The Trendlines Against Hillary

[william the wie]

Hillarry will win the Blue wall which will make her a 3-2 favorite to become president. However her unfavorables keep growing and the enthusiasm gap is massive and growing. That means she won't win the house and may not win the senate.

Head winds include:

The effective death of the Obamacare Bronze plan will probably happen prior to the election. This will be due to growing adverse selection and limited time safeguards for the insurers expiring.

Interest rate hikes in June and/or Sept. will cause the capital value of retirement accounts to decline.

Economic growth rates in the EU and China are declining. India is improving but not enough to offset the other declines for 2-3 years

Even without Trump's skill at dirty tricks, demonstrated in the primaries, Hillary,s baggage needs at least a very long train.

Given the usual underreported antics of most Democratic strongholds and Trump's willingness to get down and dirty even after the election, again demonstrated in the primaries, D incumbents nationwide will look back fondly on the 2000 election. D senators up for election in 2018 may actually cross the aisle, nor many but 2-3 is quite possible, if the Trumpster really turns up the heat.

Those 2-3 may not be needed because Hillary will be cordially hated after she's Trumped at least outside the blue wall and blue leaning states with a nationwide net favorable at -50 or higher so she will have zero coattails and quite possibly negative coattails. This is likely to be the dirtiest elections since sometime back in the 1800s.

My call, Hillary will win the EC but probably not the beauty contest. She may or may not win the Senate.

 

[sonic]

The problem with all the Hillary baggage is that it's largely a work of fiction. Right Wingers have tried for decades to bring her down via fake scandals, spending millions of our hard-earned tax dollars and failing every time. The mythology still lives on though - something the partisan, gullible, ignorant or weak-minded continue to believe in even though when pressed for actual evidence all they can muster is accusations and hearsay.
It's sad because we desperately need intelligent discourse and sharing of ideas between two strong parties, but all the majority of Republicans seem interested in these days is character assassination based on innuendo and tabloid style lies with no basis in fact. I get it. They're scared to death of her and don't have a candidate who can come close to matching her experience so they take the low road - supposed evangelicals so easily sacrificing their character and integrity to further the hate-based mythology. I think there's a serious overestimation of the general electorate's appetite for the childish antics of the Trump camp - the name calling, Twitter wars, complete disregard for the truth and other reality show tactics. The bottom line remains that the man is emotionally and intellectually unfit for office.

 

[MarathonMike]

The bottom line is that Hillary is totally fit and qualified for an orange jumpsuit and four walls.
She is a pathological liar and completely corrupt.

Whether or not the FBI recommends indictment, the majority of the country knows she is guilty and the rest of the country either plays the denial game or just doesn't give a shit about anything.