Lakhota
Diamond Member
If trump gets impeached, the 2020 election will come down to how justified America perceives the impeachment is. If Democrats impeach him lacking compelling evidence, he'll run, wearing impeachment as a badge, and win easily. But on the other hand, if Democrats can find undeniable evidence that he pressured Ukraine to dig up dirt on Biden and used that military aid to obtain it; and Republicans refuse to convict him in the Senate, he would lose <hyperbole>if I ran against him</hyperbole>.This is just a thrown dart prediction, it doesnt mean anything but I do think it has some merit.
First, trumps presidency will not survive this. I've said for a long time that people are way too confident when it comes to trump winning in 2020. I think his odds are not as good as many would think.
Most people in the u.s. are not as politically "in tune" as those you see here. By that, I mean, most dont really follow politics. They are generally armchair pundits that follow it as much as the hour of news they watch each night. I would say they would be easily influenced by other opinions as, while they call themselves republicans, that is a term they use to associate themselves with a certain set of ideals attributed to a politician in their party. Very few have the wherewithal to actually argue politics.
The left wing media machine has done an excellent job of pushing a narrative. The left, if nothing else, are persistent, and unwavering. This persistence does have an effect on those republicans I described above. Mabey not all, but many.
The left has done a very good at associating things like misogyny, racism, greed, anti immigration, and womanizing with trump. This has spillover consequence. The left is pushing the narrative that if you support trump, and/or vote for him, you support all of those attributes and that means you are all of then as well, even though none of it is true, you may just be voting for the candidate on the platform, against democrats.
But what if that isnt the only consequence? What if it is found out that you voted for trump at your place if employment? It could cause problems. Sure, they cant fire you for voting for a president, but if they are successful in labeling you a racist/womanizer/mysoginist because of your support for him, that could cause issues, especially if people look back in your years at the job and if someone starts thinking: "hmm, 2 years ago I heard him make a comment about soandso, and knowing he is a trump supporter, it makes sense now".
Especially if you are at odds with someone at work, they could leverage this against you.
People are afraid of labels, and if they think they will be labeled, it could cause some people to abstain from voting altogether.
This is also why many Republican members of congress who are in an election year may start to jump ship if it looks like things are going bad for trump, because they are afraid of being labeled, and they will be afraid of losing their seat if they see the public majority are increasing animosity against trump (remember, there are generally more democrats than republicans).
There is no way the democrats are not going to bring articles of impeachment. This will go to trial in the senate. There will be a lot of pressure on republicans on the senate to impeach him.
This will probably go down in one of two ways:
1) trump loses in 2020 because of a successful media campaign against him that sways voters due to unwanted labeling or because they become convinced the left is right.
2) a brutal impeachment inquiry and subsequent trial may mean things start looking bad for trump. If trump feels he may end up being a candidate for removal, cuts a deal to end the investigation in return for his resignation. I'm sorry to say it, but I don't believe trump will let himself be the first president to be removed from office.
It doesnt even matter if he is guilty or not. Is it not possible that simply being an impeached president with the aura of corruption (whether true or not) hanging around you could spell problems for his business dealings? Is he willing to risk that for a presidency?
Again, this is just an opinion, but I feel there may be some merit to it. I feel it may be imperative to have another Republican candidate on deck. I am willing to admit I'm totally wrong here, as this is just some preliminary notions.
Trump has already admitted "that he pressured Ukraine to dig up dirt on Biden and used that military aid to obtain it" - PUBLICLY.
Care to link to your quote?
Funny. Don't you have access to TV, Internet, newspapers...? Google it...
Yea I did and I can't find anything about that. All I see is that Trump said he withheld money from them (which he can do) and said it had nothing to do with the Biden thing.
So you misquoted or you are just dishonest. Which is it?
For your viewing pleasure...
Trump’s response to the scandal
On Sunday, the president admitted to discussing matters related to the Biden family in a call with the Ukrainian president, citing concerns about “corruption.”
“The conversation I had was largely congratulatory, was largely corruption, all of the corruption taking place,” Trump told reporters on the White House lawn. “It was largely the fact that we don’t want our people like Vice-President Biden and his son creating to the corruption already in the Ukraine.” He added that the exchange was “perfect” and involved no improper behavior.
A day later, Trump suggested it’s totally proper to withhold aide from a country because it won’t investigate your political rivals. “It’s very important to talk about corruption,” Trump said. “If you don’t talk about corruption, why would you give money to a country that you think is corrupt?”
But the timing of Trump’s decision to withhold almost $400 million in aidjust days before speaking to the Ukrainian president suggests the possibility of a quid-pro-quo.
Trump continued making less-than-subtle remarks at the United Nations General Assembly:
Politico reported on Tuesday night that the White House was preparing to release the transcript of the call, the whistle-blower’s complaint, and the DNI inspector’s report by the end of the week. Prior to Pelosi’s announcement, Trump wanted to release only the transcript.
Everything We Know About Trump’s Ukraine Whistle-blower Scandal
Oh, and here are a few more for your viewing pleasure...
- Trump Admits Asking Ukraine to Investigate Biden's Son
https://www.thedailybeast.com / trump-admits-asking-ukra... - 323k - similar pages
1 day ago ... Trump Admits Asking Ukraine to Investigate Biden's Son ... to efforts to dig up dirton the role Joe Biden and his son Hunter are alleged to have ... - Trump admits withholding aid to Ukraine while asking country's ...
https://www.independent.co.uk / news / world / americas / us-politics / trump-ukraine-aid-impeac... - 583k - 13 hours ago - similar pages
13 hours ago ... Donald Trump hasadmitted he withheld aid for Ukraine on Tuesday after ... while asking country's leader to investigate 2020 rival Joe Biden ... - Trump Admits Pressuring Ukraine Over Biden - The Atlantic
https://www.theatlantic.com / ideas / archive / 2019 / 09 / trump-admits-pressuring- / 598609 / - 264k - similar pages
1 day ago ... Trump once again implicitly admitted pressuringUkraine during remarks ... to ask what the president knew and when he knew it; Trump has told ... - Trump Admits He Spoke to Ukraine President About Corruption | Time
President Trump Admits He Spoke to Ukraine President About Corruption and Possibly Biden - 311k - similar pages
2 days ago ... President Donald Trump says he spoke to Ukraine's new president about his ... In his remarks to reporters, he then raised Biden as an example, although ... He did not answer directly when asked whether he would release a ... - Trump admits he discussed Biden with Ukraine - Vox
https://www.vox.com / policy-and-politics / 2019 / 9 / 22 / 20878702 / donald-trump-ukraine-whi... - 176k - similar pages
2 days ago ... Republicans are now calling for an investigation into Biden as Democrats call for impeachment. - Trump Admits Mentioning Biden in 'Perfect' Call With Ukraine ...
https://www.rollingstone.com / politics / politics-news / trump-admits-biden-phone / - 510k -similar pages
2 days ago ... Trump, looking very red, basically admits he asked Ukrainian... not to send the aid unless Ukraine dug up dirt related to Hunter Biden's ...