JimofPennsylvan
Platinum Member
- Jun 6, 2007
- 858
- 498
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In the recent past the government of France said it would like to send military trainers into the country of Ukraine to train Ukrainian soldiers and it would like other countries who are Ukrainian allies to do likewise. Although the intentions here by France are highly commendable for this is a completely unjust war by Russia against Ukraine, Russia is stealing Ukrainian land and it is indefensible; however, this is an extremely unwise and dangerous move for what it could provoke from Russian President Vladimir Putin. Prior statements by Vladimir Putin as it pertains the war indicate that Putin considers an eligible option using tactical nuclear weapons if he believes the NATO alliance is threatening Russia. Although NATO trainers training Ukrainian soldiers in Ukraine probably would not be enough to provoke Putin along these lines, the issue raised here is not that simple because military trainers often expand their role to advising the troops their training on live battlefield tactics, in addition, military training roles often officially morph into the trainers accompany the troops they train into battle to help with tactics and strategy to further help the ally in need. This mission creep should really worry all citizens in NATO countries especially those in Europe because although Putin probably won't go nuclear this year when Ukraine is weak from last years failed counteroffensive and their shortage in fighting units and Putin's forces have momentum albeit minor momentum. The real alarm is in 2025 when Ukraine will be in a position to make another counter offensive or when Russia comes to the point where the battlefield casualties from this war cannot be maintained and Vladimir Putin needs a political face saving off-ramp. When that time arrives Putin could use NATO trainers guiding Ukrainian forces on the battlefield against Russian troops as NATO engaging in war against Russia and threatening Russian security and sovereignty and use tactical nuclear weapons in the war against Ukraine inside Ukraine which would kill directly or through radiation poisoning high tens of thousands of Ukrainian civilians. Of course this would bring devastating military consequences against Russia's air and missile power as President Biden retaliates the way he said he would and the consequences of the retaliation would cause Putin to have to withdraw his forces from Ukraine. But Putin would have political cover he could honestly say he had to end the war because NATO got involved it wasn't because Putin and the Russian Army got beat and he could then rally his people to rebuild the Russian army to defend against NATO's military aggression against Russia. Likely resulting in a timeline of ten to fifteen years from now when Putin has rebuilt his military Russia again engaging in a military invasion of Ukraine or maybe directly a NATO country. Let us permanently cage Vladimir Putin and authoritarian Russian regimes in Russia not give them any lifeline!
