Trump's Present and Future possible indictments

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Part 1

Mr. Trump is having a bad week in court. My favorite one is Georgia, so I’ve saved it for last, but you’ll want to make sure you read that far—or skip down to it if your end of the week attention span is short.

Mar-a-Lago

Today, ABC reported that a target letter was sent to an unidentified Trump Organization employee who had dealings at Mar-a-Lago. There wasn’t much more detail than that. But we know that the grand jury in the Southern District of Florida has continued working since the indictment against Trump and Nauta was returned. Prosecutors aren’t permitted to continue to use the grand jury to develop evidence after indictment, so this means something more had to be afoot. It’s entirely possible that it’s this (there was also some tantalizing reporting that prosecutors are interested in Trump properties in Florida beyond Mar-a-Lago).

The Federal Principles of Prosecution, the federal prosecutors’ bible, defines a "target" as “a person as to whom the prosecutor or the grand jury has substantial evidence linking him or her to the commission of a crime and who, in the judgment of the prosecutor, is a putative defendant.” In plain English, target means a person prosecutors believe they have sufficient evidence against and intend to charge.

So what did this person do? It’s likely they were involved in Trump and Nauta’s efforts, that are laid out in the indictment, to obstruct the investigation into Trump’s retention of classified documents at Mar-a-Lago. There has been reporting that prosecutors were interested in Trump employee conversations about footage from security cameras on the property after prosecutors showed interest in reviewing them. The employees reportedly discussed how the cameras worked and how long images remained stored in the system. Those employees were reportedly interviewed. That comports with reporting that this target may have committed perjury in front of the grand jury.

Surveillance footage ended up providing key evidence prosecutors used to prepare the indictment against Trump and Nauta. They alleged that it established that Trump, with Nauta’s help, tried to hide classified materials from federal officials who sought their return. That evidence is strong, but it’s always good to have a witness who can explain what happened. That could be what this is about.

Prosecutors probably want to avoid a superseding indictment and an additional defendant, which could slow down a case they seem determined to fast track. The goal here likely isn’t to indict a low level employee who ended up helping hide materials before Trump’s lawyers searched the storage area. It would be to flip them so they could be used as a witness. A likely prospect is that if this target became a cooperater, he could ratchet up the pressure on Walt Nauta. It’s far more likely that a low level employee, the person news reports are describing, could testify against Nauta than against Trump. If the target could testify, for instance, that Nauta told him Trump had directed them to take certain boxes to him and they followed through, those could be important statements in furtherance of the charged conspiracy that would be admissible at trial. A cooperator like this can be a windfall. Or not. Prosecutors never know until they can get their truthful testimony under oath.

The target refused to answer any questions when he was contacted by the media, reportedly saying only that “It's none of your business" when asked about the target letter. That can mean a lot of different things. Whether this gentleman is a witness for the government in waiting or a potential defendant in an obstruction case remains to be seen.

The Special Counsel’s January 6 Investigation

Jack Smith continues to look like a prosecutor who is serious about getting a major, multi-faceted criminal investigation across the finish line. We don’t have any clarity on who, if anyone, he is considering charging and what crimes he will charge them with. It’s frustrating. I have more questions than answers at this point.

It’s been clear for a long time that Smith views this as more than an investigation into just the events of January 6. He seems to be considering a wide range of activity designed to interfere with the outcome of the election, the certification of the electoral college vote and the transfer of power. Whether he’s considering one overarching conspiracy or a number of separate ones remains to be seen. Something that Smith has made clear with his moves so far is that he’s at least five steps ahead of where the reporting has him. That’s reassuring.

Ahead of the Mar-a-Lago indictment, that one thing I was certain of was that it would contain surprises, and it did. I expect the same in connection with the January 6 investigation.

CNN reported today that Smith has interviewed the Secretaries of State in Pennsylvania and New Mexico. He previously interviewed officials in the other five states targeted for the creation of fake slates of electors by the Trump team. Hearing the tape with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger where Trump begged for votes didn’t sound like a one-off, and Georgia alone could not have changed the outcome of the national election. It’s always seemed clear that the scheme was larger, and it looks like Smith is focused on finding out precisely what its contours were and whether they were criminal. This is one part of the scheme that, if Smith charges it, could reach deeply into Trump’s lawyers and other advisors as either witnesses or defendants.

There was also reporting earlier this week that Jared Kushner testified before the grand jury with no fanfare, meaning he did not make any effort to pushback against appearing. Kushner and others are apparently being questioned about whether Trump truly believed he’d lost the election. The reporting says Kushner believed he did.

It’s valuable for prosecutors to know that. They need to know what a witness is going to say on the stand whether it’s good for them or not. That’s especially true if the witness may show up to testify for the defendant. And, whatever Kushner’s opinion is, he can also be questioned about what people told Trump, how Trump reacted, what he did next and so forth. Information about who, what, when, where and (perhaps) why is very valuable to prosecutors. It can corroborate others, provide investigative leads, or help discern when a witness isn’t being truthful, if their story conflicts with other evidence.

There is an interesting question about the admissibility of witness opinions that may come into play here. We’ll discuss it in more detail as it comes up, but the basic rule is Federal Rule of Evidence 704, which provides that, “In a criminal case, an expert witness must not state an opinion about whether the defendant did or did not have a mental state or condition that constitutes an element of the crime charged or of a defense. Those matters are for the trier of fact (the jury) alone.” There can be a fine line here between opinion and testimony about the facts. The decision about whether a witness’s views are admissible at trial is up to the judge’s discretion.

It’s an interesting question here because while Kushner may be willing to testify that Trump thought he’d won, we learned this week prosecutors have taken testimony from others who don’t agree. Two witnesses testified previously before the January 6 Committee, so we know something of the substance of their testimony. The fact that prosecutors have obtained it suggests they are currently assessing how strong their evidence is. They will have to prove Trump’s state of mind to convict him—that he knew he had lost but proceeded to act as though his allegations of fraud and a stolen election were the truth. Notably, Alyssa Farrah Griffin, Trump’s White House Director of Strategic Communications repeated a conversation with Trump where he says words to the effect of, can you believe I lost to that guy—a reference to Joe Biden. And General Mark Miley, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff said that Trump acknowledged his loss in an Oval Office meeting in late 2020.

The case against Trump in this regard has always seemed intuitively strong. We saw it play out before our own eyes in ways that made it seem incredible prosecutors would take much time to get to work investigating and put a case together. After 2021, where DOJ seemed willing to let prosecutors like Fani Willis in Georgia go ahead without them, it now looks like the government has put a case together, meticulously compiling evidence that will be admissible in court, and that the most important indictment that can be brought against Mr. Trump, the one charging him with trying to end our democracy, may finally be close.

There are lots of moving parts in a case like this. So it’s worth repeating. Expect surprises when we finally learn what Smith has planned.

Closing Out A Bad Week For Trump

Mr. Trump is having a bad week in court. My favorite one is Georgia, so I’ve saved it for last, but you’ll want to make sure you read that far—or skip down to it if your end of the week attention span is short. Mar-a-Lago Today, ABC reported that a target letter was sent to an unidentified Trump...

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Part 2

Georgia

Trump is also on the defensive in Georgia. On Thursday, he filed a petition for mandamus in the Georgia Supreme Court. The writ of mandamus is used to petition a court to order a judge or government agency to do something they are obligated to do, but won’t. Trump wants an order that, in essence, would prevent Fulton County district attorney Fani Willis from indicting him.

In March, Trump first asked a judge in Fulton County to “quash” the investigative grand jury’s report of their investigation into criminal conduct in Georgia following the 2020 election. In May, Willis asked the judge to dismiss Trump’s motion, arguing it was "procedurally flawed and advanced arguments that lack merit." The judge has not yet ruled on the motion. Now Trump wants to force a ruling that would forestall his indictment by making it impossible to use evidence against him.

Mandamus is infrequently used and even more rarely granted. In my career before government service, as a lawyer in private practice, I once convinced the 11th Circuit to order a federal agency to rule on an important administrative matter it had dragged its feet on for several years. Even in that egregious situation, my partners were stunned we convinced the court to mandamus the agency. That’s how unusual success in a proceeding like this, even when they claims are meritorious.

But Trump hit a stumbling block before the court could even consider the merits of his request. He filed his writ of mandamus in the wrong court. Under clear Georgia case law that Trump’s lawyers cited in their brief to the Supreme Court, but apparently did not read, a petition for mandamus must be filed in Georgia superior court, the trial level court. The case, Brown v. Johnson, could not be more clear: “Such petition may be filed in the appropriate superior court…the final decision may be appealed to the Supreme Court for review.” The Georgia Supreme Court reasoned that when the trial judge is named as a defendant in the mandamus petition and there are allegations their error is the subject of the petition, that judge can recuse and let another judge on the court handle the matter.

So on Friday, at 12:25 a.m., a filing time that is practically a confession an error has been made that’s in need of immediate correction, Trump filed a petition in the superior court for Fulton County, Georgia. The new petition contains essentially the same requests from Trump as the earlier one to the Georgia supreme court. He wants the court to intervene in the Fulton County investigation and disqualify district attorney Fani Willis. He also wants to block any use of Willis’s investigative grand jury’s final report. He asks the court to prohibit the district attorney from using not just the report, but any evidence she acquired while her investigative grand jury was working.

None of this makes any sense because that’s exactly how the process works in a case like this in Georgia; prosecutors use the special investigative grand jury to compile evidence before they take it in front of a regular grand jury to seek indictments. It’s cumbersome, but it’s how that system works. Willis was entitled to use the investigative grand jury to, get this, investigate. Trump wants to prevent Willis from introducing “any” evidence the investigative grand jury uncovered to indict him? Well of course he does. So does every other defendant who undergoes a process like this. No potential defendant wants prosecutors to use evidence they’ve amassed to indict them. But they are no more entitled than Trump is to prevent the criminal justice system from working.

Trump also asks for Willis to be disqualified in “any proceedings involving Petitioner (Trump)” on the basis of loose allegations of bias that could be applied to most any prosecutor investigating any defendant if they’re taken to their logical conclusions. Prosecutors investigate allegations of crimes. That is literally their job. Willis seems to have gotten under Trump’s skin. If anything, the petition reads like a rousing endorsement of her work ethic.

Trump’s mandamus petition is a move reminiscent of his effort to go around established procedures for challenging evidence obtained pursuant to a search warrant after the Mar-a-Lago search. He filed the civil case in Miami that landed in Judge Aileen Cannon’s courtroom and ultimately led the 11th Circuit to reverse and reprimand her for hearing a matter she lacked jurisdiction to consider. Evidence obtained through a search warrant can be challenged via a motion to suppress filed in a criminal case after indictment. But Trump wanted to file his own separate case, one that wasn’t authorized and ultimately failed but that significantly delayed the criminal process along the way.

Trump files these sorts of “borderline frivolous” proceedings, as Jack Smith would have it, with the speed—and discernment—of a toddler throwing blocks during a temper tantrum when facing discipline. Like the lawsuit in Florida, the mandamus petition in Georgia is an attempt by Trump to kneecap a prosecutor who is on the verge of indicting him. The Georgia Supreme Court should show him no more deference than the 11th Circuit did. Former presidents have no more right to prematurely end a criminal investigation into their conduct than any other citizen has. If Trump wants to challenge Fani Willis and claim prosecutorial misconduct he can, and undoubtedly will, raise it after an indictment is returned. This separate petition process is out of bounds.

Willis opened her investigation because of a tape made by Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger of a call he received from Trump in early January 2021 that became public. We’ve all heard it—Trump alternately threatened and cajoled Raffensperger while demanding that he find him precisely the number of votes he needed to win in Georgia. Willis appears to have developed evidence crimes took place and is preparing an indictment. Here’s what Trump’s argument about that process comes down to: he objects to any prosecutor, anywhere, being able to investigate him and, if it’s determined he violated the law, charge him. In other words, Trump’s argument is that he’s above the law. The courts in Georgia and elsewhere should give this sort of ludicrous argument the short shrift it deserves. That gives us something to look forward to.

Finally…

Not all of this week’s bad news for Trump came on the legal front. There was bad political news for him as well. Enjoy this one, heading into your weekend.

(full article online)

Closing Out A Bad Week For Trump

Mr. Trump is having a bad week in court. My favorite one is Georgia, so I’ve saved it for last, but you’ll want to make sure you read that far—or skip down to it if your end of the week attention span is short. Mar-a-Lago Today, ABC reported that a target letter was sent to an unidentified Trump...

joycevance.substack.com

 

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As soon as you properly punish Hunter Biden for his crimes, get back to me.

 

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Two Legal Issues

There are two legal issues of interest tonight. First, an important decision by the Justice Department in the E. Jean Carroll case—this is the second of her two defamation cases, and it’s set for trial in January. Second, Donald Trump’s lawyers have responded to the government’s request for a...

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In what feels like an exercise in déjà vu, federal prosecutors and Trump’s legal team are scheduled to make their first appearance in front of Judge Aileen Cannon in the classified-documents trial this Tuesday. The court’s conference with the parties is set to take place in Judge Cannon’s courtroom in Fort Pierce, Florida. The reason for the hearing is to set the procedure for handling classified material and pretrial motions in that regard as the case proceeds. The Judge may also take up the pending motion to reschedule the trial date, which is now fully briefed.
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Although the hearing won’t be public, at least not entirely, because of the nature of the issues under discussion, we will likely get a sense of how the Judge handles herself. That’s the case if for no other reason than that it would be unsurprising to see Trump weigh in after the hearing. Today, the former president made a transparent pitch on Sunday Morning Futures on Fox News for the Judge to continue to rule in his favor, taking credit for appointing her and saying: “I know it’s a very highly respected Judge. A very smart Judge and a very strong Judge…She is very smart, very strong, and loves our country. We need judges that love our country so they do the right thing.” If he still likes her after the Tuesday hearing, it will be a good sign things went his way. Most judges would be deeply offended.

In the meantime, Trump continues to confess to his crimes on national television. During a speech this week at a conservative gathering, the Turning Point Action conference, he acknowledged that he had the documents he’s accused of illegally retaining in his possession, saying there was nothing wrong with it. But that’s quite a concession. That takes a key issue prosecutors would otherwise have to prove at trial off of their plates. Now they can just play tape of the defendant acknowledging he had the documents.

Trump continues to maintain that he was entitled to have the records under the Presidential Records Act. While that may work in the court of public opinion, at least for now, it’s going to fall flat in the court of law because the Act isn’t complicated. It provides that White House records related to government business are public property and that when a president leaves office, they go to the National Archives for preservation.

Trump has manufactured a defense using a statute that does nothing to countermand the rules surrounding classified documents and criminal implications of violating them. The Presidential Records Act in no way exonerates him. It may sound good to the uninformed, but it’s not a defense—not even close.

There is probably a lot of gnashing of teeth going on among Trump’s lawyers, who have certainly tried to get him to quit speaking publicly. But the former president can’t stay off social media, where he keeps replaying his greatest hits and making derogatory and threatening comments about prosecutors. Since his federal indictment, Trump has spoken out in public about special counsel Jack Smith, calling him “deranged,” a “psycho,” and of course saying that the straight-arrow career prosecutor “looks like a crackhead.” Smith hasn’t responded publicly or asked the court to issue a gag order—the First Amendment issues there would take too much time to untangle if Smith wants his speedy trial. But that doesn’t mean prosecutors aren’t keeping track of Trump’s comments.



If Trump is convicted, they may end up being offered as evidence to support a sentence at the high end of the range recommended by the sentencing guidelines. It’s odd to reflect that, not long ago, Donald Trump’s photograph used to hang near the entry to every federal courthouse, every U.S. Attorney’s Office, and every federal law enforcement agency office in the country. Yet he has no respect or regard for the people who enforce the law.

The Week Ahead

July 16, 2023

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Harry Litman

@harrylitman

Cannon has ordered Trump to be prepared to discuss a new trial schedule. That’s a new schedule with the final date being trial, which the US has argued can begin in December. Not just classified procedures. Suggests she won’t let him get away w/ saying nothing as he’s done so far

 

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