Zagg
small el libertarian
And if she did - would she fragment the "R" vote, or win?
No, I don't think she could. I think at this point, conservatives are so out for Obama's blood they'd never go with a third party.
Case in point. After Democrats became fully infected by Bush Derangement Syndrome, Nader ran again in 2004, but he got a lot less votes than he did in 2000.
Also, putting together a third party movement would take a lot of effort and a lot of money.
Palin as never struck me as someone who wants to work that hard.
But isn't said third party already in place, i.e., the Tea Party? In my estimation, it's just a matter of knitting together all the organizations.
Although some TPers have claimed that it's not a Repub movement, basically, it's a Repub movement. I think that the chances that they'd bolt the party are very slim. That said, a lot of them will be very unhappy if Romney gets the nomination. Mad enough to bolt? I doubt it, but who knows.