Syphon
Rookie
- Feb 22, 2012
- 1,449
- 84
- 0
- Banned
- #141
the problem is that they did not see the Bush policy as increasing supplies immediately. as the article points out they would not have seen any of the actual oil from the gulf for a period of 3-5 years. the spike in inventories cause speculators to dump. im not disagreeing with that. im am disagreeing with the point that the Bush policy was the only thing that caused oil prices to decrease.the article you posted does not actually refer to the Bush policy as a root cause of oil pricing dropping:Bush lifted the OCS ban & caused oil to plumit 5 weeks before the economy & the stock market peaked out. Investment banks control 80% of the oil. When oil prices fell these banks were forced to sell as profits evaporated. This huge loss was one of the triggers of the market crash 5 weeks later. They held the oil Enron style in tankers off shore.
Traders Unload Oil in Gulf of Mexico as Storage Bets Fall
Stockpiles unexpectedly rose 7.31 million barrels, or 2.1 percent, to 360.8 million in the week ended July 23, confounding analysts who predicted inventories would fall 1.73 million barrels, or 0.5 percent, to their lowest level in four months. A surge in imports to Gulf states contributed to the glut, Energy Department figures showed July 28.
Imports into Gulf states averaged 7.212 million barrels per day the week ended July 23, the highest since the Energy Department began tracking data in 1990. Supplies in the region jumped 8.18 million barrels, or 4.6 percent, to 184.6 million.
so youre correct in that prices fell, but his was due to an unexpected rise in inventory and speculators dumping them to make a profit. still not sure exactly how Bush caused this.......
i get your argument, but the fact supporting your argument are weak at best.
It is not a weak arguement. It is the way the speculators on the futures markets operate. If they see more future supply comming on-line, they panic to dump their stockpiles while prices are high ahead of the new production that will force prices down. This causes a oil market crash.
Tanker Glut Signals 25% Drop on 26-Mile Line of Ships
A 26-mile-long line of idled oil tankers, enough to blockade the English Channel, may signal a 25 percent slump in freight rates next year.
The ships will unload 26 percent of the crude and oil products they are storing in six months, adding to vessel supply and pushing rates for supertankers down to an average of $30,000 a day next year, compared with $40,212 now, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 15 analysts, traders and shipbrokers. Thats below what Frontline Ltd., the biggest operator of the ships, says it needs to break even.
Traders booked a record number of ships for storage this year, seeking to profit from longer-dated energy futures trading at a premium to contracts for immediate delivery, according to SSY Consultancy & Research Ltd., a unit of the worlds second- largest shipbroker.