Orange_Juice
Senior Member
- Jul 24, 2008
- 1,038
- 57
- 48
While I appreciate how well you have spelled out your problems with Palin (and understand, I am not thrilled about the choice)...I think you are making the dangerous mistake of underestimating your opponent if you think that McCain chose Palin simply to pull Hillary voters away from Obama.
This doesn't make sense for a number of reasons...reasons that McCain and his people had to have known before they made their choice. To name a few:
1) Palin is a nobody politically-speaking. To assume that women who supported such a well-known person as Hillary are simply going to turn over and vote McCain because he nominated someone with breasts is stupid. Republicans may think Democrats are dumb, but not that dumb.
2) Palin, as far as I know, is ardently Pro-Life. Many female Democrats consider a woman's right to choose to be a non-debatable, deal-breaking issue. If a candidate is not pro-choice, they will not vote for them. In a sense, this choice by McCain may have actually COST him Hillary cross-over votes...instead of won them.
3) Palin, being inexperienced and unknown, comes across as a pandering choice. I have already spoken to two of my liberal friends who stated that McCain only chose her so that he could have a woman on his ticket - one thought it was because he was trying to combat the desire to vote for "the first" of something, either the first black president, or the first woman vp. The other thought it was to win women who wanted to vote for Hillary. Either way, many women feel that this choice was actually insulting because they feel it implies that McCain feels they will vote for him simply because he has a woman on his ticket. Not necessarily the way to win an election.
And say what you will about McCain...up to now, he hasn't been outright stupid in any of his decisions...so one has to ask...
If he didn't choose Palin to win Hillary voters (which I really don't think he did for the reasons I've illustrated above)...
Why did he choose her?
He is throwing a bone to the right wing here. It shows McCain's weakness that he still needs to solidify his base this late in the election.
That said, it still might be a good move if he does that AND she doesn't hurt him with Independents and Dems not sure about Obama.
I think she will be the darling of Conservatives and Democrats will hate her but I'm not so sure how the fence sitters will see her. I guess there is the hope the Democrats will look real bad going after her too hard, the picking on a women thing could come into play. This is a real gamble, which can go either way, IMO