Poller Coaster

[candycorn]

Yeah, I stole the title from Pod Save America.

The latest has Harris up in NC but Trump up in Pennsylvania. Interesting.

 

[ThisIsMe]

Yeah, I stole the title from Pod Save America.

View attachment 999905

The latest has Harris up in NC but Trump up in Pennsylvania. Interesting.

Don’t all candidates get a bump after their conventions?

 

[Godboy]

Yeah, I stole the title from Pod Save America.

View attachment 999905

The latest has Harris up in NC but Trump up in Pennsylvania. Interesting.

The question is, are these polls that have Kamala up, accurate? That seems unlikely...

"How did the polls get worse from 2016 to 2020, with everyone watching? In the aftermath of Trump’s surprise 2016 victory, the public-opinion-research industry concluded that the problem was educational polarization. If pollsters had made a point of including enough white people without college degrees in their samples, they wouldn’t have underestimated Trump so badly."

The Asterisk on Kamala Harris’s Poll Numbers

Pollsters think they’ve learned from their mistakes in 2020. Of course, they thought that last time too.

www.theatlantic.com

 

[Maxdeath]

I do love the democrat cult. They were pronouncing Hillary was the new president because all the polls showed her as the guaranteed winner. After she lost they all went on a rant for years over how polls were unreliable, could not be trusted, they could be skewed to make them come out anyway you wanted. Now suddenly if Harris is ahead they are the be all and end all. When they showed that people thought the economy was bad they were crazy and wrong. When they showed Biden and Harris with the worst numbers ever they had been skewed. But now that they sometimes show Harris in the lead they are perfection. To say that these people areanthing but objective is funny

 

[candycorn]

The question is, are these polls that have Kamala up, accurate? That seems unlikely...

"How did the polls get worse from 2016 to 2020, with everyone watching? In the aftermath of Trump’s surprise 2016 victory, the public-opinion-research industry concluded that the problem was educational polarization. If pollsters had made a point of including enough white people without college degrees in their samples, they wouldn’t have underestimated Trump so badly."

The Asterisk on Kamala Harris’s Poll Numbers

Pollsters think they’ve learned from their mistakes in 2020. Of course, they thought that last time too.

www.theatlantic.com

Its a Sienna College poll in NC.

Its an Emerson poll in PA.

Before you start with the "they're liberals" stuff, the Sienna College poll is also the one in Nevada and GA; both have the blob up.

 

[candycorn]

Don’t all candidates get a bump after their conventions?

Yeah, the graphic was done before any convention bump for Harris.

 

[Godboy]

Its a Sienna College poll in NC.

Its an Emerson poll in PA.

Before you start with the "they're liberals" stuff, the Sienna College poll is also the one in Nevada and GA; both have the blob up.

They were wrong about the numbers, TWO presidential elections in a row.

 

[gipper]

Anyone excited about a Harris presidency, can’t be too smart.