Samson
Póg Mo Thóin
Actually, it is clear that Palin is down 18 points in her approval rating since December 2008: TWO YEARS ago.
And, I'm not sure why I'd expect her approval rating among Repubs, particularly since she holds no office, to sustain itself two years after the 2008 election?
However, I would have expected Obama's approval rating to have had more effect in the November 2010 elections which his party clearly lost.
i stand corrected on that. palin is an unusual case in that she's never stopped inserting herself into the political scene. she tweets, she posts on facebook, she cahampions candidates and campaigns for them. so she's hardly out of public life. were she impressing people more and more that she was a credible candidate for 2012, her numbers would be going up. the fact that they are going down with all of her exposure is simply, at this point in time, two years out from the next election, not a good sign for her prospects. that is all, nothing more, nothing less.
and i thought it important enough to post because we have thread after thread from the palin-heads talking about how she is going to be such a great candidate. it was simply a different perspective.
there are so many reasons that obama didn't have coattails, i'm not sure where to start, but i think a lot of it is that he is personally likeable. even people who don't agree with him say he seems to be a good guy. also, during the lame duck session, he seemed to show more leadership than he did in the prior two years.
between you and me, i think he hung pelosi out to dry. and i've always suspected that he did that intentionally. that's why i laugh when i hear people talk about him being a 'socialist' and weak'. near as i can tell, he's continued to do everything that we were pissed off at bush for.
mostly, i think people were looking for cojones... any type of cojones. and he didn't show any til now.
which doesn't mean people didn't respond to the demonization of pelosi and congress.
and all of this is surmise... educated guess,... but a guess nonetheless.
so what do you think it is?
By "it" I assume you mean the contradiction between Obama's popularity, and his party's unpopularity.
My guess is that Americans, or really any mass of ignorant fools, when confronted with remarkable unfortunate circumstances, must follow someone....ANYONE, and since Obama is our president (like it or not), then he's the ONLY OPTION for many.
Unless Obama embrases his leadership role, for which he seems to have some reluctance, then he will lose it to almost anyone in 2012.