Official Coronavirus Thread - Up to the minute Coronavirus map and count.

Good information
I suspect the virus is spread not by just coughing. Remember the choir where 45 people became infected from choir practices plus a lot of cases have no identifiable contact.

There could be a lot of good things come out this epidemic. If the social distancing and the other common sense health precautions such as hand washing, avoiding handshaking, and reduction in hand touching of the face becomes a habit with many people, it could have a dramatic impact on the flu, pneumonia, digestive infections, the common cold, etc.. and that would have dramatic impact on the cost of healthcare and worker productivity. In fact there are a number of good things that could come out all this. Maybe I should start thread about it.

Coughing and sneezing probably spreads it the furthest from an infected person. Mainly, it is spread via the mouth. I'm not going to be able to give a look of death to someone.

What's troublesome if it's like HIV and we can't just eradicate it with a vaccine. We only have drugs and it's not a sure thing like hydroxychloroquine.
 
View attachment 322606
March 24, 2020 - United States - 54,916
March 25, 2020 - United States - 68,489 - 24.7% increase
March 26, 2020 - United States - 85,594 - 24.97% increase
March 27, 2020 - United States - 104,256 - 21.8% increase
March 28, 2020 - United States - 123,776 - 18.7% increase
March 29, 2020 - United States - 142,224 - 14.9% increase
March 30, 2020 - United States - 164,266 - 15.5% increase
March 31, 2020 - United States - 188,578 - 14.8% increase
April 1, 2020 - United States - 215,300 - 14.2% increase
April 2, 2020 - United States - 245,193 - 13.9% increase
April 3, 2020 - United States - 277,475 - 13.2% increase
April 4, 2020 - United States - 311,635 - 12.3% increase
April 5, 2020 - United States - 336,830 - 8.1% increase
April 6, 2020 - United States - 367,629 - 9.1% increase
April 7, 2020 - United States - 400,540 - 9.0% increase
April 8, 2020 - United States - 435,160 - 8.6% increase
April 9, 2020 - United States - 468,895 - 7.8% increase
April 10, 2020 - United States - 502,876 - 7.3% increase

If you show the actual differential, you'll see the actual number staying pretty steady. As a percentage of the whole (and keep in mind these are total cases.....we have about 45,000 resolved cases) they will decrease because the whole is getting larger.

View attachment 321975

At one point, before I was making the chart, you were having an increasing rate of increase per day, despite the total becoming larger every day. The nightmare situation was staying at 27% increase per day and having 100 million people infected by April 25. Now that the rate has dropped below 8%, were looking at maybe 3 million infections in a month, but that's if we stay around 8% a day. Hopefully that will be cut further.

If the prediction is for 60,000 deaths by August, then at the current death rate, that will mean about 1,560,000 confirmed infections by August. That would suggest that were about 1/3 of the way through this first wave. Of course, these are all just projections based on current numbers.
Predicting the numbers of deaths in an out of control epidemic by Aug. is about as accurate as predicting the Dow Jones Average at end of Aug.

Yes.

If we have an out of control epidemic, we should be warry.

Fortunately all we are dealing with the Corona. The only issue there is the panic created by our fearless know-nothings.
An epidemic with an exponential growth in the number of cases is out of control. An epidemic is considered under control when the number of new cases are decreasing.

And in many cases it is decreasing.

I've been posting several key examples.
The population density in Utah is 33 people per square mile. The population density of New York City is 28,000 people per square mile. High density populations have high numbers of cases and deaths.

So lock down New York.

Leave Utah alone.
 
New York + New Jersey + Michigan carry 67% of yesterday's deaths.

The rest of the country could give a shit.
 
March 24, 2020 - United States - 54,916
March 25, 2020 - United States - 68,489 - 24.7% increase
March 26, 2020 - United States - 85,594 - 24.97% increase
March 27, 2020 - United States - 104,256 - 21.8% increase
March 28, 2020 - United States - 123,776 - 18.7% increase
March 29, 2020 - United States - 142,224 - 14.9% increase
March 30, 2020 - United States - 164,266 - 15.5% increase
March 31, 2020 - United States - 188,578 - 14.8% increase
April 1, 2020 - United States - 215,300 - 14.2% increase
April 2, 2020 - United States - 245,193 - 13.9% increase
April 3, 2020 - United States - 277,475 - 13.2% increase
April 4, 2020 - United States - 311,635 - 12.3% increase
April 5, 2020 - United States - 336,830 - 8.1% increase
April 6, 2020 - United States - 367,629 - 9.1% increase
April 7, 2020 - United States - 400,540 - 9.0% increase
April 8, 2020 - United States - 435,160 - 8.6% increase
April 9, 2020 - United States - 468,895 - 7.8% increase
April 10, 2020 - United States - 502,876 - 7.3% increase
April 11, 2020 - United States - 533,115 - 6.0% increase
April 12, 2020 - United States - 560,433 - 5.1% increase
 
Yes.

If we have an out of control epidemic, we should be warry.

Fortunately all we are dealing with the Corona. The only issue there is the panic created by our fearless know-nothings.

Not just panic, problem are also accurate counts for infected and for causes of deaths.

My first neighbor works at the hospital and she sees problems with tests and results they're getting. So I wrote down few terms and notes, and try to make sense from what she said and what I found out. Well, she's not top specialist, but she works with them, and to me she damn right looks like she knows what she's talking about. Since I am in Michigan, I hope I won't be arrested for socializing with neighbors. :)

To test for corona virus, they're using something called RT-PCR, you can read about it here. What's wrong with the test is that is not looking for corona virus directly, but for presence of certain strain of RNA, and since it's believed that corona virus is an RNA virus, there is certain RNA wrapped in proteins. Where it goes from there... they are assuming that if that RNA can be detected, than patient must have corona virus. It's assumption, not certainty, and that's fallacy, because there is nothing to prove that RNA that show positive test did not come from some other source, like bacteria, fungi, or patient's other cells.

That's why there is big question about legitimacy of confirmed cases of corona virus. While it's true that RNA could've come from corona virus, it could have come from tons of other sources unrelated to corona virus. Now, how to actually prove someone has corona virus for real, what would be proper procedure? Well, that something called purification... way I understood it is, they need to find exact RNA protein structure of corona virus, purify it, then extract RNA from the structure that match original RNA found in Wuhan, and only if those are the match, than person has corona virus.

Since they're not doing that, there is no actual proof of the corona virus itself, just proof of presence of RNA that could come from various/different sources. Regardless of suspect nature of their declared number of "confirmed" cases, the possibility of confirming the corona virus is not achievable with current testing kits.

The fact that people are having to be buried in mass graves in New York City do to the bodies stacking up outside of hospitals is all the proof you need about how dangerous and devastating this pandemic is. When was the last time New York City was forced to use mass graves to bury people do to the sudden surge of deaths?
When we were kids we attached ourselves to rock stars. As we matured we no longer pretended. Are you still a kid or just a cellar dwelling doofus?

Most adults understand how to have a civil conversation about a topic without making personal comments are calling people names.
 
March 24, 2020 - United States - 54,916
March 25, 2020 - United States - 68,489 - 24.7% increase
March 26, 2020 - United States - 85,594 - 24.97% increase
March 27, 2020 - United States - 104,256 - 21.8% increase
March 28, 2020 - United States - 123,776 - 18.7% increase
March 29, 2020 - United States - 142,224 - 14.9% increase
March 30, 2020 - United States - 164,266 - 15.5% increase
March 31, 2020 - United States - 188,578 - 14.8% increase
April 1, 2020 - United States - 215,300 - 14.2% increase
April 2, 2020 - United States - 245,193 - 13.9% increase
April 3, 2020 - United States - 277,475 - 13.2% increase
April 4, 2020 - United States - 311,635 - 12.3% increase
April 5, 2020 - United States - 336,830 - 8.1% increase
April 6, 2020 - United States - 367,629 - 9.1% increase
April 7, 2020 - United States - 400,540 - 9.0% increase
April 8, 2020 - United States - 435,160 - 8.6% increase
April 9, 2020 - United States - 468,895 - 7.8% increase
April 10, 2020 - United States - 502,876 - 7.3% increase
April 11, 2020 - United States - 533,115 - 6.0% increase
So roughly 1 in 650 people gets it
50,000 seat stadium wise, 77 infecteds and 49,923 not,
Definitely NOT a reason to shut down the USA

It would only take 500 infected people to infect everyone in a 50,000 seat stadium, maybe even less than that. It only took one person to infect 60 people at a 2 hour choir practice, in Washington State the first week of March, despite social distancing, no handshakes or hugs, and hand cleaning.

Without the current lockdowns and other measures, over 50 million Americans would now be infected. By the end of April that number would be 100 million. By August it would have fully spread throughout the country and killed 2.4 million Americans. Its a disaster that the number of Americans dead from covid-19 could be 60,000 by August. But at least it won't be 2.4 million and that's thanks to the lockdowns and people who understand SCIENCE and how pathogens are spread, and what it takes to stop them.
 
Yes.

If we have an out of control epidemic, we should be warry.

Fortunately all we are dealing with the Corona. The only issue there is the panic created by our fearless know-nothings.

Not just panic, problem are also accurate counts for infected and for causes of deaths.

My first neighbor works at the hospital and she sees problems with tests and results they're getting. So I wrote down few terms and notes, and try to make sense from what she said and what I found out. Well, she's not top specialist, but she works with them, and to me she damn right looks like she knows what she's talking about. Since I am in Michigan, I hope I won't be arrested for socializing with neighbors. :)

To test for corona virus, they're using something called RT-PCR, you can read about it here. What's wrong with the test is that is not looking for corona virus directly, but for presence of certain strain of RNA, and since it's believed that corona virus is an RNA virus, there is certain RNA wrapped in proteins. Where it goes from there... they are assuming that if that RNA can be detected, than patient must have corona virus. It's assumption, not certainty, and that's fallacy, because there is nothing to prove that RNA that show positive test did not come from some other source, like bacteria, fungi, or patient's other cells.

That's why there is big question about legitimacy of confirmed cases of corona virus. While it's true that RNA could've come from corona virus, it could have come from tons of other sources unrelated to corona virus. Now, how to actually prove someone has corona virus for real, what would be proper procedure? Well, that something called purification... way I understood it is, they need to find exact RNA protein structure of corona virus, purify it, then extract RNA from the structure that match original RNA found in Wuhan, and only if those are the match, than person has corona virus.

Since they're not doing that, there is no actual proof of the corona virus itself, just proof of presence of RNA that could come from various/different sources. Regardless of suspect nature of their declared number of "confirmed" cases, the possibility of confirming the corona virus is not achievable with current testing kits.

The fact that people are having to be buried in mass graves in New York City do to the bodies stacking up outside of hospitals is all the proof you need about how dangerous and devastating this pandemic is. When was the last time New York City was forced to use mass graves to bury people do to the sudden surge of deaths?

Mass graves? Linky?

Tell me something, when you can't have burials, and when bodies cannot be released to families or funeral homes, what do you do with them? You think those bodies in tailors are just COVID deaths?

Does not matter why or how the people died. Mass graves have become necessary in New York.
 
New York + New Jersey + Michigan carry 67% of yesterday's deaths.

The rest of the country could give a shit.

Actually the rest of the country does care, except maybe some idiots in these states that have yet to issue a statewide stay at home order:

North Dakota
South Dakota
Nebraska
Iowa
Arkansas
Oklahoma
Wyoming
Utah
 
Only 10 deaths so far today and 133 new cases. Previously, hose figures have been significantly higher by this time of day. Hopefully, this thing is leveling off and maybe not too much longer before we can get on with our lives.
 
Some researchers are now saying this respiratory virus may be like HIV, i.e. no vaccine to kill it. German researchers (?). It would mean there would only be drugs to treat the symptoms. That would mean only drugs like hydroxychloroquine or what we heard of here in the United States to treat it. I dunno.

What I do think is the virus has mutated into a more powerful and deadly one in Europe. The research seems to point to it. It is hitting New York, New Jersey, and the East coast states the hardest. The right wing wants to lift the lockdown type conditions once the apex has passed. That might not be the smartest thing to do without a vaccine and not enough testing of the drugs. What I do know is what has hurt and failed the US is lack of good test kits. We are far behind in this area, but there is hope with the rapid results test kits.
 
Yes.

If we have an out of control epidemic, we should be warry.

Fortunately all we are dealing with the Corona. The only issue there is the panic created by our fearless know-nothings.

Not just panic, problem are also accurate counts for infected and for causes of deaths.

My first neighbor works at the hospital and she sees problems with tests and results they're getting. So I wrote down few terms and notes, and try to make sense from what she said and what I found out. Well, she's not top specialist, but she works with them, and to me she damn right looks like she knows what she's talking about. Since I am in Michigan, I hope I won't be arrested for socializing with neighbors. :)

To test for corona virus, they're using something called RT-PCR, you can read about it here. What's wrong with the test is that is not looking for corona virus directly, but for presence of certain strain of RNA, and since it's believed that corona virus is an RNA virus, there is certain RNA wrapped in proteins. Where it goes from there... they are assuming that if that RNA can be detected, than patient must have corona virus. It's assumption, not certainty, and that's fallacy, because there is nothing to prove that RNA that show positive test did not come from some other source, like bacteria, fungi, or patient's other cells.

That's why there is big question about legitimacy of confirmed cases of corona virus. While it's true that RNA could've come from corona virus, it could have come from tons of other sources unrelated to corona virus. Now, how to actually prove someone has corona virus for real, what would be proper procedure? Well, that something called purification... way I understood it is, they need to find exact RNA protein structure of corona virus, purify it, then extract RNA from the structure that match original RNA found in Wuhan, and only if those are the match, than person has corona virus.

Since they're not doing that, there is no actual proof of the corona virus itself, just proof of presence of RNA that could come from various/different sources. Regardless of suspect nature of their declared number of "confirmed" cases, the possibility of confirming the corona virus is not achievable with current testing kits.

The fact that people are having to be buried in mass graves in New York City do to the bodies stacking up outside of hospitals is all the proof you need about how dangerous and devastating this pandemic is. When was the last time New York City was forced to use mass graves to bury people do to the sudden surge of deaths?

Mass graves? Linky?

Tell me something, when you can't have burials, and when bodies cannot be released to families or funeral homes, what do you do with them? You think those bodies in tailors are just COVID deaths?

Does not matter why or how the people died. Mass graves have become necessary in New York.

Still no linky?
 
New York + New Jersey + Michigan carry 67% of yesterday's deaths.

The rest of the country could give a shit.

Actually the rest of the country does care, except maybe some idiots in these states that have yet to issue a statewide stay at home order:

North Dakota
South Dakota
Nebraska
Iowa
Arkansas
Oklahoma
Wyoming
Utah

Why should they issue the order? How South Dakota effects New York?
 
Yes.

If we have an out of control epidemic, we should be warry.

Fortunately all we are dealing with the Corona. The only issue there is the panic created by our fearless know-nothings.

Not just panic, problem are also accurate counts for infected and for causes of deaths.

My first neighbor works at the hospital and she sees problems with tests and results they're getting. So I wrote down few terms and notes, and try to make sense from what she said and what I found out. Well, she's not top specialist, but she works with them, and to me she damn right looks like she knows what she's talking about. Since I am in Michigan, I hope I won't be arrested for socializing with neighbors. :)

To test for corona virus, they're using something called RT-PCR, you can read about it here. What's wrong with the test is that is not looking for corona virus directly, but for presence of certain strain of RNA, and since it's believed that corona virus is an RNA virus, there is certain RNA wrapped in proteins. Where it goes from there... they are assuming that if that RNA can be detected, than patient must have corona virus. It's assumption, not certainty, and that's fallacy, because there is nothing to prove that RNA that show positive test did not come from some other source, like bacteria, fungi, or patient's other cells.

That's why there is big question about legitimacy of confirmed cases of corona virus. While it's true that RNA could've come from corona virus, it could have come from tons of other sources unrelated to corona virus. Now, how to actually prove someone has corona virus for real, what would be proper procedure? Well, that something called purification... way I understood it is, they need to find exact RNA protein structure of corona virus, purify it, then extract RNA from the structure that match original RNA found in Wuhan, and only if those are the match, than person has corona virus.

Since they're not doing that, there is no actual proof of the corona virus itself, just proof of presence of RNA that could come from various/different sources. Regardless of suspect nature of their declared number of "confirmed" cases, the possibility of confirming the corona virus is not achievable with current testing kits.

The fact that people are having to be buried in mass graves in New York City do to the bodies stacking up outside of hospitals is all the proof you need about how dangerous and devastating this pandemic is. When was the last time New York City was forced to use mass graves to bury people do to the sudden surge of deaths?

Mass graves? Linky?

Tell me something, when you can't have burials, and when bodies cannot be released to families or funeral homes, what do you do with them? You think those bodies in tailors are just COVID deaths?

Does not matter why or how the people died. Mass graves have become necessary in New York.

Still no linky?
Your Google's broken again, eh? Bummer. It must suck to have to beg strangers on the internet for widely, publicly available information. Kinda defeats the purpose of the internet, no?
 
Yes.

If we have an out of control epidemic, we should be warry.

Fortunately all we are dealing with the Corona. The only issue there is the panic created by our fearless know-nothings.

Not just panic, problem are also accurate counts for infected and for causes of deaths.

My first neighbor works at the hospital and she sees problems with tests and results they're getting. So I wrote down few terms and notes, and try to make sense from what she said and what I found out. Well, she's not top specialist, but she works with them, and to me she damn right looks like she knows what she's talking about. Since I am in Michigan, I hope I won't be arrested for socializing with neighbors. :)

To test for corona virus, they're using something called RT-PCR, you can read about it here. What's wrong with the test is that is not looking for corona virus directly, but for presence of certain strain of RNA, and since it's believed that corona virus is an RNA virus, there is certain RNA wrapped in proteins. Where it goes from there... they are assuming that if that RNA can be detected, than patient must have corona virus. It's assumption, not certainty, and that's fallacy, because there is nothing to prove that RNA that show positive test did not come from some other source, like bacteria, fungi, or patient's other cells.

That's why there is big question about legitimacy of confirmed cases of corona virus. While it's true that RNA could've come from corona virus, it could have come from tons of other sources unrelated to corona virus. Now, how to actually prove someone has corona virus for real, what would be proper procedure? Well, that something called purification... way I understood it is, they need to find exact RNA protein structure of corona virus, purify it, then extract RNA from the structure that match original RNA found in Wuhan, and only if those are the match, than person has corona virus.

Since they're not doing that, there is no actual proof of the corona virus itself, just proof of presence of RNA that could come from various/different sources. Regardless of suspect nature of their declared number of "confirmed" cases, the possibility of confirming the corona virus is not achievable with current testing kits.

The fact that people are having to be buried in mass graves in New York City do to the bodies stacking up outside of hospitals is all the proof you need about how dangerous and devastating this pandemic is. When was the last time New York City was forced to use mass graves to bury people do to the sudden surge of deaths?

Mass graves? Linky?

Tell me something, when you can't have burials, and when bodies cannot be released to families or funeral homes, what do you do with them? You think those bodies in tailors are just COVID deaths?

Does not matter why or how the people died. Mass graves have become necessary in New York.

Still no linky?
Your Google's broken again, eh? Bummer. It must suck to have to beg strangers on the internet for widely, publicly available information. Kinda defeats the purpose of the internet, no?

No, my search engine is not broken. But if you or someone else make a claim, you should provide the source of the claim. It's not that I don't trust you, but I don't trust you.
 
According to the UK Daily Mail in 2011 Barry the Magnificent granted the Wuhan Institute of Virology $3.7 million
 
Emotional investment in a false scenario is very difficult to dislodge
12 months from now, just like the ongoing Muller is still working delusion, 50 million liberals will declare that 65,000 did not die but rather 1.7-2.2 million did because that’s the emotional investment material that was fed to them and they gobbled it down and now it’s ingrained in them.

Ha, 12 months from now sycophants will still be saying that trump was the greatest 1-term president ever because a lower level of education prevents critical thinking.
1 term president lol and you base that on what?

That trump is a total fuck up.
You're showing signs that malt liquor will rot a brain.
 
Good for us, we've passed the 2½ million mark on testing. Still a long way to go.


Country,
Other
Total
Cases
New
Cases
Total
Deaths
New
Deaths
Total
Recovered
Active
Cases
Serious,
Critical
Tot Cases/
1M pop
Deaths/
1M pop
Total
Tests
Tests/
1M pop
World1,685,533+81,881102,099+6,407375,2211,208,21349,77421613.1
USA493,426+24,86018,331+1,64026,783448,31210,8961,491552,502,6437,561
Spain157,053+3,83115,970+52355,66885,4157,3713,359342355,0007,593
Italy147,577+3,95118,849+57030,45598,2733,4972,441312906,86414,999
France124,869+7,12013,197+98724,93286,7407,0041,913202333,8075,114
Germany121,045+2,8102,728+12153,91364,4044,8951,445331,317,88715,730
China81,907+423,336+177,4551,116144572
UK73,758+8,6818,958+98013564,6651,5591,086132316,8364,667
Iran68,192+1,9724,232+12235,46528,4953,96981250242,5682,888
Turkey47,029+4,7471,006+982,42343,6001,66755812307,2103,643
Belgium26,667+1,6843,019+4965,56818,0801,2782,30126084,2487,269
Switzerland24,551+5001,002+5411,10012,4493862,837116178,50020,625
Netherlands23,097+1,3352,511+11525020,3361,4241,348147101,5345,926
Canada22,046+1,281556+475,83415,65651858415370,3159,812

What our rate of testing per 100,000 people?

If you want 100k, multiply the above by 10 and you get 75,610. Getting caught up with some of the other countries that were better organized. And still improving, at this moment it's up to 8769 (per million).
 

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