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Actually, she doesn't.Clinton will win 53-47. What in heaven's name are you going on about?
She has the states that matter under control.
Emerson Poll: Clinton Leads Trump in Washington State by Just 6 Points | People's Pundit Daily
She also only leads by 5 in Michigan and 6 in ILLINOIS! Holy shit!
I'm on RCP right now and with the exception of only a few states everything is pretty well within the margin of error.
You go there friend, and ignore what actually matters in this election, the electoral college.Who wins Florida? I hate that map its annoying. There are others you can fill in similar to this.
Who wins Florida? I hate that map its annoying. There are others you can fill in similar to this.
It is worse than that even.I think the polling is flawed.
The pollsters take a small sampling and then extrapolates the results over a larger population.
The extrapolation models are based upon historical R v D demographics.
Trump is a populists and I don't think the historical voting demographic models apply.
Trump is getting support from several groups that traditionally have voted Democrat. For instance, here in Florida we are getting indications that as much as 20% of the Blacks will vote for Trump as compared to 98% of them voting for Obama.
I suspect the polls underestimate Trump's numbers by anywhere from 2-5%, maybe even more.
We will see.
I disagree with 3 or 4 states but yep. I think he takes Minnesota and I will substitute it for Vermont....not a chance he takes it lol.It is worse than that even.I think the polling is flawed.
The pollsters take a small sampling and then extrapolates the results over a larger population.
The extrapolation models are based upon historical R v D demographics.
Trump is a populists and I don't think the historical voting demographic models apply.
Trump is getting support from several groups that traditionally have voted Democrat. For instance, here in Florida we are getting indications that as much as 20% of the Blacks will vote for Trump as compared to 98% of them voting for Obama.
I suspect the polls underestimate Trump's numbers by anywhere from 2-5%, maybe even more.
We will see.
We have surveys that show about 10% of the voters that support Trump simply refuse to admit it to any open communication, they are so afraid of the consequences.
We have another 5 to 10% of people are just not registered yet and support Trump but are omitted from polls.
Another break for Trump is that he leads Clinton by 20% among independents and most of the undecideds historically tend to break the same way the independents are.
I hate to get all Romneyed up, but I think Trump is going to get AT LEAST ANOTHER 10% when November 8th arrives, and that will produce THIS:
View attachment 91472
I disagree with 3 or 4 states but yep. I think he takes Minnesota and I will substitute it for Vermont....not a chance he takes it lol.
Emerson Poll: Clinton Leads Trump in Washington State by Just 6 Points | People's Pundit Daily
She also only leads by 5 in Michigan and 6 in ILLINOIS! Holy shit!
They voted for a Republican Governor this past election...so whats different between that and voting for a president both are state wide voting.
Lunacy. That, and fuckery. For example, you really expect us to believe that Maryland will go red? Good luck with that.
I love a good cartoon. Make sure you print that and hang it on the wall. It will comfort you when Clinton wins.
They voted for a Republican Governor this past election...so whats different between that and voting for a president both are state wide voting.
He's a cuck RINO. He let Beretta LEAVE Maryland instead of rolling back the anti 2nd amendment gun laws passed before he was governor,he hasn't tackled illegal immigration. Just another cuck RINO. I hope he enjoys his ONE TERM....Crossing Trump and then Trump gets elected BIG MISTAKE.They voted for a Republican Governor this past election...so whats different between that and voting for a president both are state wide voting.
Well, first of all Governor Hogan was an excellent, highly qualified candidate. On the other hand, Trump is a flaming idiot. Governor Hogan has flatly refused to Endorse Trump, and has won overwhelming praise for it. We positively love Governor Hogan, even when we disagree with him, because of his amazing leadership and intelligent pragmatism. But we despise Trump for his rabid fanaticism and infantile antics.
Finally, Maryland is overwhelmingly polling in favor of Clinton by 33 points. More than California (16%), more than New York (21%). No state shows as much overwhelming support in recent polling for either candidate. By contrast, Texas only polls at +6 for Trump, and Arizona a mere +2 for Trump.
The reality is that there is a better chance of rabid red Texas and Arizona flipping for Clinton (which will not happen) than MD going for Trump. It would take more than a cold day in Hell, it would probably take a coup d'etat in Heaven.
