amrchaos
Pentheus torn apart
- Nov 1, 2008
- 9,498
- 935
Bernie Sanders just claimed another victory in Wisconsin tonight, after having a run on the smaller caucus states. So does this suggest he has a chance at winning the nomination? No not at all. Democrat delegates are split in every state proportionately. So right now Hillary Clinton has 1778 to Sanders 1097. So he's still 681 delegates behind Hillary Clinton.
Sanders has had success in these smaller caucus states, because they typically produce less than 1% of the party that bothers to show up at a 3 hour meeting to sit around and cast a vote. They are really the worst case of voter disenfranchisement in this country today. Typically the underdog candidate will win these, because underdog supporters will show up to vote. Had these caucus states been primary states, where several days of voting are allowed at the voters convenience, along with mail in ballots, Hillary Clinton would have won all of those,and Sanders would be a distant memory right now. I imagine Bernie Sanders will win Wyoming on Saturday, the smallest delegate state in this country, but it's still not going to put a dent into her lead.
We are headed into large CLOSED primary states where Bernie Sanders has been getting clobbered. New York & Pennsylvania. She will gain on him in these large closed primaries. Then after all of this we head into another closed Presidential primary, the big one in June- California.
Democrat Super Delegates. 700 of them--580 already soft pledged to Hillary Clinton.. They are not going to move over for Sanders, someone who just changed their party status to run on the Democrat ticket. They also know that he would get creamed in a National election, so they'll be staying in Hillary Clinton's corner. Plus to date she still has a 2+ million popular vote lead among Democrats.
Regardless of these polls that have turned out to be a world wide disaster, and Sanders who always states showing him beating Donald Trump. No one can really believe that this country would ever elect a recognized and confirmed socialist. This country is center, it al
Close if you call a 282 pledged delegate lead when he's won 1088 pledged.========Bernie Sanders just claimed another victory in Wisconsin tonight, after having a run on the smaller caucus states. So does this suggest he has a chance at winning the nomination? No not at all. Democrat delegates are split in every state proportionately. So right now Hillary Clinton has 1778 to Sanders 1097. So he's still 681 delegates behind Hillary Clinton.
Sanders has had success in these smaller caucus states, because they typically produce less than 1% of the party that bothers to show up at a 3 hour meeting to sit around and cast a vote. They are really the worst case of voter disenfranchisement in this country today. Typically the underdog candidate will win these, because underdog supporters will show up to vote. Had these caucus states been primary states, where several days of voting are allowed at the voters convenience, along with mail in ballots, Hillary Clinton would have won all of those,and Sanders would be a distant memory right now. I imagine Bernie Sanders will win Wyoming on Saturday, the smallest delegate state in this country, but it's still not going to put a dent into her lead.
We are headed into large CLOSED primary states where Bernie Sanders has been getting clobbered. New York & Pennsylvania. She will gain on him in these large closed primaries. Then after all of this we head into another closed Presidential primary, the big one in June- California.
Democrat Super Delegates. 700 of them--580 already soft pledged to Hillary Clinton.. They are not going to move over for Sanders, someone who just changed their party status to run on the Democrat ticket. They also know that he would get creamed in a National election, so they'll be staying in Hillary Clinton's corner. Plus to date she still has a 2+ million popular vote lead among Democrats.
Regardless of these polls that have turned out to be a world wide disaster, and Sanders who always states showing him beating Donald Trump. No one can really believe that this country would ever elect a recognized and confirmed socialist. This country is center, it always has been, it always will be. It will not elect far left or far right candidates.
Flaws in Polling Data Exposed as U.S. Campaign Season Heats Up
Technically--it is mathematically impossible for Bernie Sanders to close this gap and win the nomination at this time. A Bernie Sanders rally at this point in time, is just a side show.
Bernie Sanders’s path to the nomination is getting very narrow
It’s Really Hard To Get Bernie Sanders 988 More Delegates
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The math may not be there but it is only because the " media " continues counting EVERY superdelegate for Clinton, even though some have already said they have switched to Bernie.
Without the superdelegates the race is extremely close.
Hillary won 1230 and there are over 2000 left?
I must have messed up the math.
280/2000 is 14 percent men in Sanders has to win 57% to Hillary's 43% to tie in state unpled delagtes.
I thought the s?spread was 150, given 54% to Hillary's 46%
Super delegates not counted