Iowa Caucus Prediction Thread

[Lucy Hamilton]

rcp Clinton 50.3 Sanders 49.0 O'Malley time for a concession speech!

"Concede" what?

There's no need for him to concede in Iowa, he's not even in the running. As for the rest of the campaign - Iowa is only 6 out of 538 electoral votes.

Oh--in which State O'Malley is going to win?
Maryland? Thats along time to go without political momentum.

I didn't say his odds were high.

Americans have saying:

"The chances are between slim and none and slim just left town"

 

[Political Junky]

MSNBC projects Ted Cruz

 

[NYcarbineer]

The story should be that Rubio as the establishment Republican over achieved.

 

[Toro]

The big winner tonight is Rubio!

 

[Lucy Hamilton]

I think it over. 99% counted?

Cruz wins 28% DT 24% Rub23%

This close between Trump and Rubio.

 

[skye]

did Cruz win? for sure?

 

[Vigilante]

99% of GOP caucus in:

Cruz 28%, Trump 24%, Rubio 23%, Carson 9%.

BTW The Hildebeast holds a 1% lead over the Sandwich!

 

[skye]

how is that possible

 

[Lucy Hamilton]

did Cruz win? for sure?

Yes, but apparently Cruz, Trump and Rubio all have 5 delegates and so still reason to be optimistic regarding Trump.

 

[Lucy Hamilton]

99% of GOP caucus in:

Cruz 28%, Trump 24%, Rubio 23%, Carson 9%.

BTW The Hildebeast holds a 1% lead over the Sandwich!

Rubio is too near for comfort though.

 

[TemplarKormac]

Cruz wins.

 

[leftwinger]

CNN says Rubio winning "establishment" Repub vote.......he getting same voters Romney got.

 

[Lucy Hamilton]

CNN says Rubio winning "establishment" Repub vote.......he getting same voters Romney got.

Okay, so what does this mean? Same voters as Romney, this is Liberal Republicans?

 

[skye]

So

The Goldman Sachs Cruz connections don't matter ...to Americans?

 

[aaronleland]

rcp Clinton 50.3 Sanders 49.0 O'Malley time for a concession speech!

"Concede" what?

There's no need for him to concede in Iowa, he's not even in the running. As for the rest of the campaign - Iowa is only 6 out of 538 electoral votes.

I posted earlier that CNN has reported that sources say O'Malley will suspend his campaign in the next 40 minutes or so. Guess we'll see.

I wouldn't be surprised if he does, but there is a difference between suspending his campaign and conceding.

He could resume his campaign at some point in the future if he suspends it - not so much if he concedes.

Candidates always say they are "suspending" their campaigns. They never actually jump back into the race.

 

[Political Junky]

Clinton declares victory

 

[Lucy Hamilton]

So

The Goldman Sachs Cruz connections don't matter ...to Americans?

It would, but the MSM plays it down, for obvious reasons, also Americans have forgotten 2008 and Goldman Sachs part as Robber Barons in that.

 

[Tom Horn]

Time for Jeb! to call in the dogs and piss on the fire....3%.

 

[Vigilante]

Cruz is following exactly in the footsteps of Santorum & Huckabee.

 

[leftwinger]

Okay, so what does this mean? Same voters as Romney, this is Liberal Republicans?

Iowa is old fashioned? Many vote R establishment no matter what it appears. I don't think that holds up other states? few big cites, but many farmlands. I not expert. just a thought.