AceRothstein
Gold Member
- Sep 8, 2012
- 5,978
- 1,441
Primary election turnout does not correlate to general election turnout. And polls don't weight by party, the good ones at least.Here's what people do not understand. The ONLY way Hillary wins is if she gets a BETTER D+ turnout than Obama did in 2008 and.... AND Republicans don't show up at the polls.(which isn't the case since the primaries reflect record turnout)
What no one is saying is that the pollsters are weighing the samples as if Clinton is going to have a "Obama turnout" at the polls. They are not weighting the polls to reflect that Republicans have turned out enmasse during the primaries and the Dem turnout dropped off. That is a critical mistake. Add to that the people that are afraid to say they support Trump, which is probably a very very large amount of people <<<these people will close the curtain and 'pull the lever' for Trump.
The media and Dems are going to be shocked come November 8.....they don't see it coming and haven't taken the time to dive into what they are doing with the polls.