There are good reasons to think Harris has this in the bag

The end result will be close, but Harris will come out on top.

Here are all the reasons why:

1) Harris’s strongest polling has been in the blue wall states. The swing state margins are pretty close in general, but Harris has consistently polled well in those three by decent margins. The polling averages are wider there than any of Trump’s winning swing states. Harris winning these three would be just enough to give her 270 assuming the polling in Nebraska’s second holds. She is also likely to win Nevada on top of it. If she’s lucky, she might even win North Carolina based on how utterly pathetic the republican governor candidate is.

2) The historian who has successfully predicted every election outcome besides Gore/bush since 1984 gives it to Harris based on his model.

3) The betting markets have Harris well in the lead right now and this will likely hold until Election Day. These markets have successfully predicted almost every election going back to the late 19th century.
She might win, that’s a possibility. It’s just really close right now.

I’m be glued to the television on election night. It’s going to be interesting…and entertaining.
 
I hope you're right, but I'm still gonna vote and take as many people with me as I can round up, just in case. We can celebrate later if it comes out right. Don't back off now.
Agreed. Given the chicanery of the red states involving counting votes and the rhetoric and conduct of the MAGA types, I won’t be sure that she is President unless she is the one taking the oath at 12:00 on 1/20/2025.
 

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