ScienceRocks
Democrat all the way!
- Banned
- #841
I will go as far as to say that this year shouldn't be within the top 20 if a strong nina develops before the years out. Going to be a very cold year.
Seriously? The facts seem to indicate otherwise:
January 2011 Temperature anomaly
(temp above 1971 - 2000 baseline average)
The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature for January 2011 was 0.38°C (0.68°F) above the 20th century average of 12.0°C (53.6°F). This is the 17th warmest January on record.
State of the Climate | Global Analysis | January 2011
February 2011 Temperature anomaly
The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature for February 2011 was 0.40°C (0.72°F) above the 20th century average of 12.1°C (53.9°F). This ties for the 17th warmest such value on record.
State of the Climate | Global Analysis | February 2011
March 2011 Temperature anomaly
The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature for March 2011 was the 13th warmest on record at 13.19°C (55.78°F), which is 0.49°C (0.88°F) above the 20th century average of 12.7°C (54.9°F). This was also the 35th consecutive March with global land and ocean temperatures above the 20th century average.
State of the Climate | Global Analysis | March 2011
April 2011 Temperature anomaly
The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature for April 2011 was the seventh warmest April on record at 14.29°C (57.76°F), which is 0.59°C (1.06°F) above the 20th century average of 13.7°C (56.7°F). This was also the 35th consecutive April with global land and ocean temperatures above the 20th century average.
State of the Climate | Global Analysis | April 2011
May 2011 Temperature anomaly
The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature for May 2011 was 0.50°C (0.90°F) above the 20th century average of 14.8°C (58.6°F). This is the 10th warmest such value since records began in 1880. For MarchMay 2011, the combined global land and ocean surface temperature was 0.53°C (0.95°F) above averagealso the 10th warmest MarchMay on record. The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature for JanuaryMay 2011 was the 12th warmest on record. The year-to-date period was 0.48°C (0.86°F) warmer than the 20th century average.
State of the Climate | Global Analysis | May 2011
June 2011 Temperature anomaly
The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature for June 2011 was the seventh warmest on record at 16.08°C (60.94°F), which is 0.58°C (1.04°F) above the 20th century average of 15.5°C (59.9°F). June 2011 was the 316th consecutive month with a global temperature above the 20th century average. The last month with below-average temperature was February 1985. The June worldwide average land surface temperature was 0.89°C (1.60°F) above the 20th century average of 13.3°C (55.9°F)the fourth warmest on record. The global average ocean surface temperature was the 10th warmest June on record, at 0.47°C (0.85°F) above average. Neither El Niño nor La Niña conditions were present during June 2011. According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, these ENSO-neutral conditions are expected to continue into the Northern Hemisphere fall 2011. The first half of 2011 (JanuaryJune) was the 11th warmest on record for the combined global land and ocean surface temperature. Separately, the worldwide average ocean temperature was also the 11th warmest JanuaryJune and the worldwide average land temperature was the 12th warmest such period.
State of the Climate | Global Analysis | June 2011
July 2011 Temperature anomaly
The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature for July 2011 was the seventh warmest on record, at 16.37°C (61.43°F), which is 0.57°C (1.03°F) above the 20th century average of 15.8°C (60.4°F). The July worldwide land surface temperature was 0.84°C (1.51°F) above the 20th century average of 14.3°C (57.8°F)the fifth warmest July on record. The worldwide ocean surface temperature was 0.47°C (0.85°F) above the 20th century average of 16.4°C (61.5°F)the 11th warmest July on record. Neither El Niño nor La Niña conditions were present during July 2011. According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, ENSO-neutral conditions are expected to continue into the Northern Hemisphere fall 2011. For the year-to-date, the global combined land and ocean surface temperature of 14.31°C (57.82°F) was the 11th warmest JanuaryJuly period on record. This value is 0.51°C (0.92°F) above the 20th century average.
State of the Climate | Global Analysis | July 2011
That looks like 17th, 17th, 13th, 7th, 10th, 7th, and 7th, with a combined average already equalling the 11th warmest year on record with a combined anomaly of 0.51°C (0.92°F) above the 20th century average, and you are predicting this year won't make the top 20?
How strong are your convictions, what kind of odds are you offering?
If this year had a global avg means of 2008 it should be 20th or below if a strong nina develops. No way in hell will it be within the top 10 if it didn't warm since.