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There are only 435 seats in the House, did I misunderstand your prediction? Also, I kinda doubt the GOP will get 60 seats in the Senate, love it if they did but isn't that a bit unlikely?
The RealClearPolitics site shows 34 House seats that are basically undecided and could go either way.
My guess would be somewhere around 40 and declining. The bigger question is will the loss of captive money and "Volunteers" from PSU keep D turnout down? I'm calling the next house as 228D 225R and the Senate seeing something around 60 R-40 D due to mediocre fund raising, poor GOTV and too many incumbent seats to defend v. the Rs.
There are only 435 seats in the House, did I misunderstand your prediction? Also, I kinda doubt the GOP will get 60 seats in the Senate, love it if they did but isn't that a bit unlikely?
transposition error left me with 453 in the house. good catch.
The RealClearPolitics site shows 34 House seats that are basically undecided and could go either way.
With the EU agreeing to buy meat and soybeans from the US the biggest problem is whether the third world will crash.Time will tell, but I think the Blue Wave will shrink to a ripple. Even if all their nut cases show up to vote, they are already concentrated in Democrat districts.
In the end does it really matter? Republicans take both house and senate nothing still gets done, Dems take one or other and they won't work with Trump and nothing still gets done. It just doesn't matter.
The 2nd qtr GDP number comes out tomorrow I think, and if it's a good number than the Dems are in trouble. If Trump gets most of the foreign trade deals done to our benefit, even if it's marginal, and the economic and UE numbers are good then it's good-bye blue wave until at least 2020. Will they (Dems) change their approach? We'll see, but I doubt it unless the big money donors dry up; these guys don't like to spend big bucks on a bunch of losers and right now that's what the Dems are. So they'll have to try some different tactics cuz what they're doing now ain't working.
The Dems are defending 25 seats in the senate - Republicans 8. .. Thats a big hill to climb.
Dems need 3 seats in the Senate.
Historical data shows any President with a low approval rating has pretty big losses in mid term elections - Trump has low approval ratings.
Dems need 24 seats in the House.
Interesting is the best word I can find for mid term elections.
He LIED about his stances on things AND that district is now redesigned and he won't be running for THAT seat again.My guess would be somewhere around 40 and declining. The bigger question is will the loss of captive money and "Volunteers" from PSU keep D turnout down? I'm calling the next house as 228D 225R and the Senate seeing something around 60 R-40 D due to mediocre fund raising, poor GOTV and too many incumbent seats to defend v. the Rs.
It is hardly declining. Connor Lamb's victory in a district that went 20 points for Trump shows any seat with a suburban component is in potential danger. The fact is that Democrats seem to be more fired up about turning out and especially women. The Democrat win in the Alabama Senate race was a turnout win.
The Senate race will likely see one party pick up at most a few seats. There are 3 Democrat seats and 3 Republican seats that are in the most danger of switching.
My guess would be somewhere around 40 and declining. The bigger question is will the loss of captive money and "Volunteers" from PSU keep D turnout down? I'm calling the next house as 228D 225R and the Senate seeing something around 60 R-40 D due to mediocre fund raising, poor GOTV and too many incumbent seats to defend v. the Rs.
Gym Jordan should be charged as a mandatory reporter for NOT doing what he is required by law to do.Mandatory reporting in the United States - WikipediaIn the end does it really matter? Republicans take both house and senate nothing still gets done, Dems take one or other and they won't work with Trump and nothing still gets done. It just doesn't matter.
If Republicans pick up more more senate seats they will get a lot more done. Especially if Jim Jordan is our next speaker.
And contrary to popular belief this house has accomplished a lot. Just not all of what they want
