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It's been pretty accurate in the past because it is an aggregate of all the polls. Biases in either direction tend to cancel each other out. You might remember last time when the republicans bought a bunch of polls that were supposedly more accurate and they turned out bad wrong while RCP nailed the result.The rcp map based on polls with an over sampling of Democrats by as much as 19%? That map?The RCP electoral map has Clinton so far ahead that any real or imagined bias makes no difference. Not even going to be the close nail biter loss Trump is hoping for to claim a rigged election.Left-weighted polls show Clinton ahead.
Right-weighted polls show Trump ahead.
The fact is, it's tied among people who actually answer polling questions. I've hung up on three pollsters over the last week.
The rest are unknown factors.
I've been for Bernie (I- VT) from the startYou're transformation from years past is puzzling. What happened?hiLIARy is ahead by measey 2 pts lol
she's a terrible candidate
Gingrich correctly stated today that the national media has staged a coup d'état to keep an Establishment (AKA_ crony) candidate viable. He pointed- out that the media has spent a 23:1 ratio talking about Trumps locker room talk compared to Podestas and Clintons Russian deal being exposed
There is only one poll that has consistently shown Trump in the lead. The LA times poll and it polls the same people over & over.It's been pretty accurate in the past because it is an aggregate of all the polls. Biases in either direction tend to cancel each other out. You might remember last time when the republicans bought a bunch of polls that were supposedly more accurate and they turned out bad wrong while RCP nailed the result.The rcp map based on polls with an over sampling of Democrats by as much as 19%? That map?The RCP electoral map has Clinton so far ahead that any real or imagined bias makes no difference. Not even going to be the close nail biter loss Trump is hoping for to claim a rigged election.Left-weighted polls show Clinton ahead.
Right-weighted polls show Trump ahead.
The fact is, it's tied among people who actually answer polling questions. I've hung up on three pollsters over the last week.
The rest are unknown factors.
Is alt right your new substitute for reactionary?occupied, progressives are less in numbers than the far right and alt right trumpers.
You do not have the power you think.
Because, as usual, whether lib or con face you are wearing at the moment, you are wrongbecause of your opinions Mr "I'm a Repub that supports Dems"?Dot Com, your bubble is about to burst.
You know Fakey, the Beast's Wall Street speeches and the rest of her sleaze are just coming in.Dems are far less split than the Pubs: fact.
The irony in this statement is quite amusingBecause, as usual, whether lib or con face you are wearing at the moment, you are wrongbecause of your opinions Mr "I'm a Repub that supports Dems"?Dot Com, your bubble is about to burst.
Are you another one who thinks samples should be 50-50 democrat-republican? If you are conducting a poll of a state that has 45-55 ratio you oversample 5% one way otherwise you introduce a 5% error right off the bat. Statistics is the most boring subject in the world, people's eyes glaze over 15 seconds into any explaination of it but rest assured that the people who have made this their work are much more interested in accuracy than anything those statistics represent in the real world.There is only one poll that has consistently shown Trump in the lead. The LA times poll and it polls the same people over & over.It's been pretty accurate in the past because it is an aggregate of all the polls. Biases in either direction tend to cancel each other out. You might remember last time when the republicans bought a bunch of polls that were supposedly more accurate and they turned out bad wrong while RCP nailed the result.The rcp map based on polls with an over sampling of Democrats by as much as 19%? That map?The RCP electoral map has Clinton so far ahead that any real or imagined bias makes no difference. Not even going to be the close nail biter loss Trump is hoping for to claim a rigged election.Left-weighted polls show Clinton ahead.
Right-weighted polls show Trump ahead.
The fact is, it's tied among people who actually answer polling questions. I've hung up on three pollsters over the last week.
The rest are unknown factors.
How does one poll cancel out handfuls of others with such strong bias in their samples?
National polls should be 50/50. The polls with the huge leads are heavily weighted.Are you another one who thinks samples should be 50-50 democrat-republican? If you are conducting a poll of a state that has 45-55 ratio you oversample 5% one way otherwise you introduce a 5% error right off the bat. Statistics is the most boring subject in the world, people's eyes glaze over 15 seconds into any explaination of it but rest assured that the people who have made this their work are much more interested in accuracy than anything those statistics represent in the real world.There is only one poll that has consistently shown Trump in the lead. The LA times poll and it polls the same people over & over.It's been pretty accurate in the past because it is an aggregate of all the polls. Biases in either direction tend to cancel each other out. You might remember last time when the republicans bought a bunch of polls that were supposedly more accurate and they turned out bad wrong while RCP nailed the result.The rcp map based on polls with an over sampling of Democrats by as much as 19%? That map?The RCP electoral map has Clinton so far ahead that any real or imagined bias makes no difference. Not even going to be the close nail biter loss Trump is hoping for to claim a rigged election.Left-weighted polls show Clinton ahead.
Right-weighted polls show Trump ahead.
The fact is, it's tied among people who actually answer polling questions. I've hung up on three pollsters over the last week.
The rest are unknown factors.
How does one poll cancel out handfuls of others with such strong bias in their samples?
You've CLAIMED to be a Repub, since I've been here, and CONSISTENTLY back Establ Dems. InterestingBecause, as usual, whether lib or con face you are wearing at the moment, you are wrongbecause of your opinions Mr "I'm a Repub that supports Dems"?Dot Com, your bubble is about to burst.
Objectively"After week- long national media attack of Trump....."
Wrong.
‘The media’ are accurately and objectively reporting the facts concerning the Trump ‘campaign,’ his ridiculous lies and conspiracy theories, his unwarranted attacks, his ignorance, bigotry, and hate.
Trump has only himself to blame, not the ‘National media.’
NEWSFLASH Dummy!!! Secret russian deals exposed in hiLIARy email leaks are a tad more important than Jerry Springer-esque Locker Room talk that the MSM has been giving front page status"After week- long national media attack of Trump....."
Wrong.
‘The media’ are accurately and objectively reporting the facts concerning the Trump ‘campaign,’ his ridiculous lies and conspiracy theories, his unwarranted attacks, his ignorance, bigotry, and hate.
Trump has only himself to blame, not the ‘National media.’
YupYou've CLAIMED to be a Repub, since I've been here, and CONSISTENTLY back Establ Dems. InterestingBecause, as usual, whether lib or con face you are wearing at the moment, you are wrongbecause of your opinions Mr "I'm a Repub that supports Dems"?Dot Com, your bubble is about to burst.
"After week- long national media attack of Trump....."
Wrong.
‘The media’ are accurately and objectively reporting the facts concerning the Trump ‘campaign,’ his ridiculous lies and conspiracy theories, his unwarranted attacks, his ignorance, bigotry, and hate.
Trump has only himself to blame, not the ‘National media.’