Look no further than any business that cares about their bottom line.
In other words every business thats run by a sane person.
Where's your link to the US being on the verge of another recession?
Let me appeal to your reason and common sense as I believe you have a lot of both:
The bond market:
With low interest rates there has been the largest shift of investment dollars into the bond market over the last 3 years ever.
California is about bankrupt and many bond holders, primarily middle class retirees and investment holdings for company retirement accounts, are invested in California and other state bond funds where the states have been running large deficits for many years.
So how are the states different than the Federal government when it comes with dealing with debt?
The states CAN NOT print currency and THEY MUST pay all of their debts off. They reach a point where they MUST cut services and/or raise taxes.
And the states are now at the tipping point.
So what is the problem?
As soon as the interest rates rise, and they will rise sooner or later, there will be a mass exodus of investment dollars OUT of municipal bonds into other areas of investment because of the rise in interest rates.
And when that happens the states will get a lower rating on their bonds and will have less $$$ coming in to finance their debt.
And that will cause a MASSIVE recession. Coming soon.
It gets even worse. Guess how the Federal government and the Obama administration is keeping interest rates low?
They are printing more money and more and more and more.
And guess what does to the value of the dollar when the money supply gets flooded with all this government printed cash?
IT DEVALUES THE DOLLAR and your $$$ is worth less every day.
That is the SOLE reason gasoline is so high, Obama printing so much cash it devalues the dollar against other world currencies.
So all of this points to another recession rather than a slow recovery? We are moving in the right direction and once we get rid of obstructionist House Republicans, we might even be able to get some work done to finish that job.