JoeB131
Diamond Member
Thank you Neville Chamberlain.
Remember when conservatives were for strength and not cowardice?
Actually, Chamberlain made exactly the right call at Munich.
The Sudetenland wasn't Czech, it was German. Germans who had privileges under the Hapsburgs but not in the artificially cobbled together "Czechoslovakia".
The Slovaks didn't want to be in a union with the Czechs, and there was a sizable Hungarian population that wanted to be part of Hungary.
Furthermore, the region that was into it- Moravia/Bohemia - was surrounded on three sides by Germany after the union with Austria.
On a strategic level, the only ally the UK could count on was France, and they had dedicated all their military spending on defensive measures like the Maginot Line. They were incapable of taking the war to Germany.
The only way that they could do anything effective is if the USSR intervened on Czechoslovakia's behalf, and that would result in Stalin having more influence in Eastern Europe, which the West at that point feared more than Hitler.
So what Chamberlain did was postpone a war for another year. One could also argue that he erred in writing a blank check to the Polish Colonels, dragging the UK and France into a war they STILL weren't ready for, because the subsequent collapse of the rest of Czechoslovakia was blamed on Chamberlain (instead of the Slovaks, Hungarians and of course, the Germans.)
After the war, the problem was solved when the Russians restored Czechosolvakia to its 1938 borders (except the part they tacked onto the Ukraine) and ethnically cleansed the Germans and Hungarians. Even then, the Czechs and Slovaks couldn't wait to get away from each other when the Soviet Empire fell.
Now, how does this apply to the current Ukraine situation.
Like it or not, Russia has a legitimate beef. There are ethnic Russians in the Crimea, Donbass and other regions, who had some rights initially when the USSR broke up, but are now a disenfranchised minority. They really would be happier in as part of the Russian Federation.
The logical solution WOULD be a redrawing of the border, along with some ethnic relocations. It's fairly unlikely to happen as long as the west keeps writing the regime in Kyiv a blank check, though.
Politically, Putin is trying to distract from his own dissident movement, and this might be a deal breaker for him not to invade.
We aren't in a position to fight a war with Russia in the Ukraine. The best we can do is impose economic sanctions. If Putin decides he can weather those sanctions, we might be stuck with it.
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