Cowman
Cows Have Liberal Minds
- Nov 6, 2011
- 5,037
- 577
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- Banned
- #821
A little something to think about in regards to this subject it's a two person race so no matter if it's Nate Sliver, Rasmussen, Gallup, FOX, CNN, myself or anyone else on this board we all have a 50/50 chance of getting it right.
Two person race doesn't make it a 50/50 chance of a candidate winning when you factor in all the variables. I don't think you know how odds are.
If it was just a two people, where opinions weren't yet decided, the country wasn't divided, and everything was just equal throughout the campaign... then it'd be 50/50.
Right now it's about 85/15 in Obama's favor. Rick Romney has the odds stacked heavily against him.