Historian who correctly predicted every election since 1984 says Trump will lose

Of the 13 predictive "keys" Trump has lost seven of the 13 keys and will lose based on Lichtman's formula which so far has been foolproof.



I saw him interviewed about this. His 7 points that he says will tank Trump make sense - except for the facts that:
- many people see the Dems as causing or exacerbating these problems
- Trump is still the outsider; Biden is the ultimate non-entity parasitic insider
- The majority of people say they are better off now, even after months of Covid, than they were when Obabble and Plugs were running the country
 
No President in recent times that had a result of over 45% regarding 'better than 4 years ago' has lost.

Trump has a 56% better off peercentage; Trump will win.

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There are too many variables in this election for this guy to be right. He is guessing.

1. The COVID pandemic - was not Trump's fault and the economy was on fire before it came along

2. Biden is also something of an incumbent - he served as VP just 4 years ago.

3. The public demonstrations are all on the Democrats and not Trump's fault. Anyone who says it is Trump's fault is an idiot.

4. The public does not trust the media or the polls anymore

TrafalgarGroup (best of 2016) Says...
  • AZ: (10-30) Trump 48.9% Biden 46.4%
  • FL: (10-30) Trump 49.6% Biden 46.9%
  • MI: (10-29) Trump 49.1% Biden 46.6% (Mich)
  • PA: (10-27) Trump 48.4% Biden 47.6%
  • NC: (10-27) Trump 48.8% Biden 46 %
 
Of the 13 predictive "keys" Trump has lost seven of the 13 keys and will lose based on Lichtman's formula which so far has been foolproof.


I wonder how much he got paid to say that Trump does not have the keys he actually has.

Biden probably paid good money. They must dictate your opinions to you.

Folks, TRUMP 2020!
 
Fact:

Biden put kids in cages. Trump will put Biden in a coffin.
 

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