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dude, seriously, stop, you are not helping the causehttp://www.fordham.edu/images/academics/graduate_schools/gsas/elections_and_campaign_/poll%20accuracy%20in%20the%202008%20presidential%20election.pdf
The Fordam study..................RASMUSSEN #1.
outliers
Hey Skook
Nobody cares about your juvenile paintbrush art
Makes you look like some idiot walking down the street talking to himself
Just thought I would help you out
kinda sucks when the k00ks are made to look like dumbass sheep...... huh s0n??????
Heres to you s0n................
Can anyone here stand up and say they enjoy the Skooks posts???
Anyone???
Can anyone here stand up and say they enjoy the Skooks posts???
Anyone???
Can anyone here stand up and say they enjoy the Skooks posts???
Anyone???
As the great Bob grant said once.........."you confront the absurd by being even more absurd."
Dont worry s0n.............Im not going anywhere. Im way too busy and have real responsibilities in life..........to spend 23 hours a day on here like you and the other k00ks. I'll continue to post up my gay MSPaint masterpieces because they highlight the level of k00k in the posts by the k00ks.
Ooooooops!!!!!!
public self pwn once again s0n...................
How Did We Do?
Thursday, November 06, 2008 Email to a Friend ShareThisAdvertisement
The final Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Election 2008 showed Barack Obama leading John McCain 52% to 46%. We are pleased to report that those figures precisely matched the actual election returns.
A Fordham University analysis put Rasmussen Reports on top of the list for accuracy among 23 national pollsters.
Oooooooops!!!!!!!
"Only main difference" is an odd phrase in polling. Every nuance of every question liicits a particular bias in the respondent as well as the tone of the voice of the interviewer, time of day, sequence of questions and just about anything else that one may care to cite.
MSNBC Polls will general illicite a more liberal response from the whole universe than will FOX News. Are we to believe that the poll from each actually always taps in to only the group more sympathetic to the famous political leaning of either or both? It is more likely that the biases of the pollers are consistant than the are the people polled.
For this reason all polls are valuable as they are what they are. It is the people who review each of the polls that need to be aware of the biases. Averaging the polls does not average the opinion. It averages the bias. Averaging the bias is worthless. Read the polls individually and know that that the biases exist.
Read the trends exposed by the polls. If Obama's popularity changes by 3 points in all polls regardless of the level reflected by the individual polls, something is happening. Measure the change, not the level. This is true whether the change is negative, like August, or positive, like September.
Reading a poll and seeing only that which supports your own bias is myopic.
A new Gallup poll shows that the number of people who have a favorable impression of Barack Obama has fallen to its lowest point since he became president. Fifty-six percent say they have a favorable impression of Obama, versus 40 percent who say they have an unfavorable impression. (Four percent say they have no opinion.) Historically, a president's personal favorable rating has often been higher than his job approval rating; right now, Gallup has Obama's job approval at 52 percent.
[How Did We Do?
Thursday, November 06, 2008 Email to a Friend ShareThisAdvertisement
The final Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Election 2008 showed Barack Obama leading John McCain 52% to 46%. We are pleased to report that those figures precisely matched the actual election returns.
A Fordham University analysis put Rasmussen Reports on top of the list for accuracy among 23 national pollsters.
[How Did We Do?
Thursday, November 06, 2008 Email to a Friend ShareThisAdvertisement
The final Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Election 2008 showed Barack Obama leading John McCain 52% to 46%. We are pleased to report that those figures precisely matched the actual election returns.
A Fordham University analysis put Rasmussen Reports on top of the list for accuracy among 23 national pollsters.
The actual election was not 52 to 46, and what does the election poll have to do with approval polls?
BTW
The Fordham study you cite had Rasmussen actually tied with Pew Research, and Pew's last approval poll has Obama at 52 - 36 for a plus 16 net...
...so you should be as happy with Pew Research as you are with Rasmussen.
[How Did We Do?
Thursday, November 06, 2008 Email to a Friend ShareThisAdvertisement
The final Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Election 2008 showed Barack Obama leading John McCain 52% to 46%. We are pleased to report that those figures precisely matched the actual election returns.
A Fordham University analysis put Rasmussen Reports on top of the list for accuracy among 23 national pollsters.
The actual election was not 52 to 46, and what does the election poll have to do with approval polls?
BTW
The Fordham study you cite had Rasmussen actually tied with Pew Research, and Pew's last approval poll has Obama at 52 - 36 for a plus 16 net...
...so you should be as happy with Pew Research as you are with Rasmussen.
Final 2008 Election Results: Barack Obama beat John McCain by 7.3%
RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama
Rasmussen called 6%. 1.3% away from the result.
IPSOS, CNN, and FoxNews (Surprisingly) were all a full point closer to the actual results with 8%. .3% away from the result.
And the RCP Average had 7.6%. .3% away from the result.
and NBC News and IDB/TIPP had 8%. .7% away from the result.
The whole "Rasmussen is most accurate" claim is a bunch of malarkey, as 6 major polling agencies had closer, and the RCP average was closer.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama
The actual election was not 52 to 46, and what does the election poll have to do with approval polls?
BTW
The Fordham study you cite had Rasmussen actually tied with Pew Research, and Pew's last approval poll has Obama at 52 - 36 for a plus 16 net...
...so you should be as happy with Pew Research as you are with Rasmussen.
Final 2008 Election Results: Barack Obama beat John McCain by 7.3%
RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama
Rasmussen called 6%. 1.3% away from the result.
IPSOS, CNN, and FoxNews (Surprisingly) were all a full point closer to the actual results with 8%. .3% away from the result.
And the RCP Average had 7.6%. .3% away from the result.
and NBC News and IDB/TIPP had 8%. .7% away from the result.
The whole "Rasmussen is most accurate" claim is a bunch of malarkey, as 6 major polling agencies had closer, and the RCP average was closer.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama
It's also irrelevant because an approval poll is not an election poll and Rasmussen was using essentially the same method as everyone else in the election, which it is not doing with approval polling.
Final 2008 Election Results: Barack Obama beat John McCain by 7.3%
RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama
Rasmussen called 6%. 1.3% away from the result.
IPSOS, CNN, and FoxNews (Surprisingly) were all a full point closer to the actual results with 8%. .3% away from the result.
And the RCP Average had 7.6%. .3% away from the result.
and NBC News and IDB/TIPP had 8%. .7% away from the result.
The whole "Rasmussen is most accurate" claim is a bunch of malarkey, as 6 major polling agencies had closer, and the RCP average was closer.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama
It's also irrelevant because an approval poll is not an election poll and Rasmussen was using essentially the same method as everyone else in the election, which it is not doing with approval polling.
Indeed, you may in fact be correct on that point, but I was simply refuting the assertion that has been made dozens of times on this thread that Rasmussen is "more reliable" than other polling agencies.
I was also pointing out that by their standard, which you correctly assert is probably irrelevant, Rasmussen trails behind many other polling agencies.
Oh.........oh...................
and wait'll independents get aload of this gem...............
Foreclosures: 'Worst three months of all time'
Despite signs of broader economic recovery, number of foreclosure filings hit a record high in the third quarter - a sign the plague is still spreading
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Despite concerted government-led and lender-supported efforts to prevent foreclosures, the number of filings hit a record high in the third quarter, according to a report issued Thursday.
"They were the worst three months of all time," said Rick Sharga, spokesman for RealtyTrac, an online marketer of foreclosed homes.
During that time, 937,840 homes received a foreclosure letter -- whether a default notice, auction notice or bank repossession, the RealtyTrac report said. That means one in every 136 U.S. homes were in foreclosure, which is a 5% increase from the second quarter and a 23% jump over the third quarter of 2008.
