auditor0007
Gold Member
I think the lack of growth goes directly to the fact that middle class wages are not back to 08 levels, and in fact they've only recently seen any growth. And, while Dante overplayed his hand, I do think we overvalue any potus's ability to directly affect the economy. But, in general we should have a bipartisan effort to remove taxes that make markets turn on tax decisions rather than efficient and best investment decisions. We should also remove as many tax benefits from offshoring as possiblethe reason gas was low at the end of the bush years is the same reason it has fallen very recently NOW; the world economy is slowing
idiots and hypocrites
So our economy is now in a tailspin, we are losing 750,000 jobs per month, and the stock market is about to lose half of its value? I didn't think so.
I don't think anyone is making a case that the economy is in the same state as it was back in 2008, Auditor but it's seven YEARS later at this point and the economy is still basically treading water at 1% a year growth and millions still underemployed. The fact is...the economy sucks and you have to go no further than the Fed's decision to not raise interest rates from essentially zero because they're so concerned about what effect that would have...to know that's the case.
And part of the reason that the price of gas is low is that the US developed new oil sources which prompted the other oil producers to price their oil lower to counter that production. That new US production isn't something that Barack Obama can lay claim to as "his" however since his Administration opposed the development of fossil fuels and production of oil DROPPED on lands that the Federal Government had control of.
I'm going to have to disagree with you, Bendog...I think that the President can directly affect the economy simply by what he proposes as his agenda. If what you are proposing are things that hurt job creation...like the ACA and like Cap & Trade legislation...if you keep sending the message that you'd like to see $6 a gallon gasoline to curb our use of fossil fuels and encourage alternative energy sources...people in the Private Sector who are deciding whether or not to risk investment capital are going to take that agenda into account when they make the call to invest or not to invest. It's a lesson that Barry never seemed to grasp...how his "plans"...what he kept saying he'd like to see happen...affected the economy.
I agree with you, sort of. The CBO projects the ACA will reduce aggregate hours worked by 1.5-2% per year from 2017-24, but it makes no projections over a longer term. I'm not sure that I've seen any more or less non-partisan estimate for cap and trade, but it doesn't really matter because it's not happening. But, the CBO also found that the ACA effects would really only become apparent in 2016, as the entire law kicked in. So, the major effect of Obama's policies fall on his successor.
If the ACA improves the overall health of workers, and helps contain how much we spend on healthcare, the econ impact will be positive over the longterm. The clean air act made us put in catalytic converters, and dampened consumption initially, but the overall econ impact is hugely successful. And the same is true for the clean water act.
The US economy suffers from a lack of demand. And, there's abundant cheap capital to be had for business expansion. Or consumer consumption for that matter. The ACA and Cap and Trade (which isn't happening) have no effect on this situation. In fact, one really can blame W, who said himself, "the economy got drunk, so now it's got a hangover." We over leveraged credit, and now we're deleveraging And it's not just an American situation. There's a global slowdown in growth (with a few exceptions).
There is simply no rational way to blame a drop in middle class incomes NOW, and before these laws you point became effective.
Income Stagnation in 2014 Shows the Economy Is Not Working for Most Families
A guy didn't decide to not buy another subway franchise because he'd have to pay more for full time workers. He could have hired part time workers. He decided not to expand because he didn't think he could sell the sandwiches.
The forces at work on wages are structural and possibly irreversible.
Middle class decline looms over final years of Obama presidency
But, and I know you're going to hate this, is that Krugman (Hi dante, you poof) is not totally wrong that the middle class has a tool in the vote, and it can demand the progressive taxes be used to reduce how much the middle class pays for stuff like education. Obama's proposal to just give kids two years to goof off in Jr. College is, however, and example of liberal-elite failure to understand behavior.
The biggest argument that really is relevant is whether our economy is a top to bottom economy as espoused by conservatives and trickle down economics or whether we are a consumer economy dependent upon greater demand for products and services from the bottom up. Simply put, the economy is stagnating because those at the bottom and in the middle have not seen their incomes grow, and therefore they are not spending money and creating greater demand. Without demand, those at the top have no reason to expand or invest in new business, which is exactly what has been happening throughout this recovery. So instead of expanding the economy, those who control the money and jobs have chosen to cut costs wherever possible to maximize profits. It has worked well for the wealthy, but it won't continue for the long run. Eventually those on the lower end must start seeing improvement if the long term economy is to do well.