Soggy in NOLA
Diamond Member
- Jul 31, 2009
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BTW.. borrowed money isn't revenue.
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Any quotes or links to support that claim??That is not a lie. In fact, most Republicans want to get rid of SS and privatize it for their banking buddies.
Not for our banking buddies,after all I don't have any banking buddies,but for my own personal satisfaction,that I alone control my destiny,not the jack fucks we see in DC now.
We are watching a monumental screw up from both sides and have been.Why would anyone in their right mind trust them with YOUR money??
First, the treasury has to pay the interest on the trust fund bonds. Second, the principal is there to be drawn on if necessary.
But that's not what Obama just said.
You should pay closer attention to current events
There's not enough revenue coming in to pay the bills. The difference has to be borrowed. Borrowing is done to pay the bills. Social security checks are bills. When the debt ceiling is reached, the borrowing has to stop. Once borrowing is stopped, there isn't enough revenue to pay the bills.
* July 12, 2011, 2:52 PM ET
The U.S. Treasury will not default
Despite all the rhetoric and posturing we see in the media and in Washington D.C., it is safe to say categorically that the U.S. Treasury will not default on its debt after August 2nd, even if the debt ceiling is not raised. Not only will the Treasury be able to pay interest on U.S. debt obligations, but there is money for other essential programs as well. However, there will be some serious cutting that has to happen because spending clearly exceeds revenues.
I believe a debt ceiling limit extension will be enacted. However, lets consider what might happen if the debt ceiling limit is not raised. Here in a Q&A format is what I believe you need to know at a basic level...
...Math is hard for politicians
Now, lets do the math to flesh out some of these points. I know that for many politicians and pundits math is hard, but Ill try to make it as simple as possible. If we do not raise the debt ceiling by August 2nd, we will not default on Treasury obligations. Nor, will we have trouble making Social Security payments. However, there would be a big drop roughly 44% in government spending because that percentage represents the difference between government revenues which would be about $200 billion for the full month of August and $172 billion for August if we start counting after the first week when the deadline hits. Spending is slated to be over $300 billion that month.
Here are the numbers from an excellent and highly detailed study by the Bipartisan Policy Center (BPC) quoted in this piece [emphasis added]:
The BPC study found that the United States is likely to hit the debt limit sometime between August 2 and August 9. Its a 44 percent overnight cut in federal spending if Congress hits the debt limit, [BPC's Jay] Powell said. The BPC study projects there will be $172 billion in federal revenues in August and $307 billion in authorized expenditures. That means theres enough money to pay for, say, interest on the debt ($29 billion), Social Security ($49.2 billion), Medicare and Medicaid ($50 billion), active duty troop pay ($2.9 billion), veterans affairs programs ($2.9 billion).
That leaves you with about $39 billion to fund (or not fund) the following:
Defense vendors ($31.7 billion)
IRS refunds ($3.9 billion)
Food stamps and welfare ($9.3 billion)
Unemployment insurance benefits ($12.8 billion)
Department of Education ($20.2 billion)
Housing and Urban Development ($6.7 billion)
Other spending, such as Departments of Justice, Labor, Commerce, EPA, HHS ($73.6 billion)
The decision to prioritize payments would fall on the Treasury department, and Powell points out it would be chaotic picking and choosing who gets paid (in full or partially) and who doesnt
No doubt picking and choosing who gets paid and who doesnt would be chaotic. And, lots of programs would not get their funding and that would lead to plenty of screaming. Nonetheless, it should be clear from this exactly how much we are spending in excess of government revenues. And, that could and should lead to a sober assessment of what government can and cannot do...
The issue isnt default but government shutdown
Jul 12, 2011
James Pethokoukis
Politics and policy from inside Washington
Heres a great chart from Goldman Sachs that shows how government revenues and obligations will likely match up in August:
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As is clearly shown, there is enough cumulative money coming to pay interest, SS, Medicare and defense. Not that there wouldnt be cash managements issues. That and several other issues are addressed in a Q&A from a GS report last week. Some excerpts (bold is mine):
Q: What happens on August 3 if the debt limit is not increased?
A: Using August 2010 spending and receipts as a proxy, the Treasury will probably take in $5-$10 bn in revenue on August 3, leaving insufficient revenues to make Social Security payments partly unfunded even if all other spending is deferred. Since the Treasury has carried a minimum cash balance of about $20 bn since 2009, and currently carries a balance of $74 bn, Social Security payments might still be made by drawing down the Treasurys cash balance.
Q: Are Treasury interest payments at risk?
A: We do not think so. There are two basic reasons that interest payments should not be called into question: First, if the August 2 deadline is missed, it is very difficult to see the debate dragging to August 15, when interest payments are made, since we doubt there will much congressional appetite for a protracted lapse in borrowing authority. Second, the Treasury is likely to prioritize payments. While the sharp fiscal contraction that would result from prioritization would have negative short-term economic consequences and would be difficult to implement, it nevertheless seems likely if necessary.
Q: If other non-interest payments are missed, would that constitute a default?
A: Probably not, at least from the rating agency perspective. The rating agencies have not been entirely clear on this point, but S&P, Moodys, and Fitch all appear to view a failure to pay other obligations to be different from a default. S&P has already put the US on negative outlook due to longer-term fiscal issues, and the other two rating agencies have indicated they will move to a negative outlook if no agreement is reached by August 2.
U.S. Debt Ceiling Increase Remains Unpopular With Americans
More are concerned about higher level of spending than risk of economic crisis
by Lydia Saad
PRINCETON, NJ -- Despite agreement among leaders of both sides of the political aisle in Washington that raising the U.S. debt ceiling is necessary, more Americans want their member of Congress to vote against such a bill than for it, 42% vs. 22%, while one-third are unsure. This 20-percentage-point edge in opposition to raising the debt ceiling in Gallup's July 7-10 poll is slightly less than the 28-point lead (47% vs. 19%) seen in May.
...
Bottom Line
Despite intense lobbying of Congress by President Obama, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, and others in the administration about the economic urgency for raising the nation's debt limit, fewer than one in four Americans favor the general idea of raising it. Also, Americans are significantly more concerned about the budgetary risk of giving the government a new license to spend than they are about the potential economic consequences that would result from not raising the debt limit. Both of these findings put Americans more on congressional Republicans' side of the debate than Obama's -- at least in terms of political leverage as the two sides negotiate a deal. Nevertheless, Americans place Obama and the Republicans in Congress at parity in their preferences for whom they trust more to handle the federal budget deficit and debt ceiling, similar to the close division in U.S. partisanship, more generally.
SS is NOT a bill, it is money that was taken away from us under threat of law and belongs to those who have paid into the fund that congress stole. This has been going on for a long time and we, the voters, ignored it. Has anybody heard anything about congress taking a hit, I sure haven't. Take a look at the states that won him the election, they are all in the toilet and quite frankly they deserve it. Bush wasn't anywhere near great but compared to Barry is was positively wonderful.
Obama says he cannot guarantee Social Security checks will go out on August 3
Way to go, Barry. Way to go! Criminally irresponsible talk from the Failed Leader who thinks bank ATM's are hurting the economy and thinks blowing a Trillion dollar on not so shovel ready projects is funny.
Obama= Epic Fail
Obama says he cannot guarantee Social Security checks will go out on August 3 - Political Hotsheet - CBS News
I think their entire check isHow much of SS is deposited by electronic deposit?
And the Republicans will be to blame. We can all play this stupid game. Voters will decide who they actually blame.
Most Republicans will understand it was Obama that did it, not Republicans but here is what's important... Slowly millions of non Republicans meaning the independents and Democrats will hear it was Obama's choice too...
So let me break this down for you...
Obama won't gain any support from Reps but maybe Independents at first but over time will lose a good % of his own base and independents. Do you see the danger of being one of the world’s biggest liars? It WILL catch up to Obama before the election and cost him vastly more than it gained him.
Nah, poor scenaro. The retards will be blamed for everything. End of da story.........![]()
I think their entire check isHow much of SS is deposited by electronic deposit?
![]()
I think their entire check isHow much of SS is deposited by electronic deposit?
![]()
So nobody receives checks?
I think their entire check is
![]()
So nobody receives checks?
a congressman asked the Social Security chief actuary what was up wht the checks hand how exactly it works;
here;
‪Social Security Actuary Confirms: Withholding Checks Would be a Political Decision - July 13, 2011‬‏ - YouTube
somemore of that crazy gov accounting you explained, notice the guy says when they SS redeem bonds that lowers the debt subject to the ceiling BUT, when tres. issues the bond or money to the public it increases the debt. subject to ceiling..
ok toro for bonus rep. WHY do they not EVEN out. I think I know why per your explanation, but...please....go ahead.
Only a dumb fucking madman like Obama would suggest that an increase in revenue is the solution to fixing the debt. That would be like if you could no longer afford the monthly payements on your credit card, The credit card company suggesting they raise your credit limit.
LMAO! Obama just wants more time to run America into Bankruptcy. He's an out of control, Red china manchurian canidate, banker controlled puppet nutcase. He's finished in November. So are the mentally ill Democrats in D.C. Nothing but a bunch of carpetbagging, Lame ducks. Obama is by far the worst President to ever occupy the Oval office. ~BH
ALERT ALERT ALERT!!!! Bolshie is frothing again. Wow! A Righty Extremist Frothing Fascist!! Wow!!! Thank you, Bolshie, for that incredible demonstration of invective. You might truly be a candidate for the asshole of the year award, but that display was magnificent.
Only a dumb fucking madman like Obama would suggest that an increase in revenue is the solution to fixing the debt. That would be like if you could no longer afford the monthly payements on your credit card, The credit card company suggesting they raise your credit limit.
LMAO! Obama just wants more time to run America into Bankruptcy. He's an out of control, Red china manchurian canidate, banker controlled puppet nutcase. He's finished in November. So are the mentally ill Democrats in D.C. Nothing but a bunch of carpetbagging, Lame ducks. Obama is by far the worst President to ever occupy the Oval office. ~BH
Personally, I can't think of a better solution than increasing revenue to fix debt.Only a dumb fucking madman like Obama would suggest that an increase in revenue is the solution to fixing the debt.
It never works, though.Only a dumb fucking madman like Obama would suggest that an increase in revenue is the solution to fixing the debt. That would be like if you could no longer afford the monthly payements on your credit card, The credit card company suggesting they raise your credit limit.
LMAO! Obama just wants more time to run America into Bankruptcy. He's an out of control, Red china manchurian canidate, banker controlled puppet nutcase. He's finished in November. So are the mentally ill Democrats in D.C. Nothing but a bunch of carpetbagging, Lame ducks. Obama is by far the worst President to ever occupy the Oval office. ~BH
Personally, I can't think of a better solution than increasing revenue to fix debt.Only a dumb fucking madman like Obama would suggest that an increase in revenue is the solution to fixing the debt.
They just spend even more
It never works, though.Personally, I can't think of a better solution than increasing revenue to fix debt.
They just spend even more
Just like he spends more in his real life. What a role model.~BH