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- Nov 26, 2011
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Life expectancy: Life Expectancy at Birth by Race and Sex, 1930–2010
Percent of population over 65 in 1930 and 1960 (see page 9): https://www.census.gov/prod/2006pubs/p23-209.pdf
Percent of population over 65 in 2014: USA QuickFacts from the US Census Bureau
We see that in 1935, when Social Security was enacted, life expectancy was 61.7. The average person wasn't even going to live long enough to collect Social Security. That's why it is called insurance.
And that is why just 5.4% of the population was over 65 when Social Security was enacted.
Moving forward to when Medicare was added to government retirement benefits (1965), we find the average life expectancy had increased to right around 70 years.
We also find the percentage of Americans over 65 had climbed to 9.2%. Remember that number.
Today, the average life expectancy is 78.7 years, and the percentage of Americans over 65 is now at...drum roll please...
14.5%
We are rapidly approaching a tripling of the original senior load.
This is an unsustainable trend. We either have to cut benefits, or increase the eligibility age.
And that is why you consistently hear me say we need to immediately raise the eligibility age for Medicare and SS to 70, and index it to 9 percent of the population going forward.
Looking at the numbers for 1965, you can see where I get the 9 percent figure.
Put simply, we are living decades longer than our ancestors, we should be working longer.
Percent of population over 65 in 1930 and 1960 (see page 9): https://www.census.gov/prod/2006pubs/p23-209.pdf
Percent of population over 65 in 2014: USA QuickFacts from the US Census Bureau
We see that in 1935, when Social Security was enacted, life expectancy was 61.7. The average person wasn't even going to live long enough to collect Social Security. That's why it is called insurance.
And that is why just 5.4% of the population was over 65 when Social Security was enacted.
Moving forward to when Medicare was added to government retirement benefits (1965), we find the average life expectancy had increased to right around 70 years.
We also find the percentage of Americans over 65 had climbed to 9.2%. Remember that number.
Today, the average life expectancy is 78.7 years, and the percentage of Americans over 65 is now at...drum roll please...
14.5%
We are rapidly approaching a tripling of the original senior load.
This is an unsustainable trend. We either have to cut benefits, or increase the eligibility age.
And that is why you consistently hear me say we need to immediately raise the eligibility age for Medicare and SS to 70, and index it to 9 percent of the population going forward.
Looking at the numbers for 1965, you can see where I get the 9 percent figure.
Put simply, we are living decades longer than our ancestors, we should be working longer.