BasicHumanUnit
Diamond Member
- Jun 1, 2013
- 22,220
- 16,500
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- #201
That is not their plan. Their long-term plan is to establish and fortify three spheres of control in the Asian region, each in turn. The idea is to create zones where they can have a reasonable likelihood of success in keeping American military influence out, expanding via each sphere until they achieve something akin to what the Japanese Empire was trying to establish in the run up to WWII. They would fund this long-range strategy by expanding their economic influence globally in parallel. The military aspect of the plan incorporates many of Mahan's theories and approaches, and the economic aspect requires a continuing embrace of capitalist principles. They are not stupid enough to believe that they are anywhere near capable of challenging America militarily now, and if the economic part of the plan crashes, the whole enterprise will be set back significantly.China is growing their military considerably and will be willing to use it to help dominate Asia and the world.Why do you say that?China will not stop until it dominates the world.
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It's their policy.
One Path One Road. ...
That's an economic program, not a plan for military aggression.
This is partially accurate.
The stance taken by Xi for Chinas BRI is more than a hope. it is reasonably described as an "aggressive" plan for economic development that will put China at the center of Eastern Geopolitics. China formerly extended it's influence over 4,000 miles into Europe. The BRI does not forget nor neglect that past
and has many economic development plans in Europe.
Your summary neglects the obvious and substantial military buildup in the South China Sea and aggression towards India and many of China's Asian neighbors. In fact, were it not for Americas push back, China would likely have achieved domination of most of it's Asian neighbors.
We live in a post feudal world where International laws govern International interactions. Any country that, like China, wants to arbitrarily rewrite the Laws to it's liking is sure to cause friction, if not military contests.
While I agree with your parallels to Mahan's strategies, I disagree that China is willing to take a passive stance in achieving it's goals.
A major difference between Mahan's objectives and modern Chinas BRI objectives is that the geographic theater has completely changed since the 1800's.
Many consider China's expanded ambitions a response to Barack Obama's Turn To Asia objectives. Pushing China to accelerate it's progress.
One of the main dangers, and of immense concern is that China could create a Sinocentric Eurasian order which would effectively block the USA from effective and profitable trade in Asia. Not to mention the strategic costs of losing free and open access to the South China sea.
The economic risks are unprecedented and China does not plan to have America thwart it's plans.
The rapid pace of modern military buildup is not posturing, but a clear warning to each side.
China will push. but will it push too far?
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