bripat9643
Diamond Member
- Apr 1, 2011
- 170,166
- 47,312
If the British had won, slavery most likely would have ended by the 1840s or the 1850s, if not sooner.
That's a lot of maybes. First off, the British didn't fight the colonists to abolish slavery. Or to protect it. But to secure their territory. The abolition movement didn't begin among the British until after the Revolutionary War was already over. Making any issue of slavery irrelevant to the issues of the war even hypothetically without a silver Delorian or a blue police box.
Immediately invalidating your argument.
Second, the Slavery Abolition Act of 1833 was motivated directly by the slave revolts in Jamaica in 1831. With the Colonies massively strengthening British military strength in the region its entirely possible that the revolts would have happened much later if at all. Or happening, would have caused far less damage and not motivated the Abolition Act of 1833.
Third, the Abolish Act of 1833 paid 20,000,000 pounds sterling in compensation for approximately 1 million slaves throughout the empire (with notable exceptions). There were DOUBLE that number in the Colonies alone. Meaning that the British empire would have triple its outlay for the same Abolition Act or dilute compensation by 2/3rds. There was massive resistance to the act based on both its massive cost (40% of all outlays for an entire year) and the low prince being offered.
The labor value of a slave in 1833 was about $70,000 dollars a year in 2011 dollars. The amount of money being offered in compensation was a one time payment of roughly $22,000 in 2011 dollars (19 pounds sterling per slave in 1833). And people almost lost their shit at how low it was.
Your assumption would cut that to roughly $7,300 per slave as you'd be tripling the number of slaves. Reducing the one time payment to 1/9th the slave's per year labor value.
People wouldn't 'almost' lose their shit. I argue people wouldn't have taken it. And I'd argue that the British would have known this. So when assessing the costs of abolishing slavery vs the benefits, the costs would have been far, far greater in your hypothetical time line. Even further reducing the odds of your hypothetical time line matching up with the real one.
The federal government sure saved a lot of money by starting a war that cost $5.2 billions in 1860 dollars, killing 850,000 people and utterly destroying half the country.
Yeah, that was a good decision!
![rofl :rofl: :rofl:](/styles/smilies/rofl.gif)