Andylusion
Platinum Member
- Jan 23, 2014
- 21,320
- 6,434
Sorry for jumping in... but I am not entirely sure what you are talking about.
Do you mean the sub-prime crash of 2007-2009? Because that was almost entirely government caused.
I still disagree with the bailouts (which actually were not a bailout at all), but there is no question it was government caused.
So you say "almost". We agree there was both sides at fault. Then the only discussion is how much each side is at fault.
Is that really worthy to argue?
Well yes, because I would say 99% was government, and the main "fault" of the banks as it were, was trusting government.
Government was suing banks to make bad loans.
Government was pushing banks to make bad loans.
Government incentivized banks to make bad loans.
Government even required banks to make bad loans in order to get merger approvals.
Government even guaranteed sub-prime loans.
And the problem is, with all this concerted effort to push banks to make bad loans, then you want to point at the banks and say they should not have done that. Well.... while technically true, that is entirely unfair.
Without government intervention, the sub-prime crash would never have happened. Because prior to 1997, the government didn't make any direct overt moves to push sub-prime loans, and before 1997, they were a niche market.
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Prior to 1997, sub-prime loans were tiny, and the market was flat. There was no real significant growth, until the government got involved in 1997.
No bank was sued to make a bad loan. When you start like this, I stop.
From 1998
"They would not have qualified for loan, but for this affirmative action by the banks."
"To take a greater risk."
"which will be a higher risk, and I'm sure will be a higher default rate than the rest of the portfolio"
HUD being led by Andrew Cuomo,
Bill Clinton, openly saying that the money lent to people who did not qualify, was mostly done under his administration.
Obama 2007 at NASDAQ "Subprime lending started off as a good idea - helping Americans buy homes who couldn't previously afford to."
https://2008election.procon.org/sourcefiles/Obama20070917.pdf
How Obama Bankrupted Black Homeowners | Investor's Business Daily
The pressure worked. In 1994, Clinton's top bank regulators signed a landmark anti-redlining policy that declared traditional mortgage underwriting standards racist and mandated banks apply easier lending rules for minorities.
John Allison wrote a book:
https://www.amazon.com/Financial-Crisis-Free-Market-Cure/dp/0071806776&tag=ff0d01-20
In this he describes how he was an executive at a bank in the late 90s, and had regulators say that their standards were discriminator, and how they had to change them. The regulators never explained how they were discriminatory, nor what they should do to improve, only that they needed changed.
The fact that the Clinton Administration was suing banks to force them to make bad loans, is beyond debate. It is a documented, video'd, recorded and published fact.
Once again, you have the right to be wrong... .but if you deny this, that's all you are..... is wrong.
I haven't argued that the government didn't push for lower standards. The banks did it when they were freed up and the government gaurantees the loans.
Greenspan said his biggest mistake in trusting that the banks would do the right thing.
Greenspan, was a brilliant idiot. You can't trust people to do the right thing, when government is directly suing people to do the wrong thing.
The banks did it when they were freed up and the government gaurantees the loans.
And there is where the rub comes. If the government guaranteed the loans..... then the banks didn't do it.
The banks were always 'freed up'. There was never anything that prevented banks from making a sub-prime loan. Any bank could have made a subprime loan before the 90s, or the 80s, or even the 70s. Nothing ever prevented a bank from making a bad loan.
They simply didn't. Why? Because it was a bad loan. Without government backing the loan, they would have lost money. So they simply didn't make the loan.
It was government, not the banks, which changed the market incentives, which caused banks to make bad loans.
This is why I say it's 99% government. You are pointing to 1% of the cause. If government had not guaranteed those loans.... we wouldn't be discussing a subprime crash, because it never would have happened.
Before 1997, when Freddie Mac guaranteed sub-prime loans, and allowed them to be bundled with prime loans.... subprime was a niche market. Flat growth from the graph I posted before.