SSDD
Gold Member
- Nov 6, 2012
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It's not an "opinion piece" It is based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and your graph is meaningless. No explanation, no source
AR5 Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis — IPCC
It is always interesting to see what passes for "evidence" in the minds of alarmists...here, from the abstract of your pseudoscientific paper...
"Here we use extreme value theory to combine sea-level projections with wave, tide, and storm surge models to estimate increases in coastal flooding on a continuous global scale."
No actual observation, no measurements, no observations....just wild assed guesses spewing forth from failing models...they acknowledge that sea level is rising at 3 - 4 mm per year, but they "expect" that rate to accelerate...they have been "expecting" it to accelerate for 30 years now...it isn't happening...the model is based on nothing more than wild assed guesses and hopes and dreams that at least something that they have predicted will come to pass...
They are using "extreme value theory"...it is a statistical system for determining probabilities or return periods for large events....that is fine in a linear system...the earth's climate, however, happens to be coupled non linear chaotic system...the ability to accurately predict a specific event for any time period further than a couple of days in a system as chaotic as the climate is like picking the lotto numbers...in short, it is just one more paper making wild assed guesses about what might, or could happen if all the previous climate models had actually been correct....you people will believe anything so long as it agrees with your political leanings.