Tom Paine 1949
Diamond Member
- Mar 15, 2020
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It is possible. But there are many other less happy results also possible.I expect this war, or more correctly its hottest part, will end this year. It will come to a standstill roughly on the current frontline. Ukraine will get a security agreement with the main NATO states that will provide for arm deliveries, training and other things, but will exclude troops on the ground, military bases and direct security guarantees.
Also, Ukraine will sign economic treaties that will deepen economic integration with the EU (though, they won't provide for the EU membership).
As a whole I expect 'the Ukrainian case' will be marked as a win for the Biden administration in their campaign. Strengthening NATO, stopping Putin’s aggression, preserving independent Ukraine (though, de-facto within shrunk borders), avoiding a major war in Europe, and similar rhetoric.