Statistikhengst
Diamond Member
- Nov 21, 2013
- 45,564
- 11,757
Support for Iran nuclear deal - The Washington Post
Of course, the devil is in the details:
All Americans: 59% for, 31% against, margin: +28% for. That's a massive margin.
RV only: 57% for, 32% against, margin: +25% for. That's a massive margin.
By Party:
Democrats: 68% for, 22% against, margin: +46% for. That's a massive margin.
Republicans: 47% for, 44% against, margin: +3% for. That's a very thin plurality and statistically, a near-tie.
But here's the kicker:
Independents: 60% for, 33% against, margin: +27% for. That's a massive margin.
By race:
Whites: 58% for, 34% against, margin: +24% for. That's a massive margin.
All non-whites together: 62% for, 26% against, margin: +36% for. That's a massive margin.
Blacks: 64% for, 26% against, margin: +38% for. That's a massive margin.
Religion:
White Evangelical Protestant: 49% for, 44% against, margin: +5% for. That's a lean plurality and almost a majority.
White Non-Evangelical Protestant: 55% for, 33% against, margin: +22% for. That's a massive margin.
White Catholic: 59% for, 33% against, margin: +26% for. That's a massive margin.
I currently see no rubrik for Jews in this poll.
Region:
Northeast: 65% for, 24% against, margin: +41% for. That's a massive margin.
Midwest: 57% for, 32% against, margin: +25% for. That's a massive margin.
South: 60% for, 33% against, margin: +27% for. That's a massive margin.
West: 56% for, 31% against, margin: +25% for. That's a massive margin.
Across, the board, the poll shows great uniformity by region, religion, adults vs. RV, and, excepting Republicans, party ID. And even among self-identified Republicans, more are for it than against it.
However, when asked if people really think that a deal will happen or be a success, the numbers look very different.
Go to the poll and see the rest for yourselves.
1,003 adults, MoE= +/-3.5.
More data later, including raws and internals.
Gotta get to work.
Discuss. Remember, this is just one poll, but it is very telling.
Of course, the devil is in the details:
All Americans: 59% for, 31% against, margin: +28% for. That's a massive margin.
RV only: 57% for, 32% against, margin: +25% for. That's a massive margin.
By Party:
Democrats: 68% for, 22% against, margin: +46% for. That's a massive margin.
Republicans: 47% for, 44% against, margin: +3% for. That's a very thin plurality and statistically, a near-tie.
But here's the kicker:
Independents: 60% for, 33% against, margin: +27% for. That's a massive margin.
By race:
Whites: 58% for, 34% against, margin: +24% for. That's a massive margin.
All non-whites together: 62% for, 26% against, margin: +36% for. That's a massive margin.
Blacks: 64% for, 26% against, margin: +38% for. That's a massive margin.
Religion:
White Evangelical Protestant: 49% for, 44% against, margin: +5% for. That's a lean plurality and almost a majority.
White Non-Evangelical Protestant: 55% for, 33% against, margin: +22% for. That's a massive margin.
White Catholic: 59% for, 33% against, margin: +26% for. That's a massive margin.
I currently see no rubrik for Jews in this poll.
Region:
Northeast: 65% for, 24% against, margin: +41% for. That's a massive margin.
Midwest: 57% for, 32% against, margin: +25% for. That's a massive margin.
South: 60% for, 33% against, margin: +27% for. That's a massive margin.
West: 56% for, 31% against, margin: +25% for. That's a massive margin.
Across, the board, the poll shows great uniformity by region, religion, adults vs. RV, and, excepting Republicans, party ID. And even among self-identified Republicans, more are for it than against it.
However, when asked if people really think that a deal will happen or be a success, the numbers look very different.
Go to the poll and see the rest for yourselves.
1,003 adults, MoE= +/-3.5.
More data later, including raws and internals.
Gotta get to work.
Discuss. Remember, this is just one poll, but it is very telling.
Last edited: