RoshawnMarkwees
Assimilationist
- Thread starter
- #281
Cart before the horse. Energy drives the economy and only vice-versus for those invested in energy.Way off.Energy per growth. Venezuela has the energy part but no capitalism. Hong Kong and Japan are very small geographies so the dynamic is very different. However, if you take energy away from any of them and you will still have failure.Energy is not what drives an entire economy. Hong Kong is entirely dependent on energy imports. Japan is mostly dependent on energy imports. Singapore, Tiawan, South Korea, Israel, dozens of countries have first world economies, while having no energy supplies.You are part of the ignorance that created this dilemma.Nah baby. Market is blowing up for Biden. Make it rain!And will diminish in time. Beware of air.
Energy drives the economy. Every ebb and flow has been driven by energy going back to the robust 50’s and 60’s through the hardships from the post-Arab-oil-embargo through the boon of the 80’s and 90’s and then through the hard times generated by an accelerated global economy and its squeeze-down on supply.
W’s removal of the offshore moratorium dropped prices dramatically, then enter Obama. He reinstated the moratorium and the subsequent energy costs drove the economy into the ditch until fracking (which Obama opposed but couldn’t prevent) came along. Trump exacerbated that supply line by removing regulations and we became robust to the level of the 50’s and 60’s again.
Now that communists have won and forced this forfeiture of our Cold War victory, energy will go back up and we will suffer again.
Meanwhile, the Soviet Union, and Russia today, have tons of energy all over the place, and are poor.
Venezuela has the most known oil reserves in the world, and they are now in ruins. And no, it's not because of sanctions, unless you don't know how sanctions work.
Somehow, everyone missed the point I was trying to make.... or more likely I did a terrible job of making my point.
The prior poster made the claim that energy is what drives the economy. He wasn't talking about being able to get energy to drive the economy.
Any economy can get energy. All you have to do is earn money, and buy it.
He was referring to the natural supply of energy. Meaning we have coal, and oil, and other sources of energy here in the US.
My point to everyone is that, even if we had zero natural supply of energy, we would still have a booming economy, because we can buy the energy we need. We know this because.... we do that now. We buy energy from all over the world.
As long as you work and produce goods and services, you can buy any energy you need. This is why Hong Kong with zero natural energy sources, has a 1st world economy. Same with all the other countries I listed.
As for the Arab Oil Embargo..... it did nothing. Absolutely nothing. The reason we had gasoline shortages in the US, was because of price controls.
Remember what I just said before, anyone can get all the energy they need, if they are willing to pay for it?
The reverse is also true. It doesn't matter how much natural energy sources you have, if you are not willing to pay for it.
When the government put in place price controls in the 1970s, that was effectively us refusing to pay for energy. Then you act shocked we had a gasoline shortage nation wide?
You see this in Venezuela today.
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Venezuela's Fuel Shortage Upends Longtime Colombian Border Gas Smuggling Trade
Motorists near Colombia's border with Venezuela used to opt for cheaper, smuggled gas from the neighboring country. Now the tables have turned.www.npr.org
Venezuela Gasoline Prices
Gasoline Prices in Venezuela remained unchanged at 0.02 USD/Liter in April. This page provides the latest reported value for - Venezuela Gasoline Prices - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.tradingeconomics.com
Venezuela has a nation wide gasoline shortage. Left-wingers like to try and blame US sanctions, but all you need to do is look at the government controlled prices for gasoline, and you can clearly see why they have shortages.
2¢ per liter. Translation... The government set price for gasoline in Venezuela is 7.6¢ per gallon.
Then you wonder why they don't have money to produce and refine oil in Venezuela, and why the nation with the most known oil reserves has a nation wide shortage of oil and gasoline?
You want to blame US sanctions, when they are charging 7.6¢ per gallon of gas?
So my whole point is, no economy is entirely dependent on energy, unless you make it dependent on energy. As long as you produce goods and services of value, you can buy all the energy you need, provided you are willing to pay for it.
By the way, this is yet another reason people should automatically be suspicious of any politicians that says he can lower prices on something. California tried capping electricity prices, and the result was rolling blackouts.
Venezuela, by the way, also cut electricity prices after Hugo Chavez nationalized the electric companies, and now they have routine blackouts that are nation wide.
Anyone can buy energy but the price is dictated by supply. When the US has enough potential supply to reduce the price, the economy thrives. When Arabs cut supply, the price increases and that slows economies. When governments apply superficial price controls during an energy drought, the supply runs out and you have shortages.
Simply not factually true. The Arabs didn't cut supply at all.
Further, the cause and effect relationship between oil and the economy, is the reverse. When the economy increases, the price of oil generally goes up. When the economy crashes, the price of oil general goes down.
Now what is true, is that the price of oil sold by Saudi Arabia, was a fixed price. That fixed price, meant that the inflation price of gasoline was decreasing year over year, because the Arabs were getting less money. $20 for a barrel of oil, was not worth as much in 1970s, as it was in 1960, or 1950, or 1940 even.
The Saudis made do with this, because the value of the dollar was declining very slowly.
Well, that changed when Nixion decoupled the dollar from the gold standard. This was unavoidable, and has repercussions, namely that the Saudis started floating oil sales at market price, which was a shock...... that's why they called it "The Nixon Shock".
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Nixon shock - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
But the idea that the Arabs cut off supply, is a complete and total fabrication. It's not true at all, in any sense.
The reason is fairly simple. Imagine if you will, that you and another person are buying and selling goods.
Now imagine if you get angry at that person, and you decide you will not sell that person goods anymore. Does that mean you simply stop selling goods? Think about that very carefully, does that mean you simply close down, and stop selling anything, and go be homeless? Family out on the street?
No of course not. Well, to this day, most of the Saudi government is entirely built on oil revenue.
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Saudi Arabia: breakdown of revenue by source 2021 | Statista
The government of Saudi Arabia estimated that 558 billion Saudi Riyal of its revenue for 2021 was generated from oil.www.statista.com
To this very day, 68% of the revenue into the Saudi government is exclusively oil exports. You shut that off, the entire nation of Saudi Arabia would end in chaos, and anarchy.
So what you are you going to? You are going to keep selling your products.
In steps me, the capitalist. I'll buy your products.
You know why I'm going to be willing to buy up all the products you sell? Because I know someone right now, who is very much in need of your products.
The guy you are no longer selling to.
I'm going to buy your products up at a discount (because your biggest buyer you are not selling to anymore), and then I'm going to sell them to that guy you won't, for a profit.
He's still going to get the products.
This is exactly what happened during the embargo. The Arabs all still sold the oil, just not to the US. But buyers in Asia and Europe, and Africa, seeing a golden opportunity, spun right around and sold that oil to the US.
There was no cut in supply.
The cause of all shortages was due to price controls.
As for the over all price of oil causing real harm to the economy, I've seen precious little to suggest it does.
When oil Spiked to $140 a barrel in 2008, the change in airline fares to cover that cost was roughly $20. When the cost to fill up the tank was $3/gallon, compared to $2/gallon today, was about $45 a month.
That assumes people don't buy more fuel efficient cars when the price goes up, which we know they do, and thus offsets that increase in cost.
Now obviously cheaper energy will result in at least some amount of benefit to the economy. But again, Japan with half the population, and almost.... not quite but almost no natural energy sources at all.... still 3rd largest economy in the world. *shrug*.
The rest of your convoluted post is like a football coach so caught up in sequential football that he fails to realize that giving the ball to #22 and have him run behind #73 will win the game.