pre-calculated" thus grossly exaggerated what "Modtran" is being fed...
But Modtran is really a total joke, as with the Clausius Clapeyron equation "Modtran" is using as if the real world were a closed system like a vacuum distillation apparatus or an enclosed autoclave reaction chamber, the way Modtran calculates the water vapor enthalpy effects...
Modtran does the same thing even way way worse with the Infrared Energy, after it has been absorbed...and the bulk of the absorption, by the way is by the surface, not the atmosphere....
Modtran goes on and uses thermodynamic coefficients for our N2, O2, H2O vapor and the whiff of CO2 that`s there the same stupid way as Modtran is using the Clausius Clapeyron equation...
it uses the specific caloric values AGAIN as if our REAL WORLD was a closed system, like the calorimeters we use to measure specific heat ....how many joules energy it takes to raise a substance...in this case our atmosphere by 1 degree Celsius...:
In an isothermal atmosphere, you could not get a greenhouse effect.
![]()
In modern concentrations, every doubling of CO2 will reduce the OLR by about 4 W m-2. This doesn’t hold at very low concentrations as we’ve seen, but also at very high concentrations. The phenomena of band saturation also allows us to say something interesting when comparing two greenhouse gases side-by-side.
Water vapor, on the other hand, is controlled by temperature. I have a rather long post discussing the radiative feedbacks which are important for understanding the sensitivity of climate, which defines the temperature response per unit radiative forcing. The amount of water vapor in the atmosphere is not set by sources and sinks, but has an upper limit on its concentration until it precipitates out. Because of this, the non-condensable greenhouse gases act as the backbone upon which water vapor and clouds can really do their stuff. Without them, you would also get a near collapse of the terrestrial greenhouse effect as water vapor content declined nearly exponentially with a declining temperature.
the Modtran model......
![]()
Temperature does not equal heat. Ask a plasma physicist There is no understanding about how heat capacity of the surface gas is impacted. Second, there is no discussion of the conductive nature of gases when contacting a surface. Note that there is more O2 and N2 and these gases can absorb thermal energy from the earth just by contacting it’s surface. Don’t believe me…take your vacuum thermos, fill it with hot water, and pump in some N2 to eliminate the vacuum. No more hot water 1 hour later. Why?? A nitrogen molecule can absorb all manner of thermal kinetic energy. If a CO2 molecule happens to get exicited with a 15 um photon, rare though they are, it can give it up with the same photon or give it up thermally. The post fails in other areas, it’s a known fact that the sun emits at 15um and all other wavelengths that are of interest. If more CO2 is preventing that energy from reaching the ground then the earth is cooler to start. Net change…zero!! In fact, if that energy is absorbed higher up in the atmosphere the earth will be cooler. Lastly, 5th grade science students were given a mirror, a lamp without a shade, and a white piece of paper. The mirror was held at a distance away, perpendicular to the plane between the paper and lamp. The paper is viewed without the mirror and with the mirror in place. The purpose of the mirror was, you guessed it, to simulate radiative forcing. If radiative forcing were real, the reflected light from the paper would get re-reflected off the mirror and back on to the paper and make it look brighter. Guess what didn’t happen. Remember this folks, a concensus of scientists said a rocket wouldn’t work in a vacuum. There’s nothing to push against….
And there You have it....
Our Math Professor who by sheer coincidience was also my Physiscs (Herr Professor (Dr.Hallermayer.....Dr. in Pysics, Professor in Math) alwas said,
There are those few who comprehend Math and Physics, these don`t have to memorize anything...and all the others don`t comprehend it have to memorize everything, or copy other people`s work..
unfortunately both kinds will graduate....which is in effect a disgrace to science
And so right he was....
Because there are a lot of people out there who would understand REAL SCIENCE, but never had the good fortune to attend University...
![this%20old%20house.jpg](/proxy.php?image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ohmegasalvage.com%2Fimages%2Fthis%2520old%2520house.jpg&hash=dd67c9cfac436d3ff501187002356d92)
and any one of them could have built a Modtran Model, far better than the "science memorizers" which have no understanding built....:
Because any of these guys could have told the Modtran creators, what happens in the real world. Even a house is a more closed system than our planet...but never the less this is what happens...:
and any Power Company, even You Yourself can verify this with the "Barlow wheel" on Your Hydro-meter...
clock the amount of energy it actually does take to change the temperature inside Your house by say 2 degree increments...
CMHC (Canada) has done that for You already...so don`t bother...:
Starting at upping by +3 degrees in a modern well insulated building
raising by 3 deg C..........: needs + 3 % more Energy
by 5 needs + 15% more
by 7 21
by 11 deg C 33 % more Energy...
Anyone who UNDERSTANDS Calculus (versus the memorizers) can tell You right off the bat
that when an increment of delta x =2 and delta Y keeps doubling, albeit Y= 2 X, that the root function of the relationship will be Y= X squared...!
And so it is indeed...:
Heat Loss from Buildings
![]()
H = Ht + Hv + Hi (1)
where
H = overall heat loss (W)
Ht = heat loss due to transmission through walls, windows, doors, floors and more (W)
Hv = heat loss caused by ventilation (W)
Hi = heat loss caused by infiltration (W)
And this is where the memorizer science grads have a problem...they are unable to understand how to apply this principle...
Because in the REAL WORLD like our planet, there is such a thing as the "standard lapse rate"...any aviator knows about it(...right Westwall...?), and you don`t have to climb very high even over Florida in the summer and the temp is - 30 deg C in no time...
So in the real world the "engineering toolbox" equation applies...:
H2-H1= H1*H1
H2 is Your "inside temperature" in this case @ 0 a.g.l. and H1 is the temperature by which this "Modtran" model is supposed to be raised,.......and H1 squared would of course be the energy required in the REAL WORLD to do that...
And as You can see, Modtran uses only the simpleton linear equation,...as it were in a CLOSED SYSTEM....i.e. double the temperature increase requires only double the energy all the way up to when all the polar ice is melted and New York will be flooded.
Any one of the guys from "This Old House"
![bioCrew.jpg](/proxy.php?image=http%3A%2F%2Fimg2.timeinc.net%2Ftoh%2Fi%2Fbio%2FbioCrew.jpg&hash=0045c5762b6d58ca9572cb3f8a928dfc)
could have built a "Modtran model house" that would have been way more intelligent than this retarded piece of virtual reality computer model crap "GW Science" has come up with
Manitoba Hydro for ex. comes on request and lets You look at Your house with passive infrared to spot the very same "black body" radiation as in the Planck equation...
...as you increase the thermostat setting during a winter day....
That has absolutely nothing to do with "warm air leaking out"....that looks entirely different on passive IR...
Last edited: