TRUMP in trouble in Pennsylvania! Won't win it in 2020!

Trump pulled an electoral college perfect storm in 2016

He won’t repeat in Penn, Wisconsin or Michigan
He is showing weakness in Texas, Georgia and Arizona

Comey will not come to his rescue this time
 
How do you figure Trump's approval rating is "in the tank"? His rating is nearly the same as Reagan's was at the same point in time, and only slightly below Obama's, as per Gallup:

Presidential Approval Ratings -- Donald Trump

And his Presidential approval rating is actually two points higher than Nobama's, at the same point in time, as per Rasmussen:

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports®

You fail to take into account that Trump really doesn't give a rat's ass what anyone thinks. He is going to push ahead with what he has to do, no matter what. He is unstoppable.

The gallup poll has been measuring Presidential approval ratings since the 1940s, longer than any other company or organization involved in polling. Here is how the Presidents rank:

OVERALL AVERAGE APPROVAL RATING WHILE PRESIDENT:

John F. Kennedy - 70%
Dwight D. Eisenhower - 65%
George H.W. Bush - 61%
Lyndon B. Johnson - 55%
Bill Clinton - 55%
Ronald Reagan - 53%
George W. Bush - 49%
Richard Nixon - 49%
Barack Obama - 48%
Gerald Ford - 47%
Jimmy Carter - 46%
Harry S. Truman - 45%
Donald J. Trump - 40%


The only reason's Reagans approval ratings at this time in his Presidency are comparable is because in November 1982, the United States was in its worst recession since the Great Depression and the unemployment for November 1982 was 10.8% the highest since World War II.

Right now Trump has a 3.7% unemployment level with 40% job approval in Gallup/ November 2018

In November 1982, Reagan had 10.8% unemployment level with a 43% job approval rating in Gallup/ November 1982

Then don't vote for him. Simple.

Reagan had a low approval rating in November 1982 because the economy was really bad at that point. Right now the economy is good, so the reason for Trumps low approval rating is his other policies and the fact that most Americans do not like him or want him to be re-elected President.

Trumps ability to win in 2020 is on very fragile ground:

1. He lost the popular vote in 2016 which does not bode well for future elections

2. He won the electoral college with tiny victories in 3 key states that Democrats neglected last time.

3. He has the lowest average approval rating of any modern President since Gallup began recording Presidential approval ratings in the late 1940s.

That's why getting re-elected in 2020 is a bridge too far for Trump.

Why do people think that it takes a visit by a candidate to make people vote for them? I have never met any candidate for office, other than President Bush running for reelection and I'll bet the 50,000 other people that showed up had already decided to vote for him.

Its marketing 101. Its how you sell the product. Its how you get people to the polls. Voter turnout is what wins elections. Many average Americans forget to vote or fail to show up for some other reason. Putting adds on people's doors, commercials and TV and yes, having the candidate tour the state since it increases media coverage impacts voter turnout for the candidate.

Maybe that works for libtards, but everyone I know doesn't need any of that horsehit.

Perhaps that is why libtards usually outspend conservatives and STILL lose!
 
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HIllary received 3 million more votes than Trump in 2016

In last weeks election, House Democrats received 6 million more votes than House Republicans

Doesn’t look good for Crooked Donnie in 2020
 
I’m going to do my part, like I did the last go around. Love the YouTube montage of Trump can’t win, starring the dumbest, narcissistic, egomaniacal, douche bags, looking like what they are. Dims have no one, and no plans for improvement. The blue puddle.


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Trump is so weak, it won't matter who the Democrats nominate. Trump's victory in 2016 was based on VERY fragile wins in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. The Democrats left the back door open. They won't make that mistake again. Without those states, Trump is toast. That's just the electoral math.

Trump can lose all three of those states and still win by picking up just one other state. Your math sucks!

Then again, so do most of your posts!

But that's the thing, there are no other states that Trump can pick up than those he won in 2016. If you think otherwise, name the state and I'll explain why Trump can't win there in 2020.

Maybe apply for a job with one of the lib stations. God knows they can use some help. You do remember how badly it hurt the last time you lost? You also remember all those polls and predictions. Wow, what a shock. How did we predict so wrong, all those political genius’s said. Frankly, who cares what you predict for 2020. If the witch would have won, the whole country would be as bad off as California. Who knows what wars we would be in right now. Fortunately, the economy is strong, and we have someone who not a pushover. We’re not losing any Republican votes. Now we have such amazing stories like Obozo’s wife being butt hurt about absolutely nothing. She can basically sit on her ass for the rest of her life and be catered to, and provided security and luxury for the rest of her life. Can’t wait to see the lineup of morons for 2020.


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Trump pulled an electoral college perfect storm in 2016

He won’t repeat in Penn, Wisconsin or Michigan
He is showing weakness in Texas, Georgia and Arizona

Comey will not come to his rescue this time

Lol.....TDS TDS TDS TDS TDS

Hell, it's gone far past a simple syndrome. It's a full-blown mental illness now.


But it's great fun to mock them

It is great fun, I've almost grown attached to them. How un-entertaining it would be if not for the pointy-headed little goobers?
 
Trump pulled an electoral college perfect storm in 2016

He won’t repeat in Penn, Wisconsin or Michigan
He is showing weakness in Texas, Georgia and Arizona

Comey will not come to his rescue this time

Lol.....TDS TDS TDS TDS TDS

Trump doesn’t win 2016 without Comey and Putin

Yeah and he had no path in 2016.


Sit down loudmourh

I love it when the self-professed "experts" and prognosticators are wrong. That was one of the best things about Trump winning.
 
Trump pulled an electoral college perfect storm in 2016

He won’t repeat in Penn, Wisconsin or Michigan
He is showing weakness in Texas, Georgia and Arizona

Comey will not come to his rescue this time

Lol.....TDS TDS TDS TDS TDS

Hell, it's gone far past a simple syndrome. It's a full-blown mental illness now.


But it's great fun to mock them

It is great fun, I've almost grown attached to them. How un-entertaining it would be if not for the pointy-headed little goobers?

You're just a racist, xenophobe, bigoted homophobe...oh and a white nationalist facsist, Hitler loving redneck bible thumper
 
Even though I 100% correctly predicted the 2016 election, I wouldn’t write Trump off quite yet.

However, if the Dems flip PA MI and WI, they will win in 2020.

Of course, Democrats being Democrats, they’ll find a way to blow it.
 
Trump pulled an electoral college perfect storm in 2016

He won’t repeat in Penn, Wisconsin or Michigan
He is showing weakness in Texas, Georgia and Arizona

Comey will not come to his rescue this time

Lol.....TDS TDS TDS TDS TDS

Hell, it's gone far past a simple syndrome. It's a full-blown mental illness now.


But it's great fun to mock them

It is great fun, I've almost grown attached to them. How un-entertaining it would be if not for the pointy-headed little goobers?

You're just a racist, xenophobe, bigoted homophobe...oh and a white nationalist facsist, Hitler loving redneck bible thumper

You left out a "deplorable." Now I must go put some new weaves in my basket. It's raining outside and my basket is staring to leak.
 
Two more years of the Trump economy you people will be lucky to win 12 states.

People already think the economy is doing well and suburban and female voters turned on the GOP.

Is that why so many Dem candidates claimed to support Trump's policies to get elected? Many promising NOT to support Pelosi for speaker? Half your blue wave was a red wave suck it. :auiqs.jpg:

Were talking about Pennsylvania here and to a lesser extent Wisconsin and Michigan. Those are the only states that matter for 2020 Presidential election given the partisan divide in the country, as well as voting history since 1992. The Democrats only have to win 20 states in 2020 to win the White House back. They have won most of these states every election since 1992 with the exception of Colorado and Virginia in more than one election, and PA, MI, and Wisc in just one election.

Dems are stupid, their policy of tax increases and heaps of government regulations unpopular, you will lose in 2020 just deal with it.

Tax cuts for Warren Buffet does not boost the economy, tax cuts for the middle class do. Regulations prevent wild swings in the market and prevent recessions from turning into Depressions. You want steady growth, not wild swings from boom to busts.

Nothing stopping Warren Buffet from gifting government $40 billion so go ahead Dem's DO IT...no? Yeah thought so. :anj_stfu:
 
Yep, that's right, the 2018 election spells trouble for Trump in Pennsylvania based on the voting results of votes for the Democrats VS. votes for the Republican.

Here is the break down of votes for Governor, Senator, and the Representatives Republican VS. Democrat.

Governor: Winner Tom Wolf (D)
Democrat votes: 2,852,539 - 57.6% of the vote
Republican votes: 2,022,348 - 40.8% of the vote


Senator: Winner Bob Casey (D)
Democrats votes: 2,747,345 - 55.6% of the vote
Republican votes: 2,116,110 - 42.8% of the vote

Representatives: 9 (D) - 9 (R)uh
Democrat votes: 2,677,130 - 55.1% of the vote
Republican votes: 2,183,180 - 44.9% of the vote

Despite the split in the wins for Representatives, 9 to 9, overall the Democrats got nearly a half a million more votes than Republicans.


Here is what the 2016 Presidential results were:
Trump: 2,970,733 - 48.17% of the vote
Clinton: 2,926,441 - 47.46%

Trump won Pennsylvania by a mere 44,292 votes.

Based on the results of the voting in 2018, Trump will lose Pennsylvania by between 5 and 10 percentage points. The Democrat challenger will get at least 50%, and Trump won't get above 45%.

With Pennsylvania going Blue in 2020, so will Wisconsin and Michigan since the results in those states were even tighter wins for Trump in 2016. That means the BLUE WALL of 18 democratic states has been restored after the tiny breach in 2016. Those 18 states have 248 ELECTORAL Votes. Democrats will then easily get to 270 with Virginia(13 EVs) and Colorado(9 EVs) which they both beat Trump in last time by 5 percentage points each.

Trump is done! A one term President. He will lose Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan and will not pick up any other states that he lost last time to make up for losing those three states in 2020.
Democrats will overplay their hand and fuck their chances up.
 
President Trump remains enormously popular in rural Pennsylvania. This can't not be understated. The key to flipping the Commonwealth rests in the suburbs and voter turnout in urban areas.

Most voters don't live in Rural PA. Look at the votes above. The Republicans were not able to get to 45% in ANY of the contest. Its over. It was a fluke that Trump won last time. The Democrats are not going to be wasting money in Florida or Arizona in 2020. They will move it into these Blue wall states to insure a strong victory.

Trump is not going to take Colorado which just elected a Gay governor. Colorado gets more Blue by the day. So does Virginia. Sorry Trump fans, but your man will be leaving the White House in 2 years.
Trump was unproven in 2016. He will have 4 years of prosperity on his record and dozens of promises made, promises kept. Americans are not going to fuck up a good thing.
 
I’m going to do my part, like I did the last go around. Love the YouTube montage of Trump can’t win, starring the dumbest, narcissistic, egomaniacal, douche bags, looking like what they are. Dims have no one, and no plans for improvement. The blue puddle.


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Trump is so weak, it won't matter who the Democrats nominate. Trump's victory in 2016 was based on VERY fragile wins in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. The Democrats left the back door open. They won't make that mistake again. Without those states, Trump is toast. That's just the electoral math.
Keep watching the Trump rally's. Let us know when the size of them becomes the size of Hillary's rallys in middle school auditoriums.
 

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