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That's funny, spoon, I will grant you, but, no, it is not that tight. If the election were tomorrow, it would be 52 to 48 with Obama getting more than 300 votes, easily. Romney has to do well Wednesday night.
Romney is the better speaker in the debate format, so he should bump up. How far will be the question.
Romney is the better speaker in the debate format, so he should bump up. How far will be the question.
Delusional.
Romney could barely keep up with Newt and Santorum in the debates.
Obama will clean his clock.
He now considers foreign policy and our troops fighting and dying in Afghanistan "a distraction" and "a shiny object".
He is not fit to be POTUS or CiC.
I can't wait for the next round of ads from Obama.
http://www.sodahead.com/united-stat...ge-their-methodology-to-mak/question-3153333/Internal emails between senior officials at The Gallup Organization, obtained by The Daily Caller, show senior Obama campaign adviser David Axelrod attempting to subtly intimidate the respected polling firm when its numbers were unfavorable to the president.
After Gallup declined to change its polling methodology, Obama’s Department of Justice hit it with an unrelated lawsuit that appears damning on its face.
The DC is withholding the identities of the Gallup officials to protect them from potential retaliation from Obama’s campaign and his administration.
In April, Axelrod tweeted that a poll showing Mitt Romney with a 48-43 percent lead over Obama was “saddled with some methodological problems,” directing his Twitter followers to read a National Journal story criticizing Gallup polls showing a Romney lead.
In that National Journal piece, Ron Brownstein wrote that the polls showing Romney leading the president had “a sample that looks much more like the electorate in 2010 than the voting population that is likely to turn out in 2012.”
CNN manipulated their polling | Education NewsCNN is grabbing political headlines tonight with the release of its latest poll. It shows Obama surging to a 6-point lead over Romney, 52-46, among likely. Before the start of the Democrat convention, the candidates had been tied in the poll. Since it purportedly confirms a narrative the media is trying to build, i.e. that Obama is starting to pull away with the race, it is getting wide coverage. However, there are a couple of strange things within the poll that cast doubt on its veracity. And, at least one concern warrants a response from CNN.
First, this being a media poll, it has an obvious skew towards Democrats. The partisan breakdown is (D/R/I) 50/45/5. It perhaps isn’t surprising that Obama is leading a D+5 poll by 6 points. Throughout the campaign season, Obama’s margin usually is very close to the partisan skew in the sample. It is surprising, though, that Independents make up only 5% of the sample. Tellingly, Romney leads this group by 14 points.
Never trust a word they say: NY Times, Quinnipiac skew polling in attempt to depress turnout of voters frustrated with the failures of Obamanomics « Bob OwensJammie Wearing catches the NY Times/Quinnipiac poll dramatically skewing the methodology of the poll to strongly over-sample Democrats:
So Obama is up 9 in Florida with a D+9 sample, up 10 in Ohio with a D+9 sample and up 12 in Pennsylvania with a D+11 sample. I notice in all the orgasmic news reports this morning none of them mention the ridiculous skew to the polls. But all you will hear all day is how big a lead Obama has.
Romney is the better speaker in the debate format, so he should bump up. How far will be the question.
Delusional.
Romney could barely keep up with Newt and Santorum in the debates.
Obama will clean his clock.
He now considers foreign policy and our troops fighting and dying in Afghanistan "a distraction" and "a shiny object".
He is not fit to be POTUS or CiC.
I can't wait for the next round of ads from Obama.
NO LINK?
As we know--the national polls have been oversampling democrats to republicans and leaving independents out of the equation. They're also using 2008 voter turn-out to give these very unrealistic polling data to show Obama ahead. In fact the Obama administration threatened to sue Gallop for trying to use 2010 voter turnout.
Dateline.. Team Obama threatens to sue Gallop Polling to get them to change their methodology to make Oscumbo look better.. And there are many here who wonder why I call him Oscumbo..Internal emails between senior officials at The Gallup Organization, obtained by The Daily Caller, show senior Obama campaign adviser David Axelrod attempting to subtly intimidate the respected polling firm when its numbers were unfavorable to the president.
After Gallup declined to change its polling methodology, Obamas Department of Justice hit it with an unrelated lawsuit that appears damning on its face.
The DC is withholding the identities of the Gallup officials to protect them from potential retaliation from Obamas campaign and his administration.
In April, Axelrod tweeted that a poll showing Mitt Romney with a 48-43 percent lead over Obama was saddled with some methodological problems, directing his Twitter followers to read a National Journal story criticizing Gallup polls showing a Romney lead.
In that National Journal piece, Ron Brownstein wrote that the polls showing Romney leading the president had a sample that looks much more like the electorate in 2010 than the voting population that is likely to turn out in 2012.
Here is a good example of what they're doing:
CNN a couple of weeks ago showed Obama leading by 6 points over Romney in a national poll.
CNN manipulated their polling | Education NewsCNN is grabbing political headlines tonight with the release of its latest poll. It shows Obama surging to a 6-point lead over Romney, 52-46, among likely. Before the start of the Democrat convention, the candidates had been tied in the poll. Since it purportedly confirms a narrative the media is trying to build, i.e. that Obama is starting to pull away with the race, it is getting wide coverage. However, there are a couple of strange things within the poll that cast doubt on its veracity. And, at least one concern warrants a response from CNN.
First, this being a media poll, it has an obvious skew towards Democrats. The partisan breakdown is (D/R/I) 50/45/5. It perhaps isnt surprising that Obama is leading a D+5 poll by 6 points. Throughout the campaign season, Obamas margin usually is very close to the partisan skew in the sample. It is surprising, though, that Independents make up only 5% of the sample. Tellingly, Romney leads this group by 14 points.
Of course then last week Quinnipac released several swing state polls showing Obama ahead in every one of them--again by over-polling democrats to republicans and only adding a 1% sample of Independents.
Never trust a word they say: NY Times, Quinnipiac skew polling in attempt to depress turnout of voters frustrated with the failures of Obamanomics « Bob OwensJammie Wearing catches the NY Times/Quinnipiac poll dramatically skewing the methodology of the poll to strongly over-sample Democrats:
So Obama is up 9 in Florida with a D+9 sample, up 10 in Ohio with a D+9 sample and up 12 in Pennsylvania with a D+11 sample. I notice in all the orgasmic news reports this morning none of them mention the ridiculous skew to the polls. But all you will hear all day is how big a lead Obama has.
So here is the un-manipulation chart--(that btw) that only includes a 1% sampling of independents who favor Romney now by 15 points. You'll see that Romney is leading in these swing states.
James Carville Poll Panics Dems: Romney Leads By 15 Points Among Independents « Pat Dollard
Basically the polls are telling us that the same amount of people are going to come out and vote for Barack Obama as they did in 2008 (because that's what the polls are basing voter turnout on)--and that the Republicans that showed up in 2010 which resulted in an historic 75 year butt kicking of democrats across this country won't be voting this year along with independents--who Romney leads with by 15 points---
Just a personal note: My mother has been getting robo calls asking for her to press 1 if she is going to vote for Obama and to press 2 for Romney. She presses 2 and the robo comes back with this is an invalid number--LOL. So your only choice on this Robo poll is to vote for Obama by pressing 1--the number 2 for Romney doesn't work.--LOL.
He now considers foreign policy and our troops fighting and dying in Afghanistan "a distraction" and "a shiny object".
He is not fit to be POTUS or CiC.
I can't wait for the next round of ads from Obama.
NO LINK?
As we know--the national polls have been oversampling democrats to republicans and leaving independents out of the equation. They're also using 2008 voter turn-out to give these very unrealistic polling data to show Obama ahead. In fact the Obama administration threatened to sue Gallop for trying to use 2010 voter turnout.
Dateline.. Team Obama threatens to sue Gallop Polling to get them to change their methodology to make Oscumbo look better.. And there are many here who wonder why I call him Oscumbo..Internal emails between senior officials at The Gallup Organization, obtained by The Daily Caller, show senior Obama campaign adviser David Axelrod attempting to subtly intimidate the respected polling firm when its numbers were unfavorable to the president.
After Gallup declined to change its polling methodology, Obamas Department of Justice hit it with an unrelated lawsuit that appears damning on its face.
The DC is withholding the identities of the Gallup officials to protect them from potential retaliation from Obamas campaign and his administration.
In April, Axelrod tweeted that a poll showing Mitt Romney with a 48-43 percent lead over Obama was saddled with some methodological problems, directing his Twitter followers to read a National Journal story criticizing Gallup polls showing a Romney lead.
In that National Journal piece, Ron Brownstein wrote that the polls showing Romney leading the president had a sample that looks much more like the electorate in 2010 than the voting population that is likely to turn out in 2012.
Here is a good example of what they're doing:
CNN a couple of weeks ago showed Obama leading by 6 points over Romney in a national poll.
CNN manipulated their polling | Education NewsCNN is grabbing political headlines tonight with the release of its latest poll. It shows Obama surging to a 6-point lead over Romney, 52-46, among likely. Before the start of the Democrat convention, the candidates had been tied in the poll. Since it purportedly confirms a narrative the media is trying to build, i.e. that Obama is starting to pull away with the race, it is getting wide coverage. However, there are a couple of strange things within the poll that cast doubt on its veracity. And, at least one concern warrants a response from CNN.
First, this being a media poll, it has an obvious skew towards Democrats. The partisan breakdown is (D/R/I) 50/45/5. It perhaps isnt surprising that Obama is leading a D+5 poll by 6 points. Throughout the campaign season, Obamas margin usually is very close to the partisan skew in the sample. It is surprising, though, that Independents make up only 5% of the sample. Tellingly, Romney leads this group by 14 points.
Of course then last week Quinnipac released several swing state polls showing Obama ahead in every one of them--again by over-polling democrats to republicans and only adding a 1% sample of Independents.
Never trust a word they say: NY Times, Quinnipiac skew polling in attempt to depress turnout of voters frustrated with the failures of Obamanomics « Bob OwensJammie Wearing catches the NY Times/Quinnipiac poll dramatically skewing the methodology of the poll to strongly over-sample Democrats:
So Obama is up 9 in Florida with a D+9 sample, up 10 in Ohio with a D+9 sample and up 12 in Pennsylvania with a D+11 sample. I notice in all the orgasmic news reports this morning none of them mention the ridiculous skew to the polls. But all you will hear all day is how big a lead Obama has.
So here is the un-manipulation chart--(that btw) that only includes a 1% sampling of independents who favor Romney now by 15 points. You'll see that Romney is leading in these swing states.
James Carville Poll Panics Dems: Romney Leads By 15 Points Among Independents « Pat Dollard
Basically the polls are telling us that the same amount of people are going to come out and vote for Barack Obama as they did in 2008 (because that's what the polls are basing voter turnout on)--and that the Republicans that showed up in 2010 which resulted in an historic 75 year butt kicking of democrats across this country won't be voting this year along with independents--who Romney leads with by 15 points---
Just a personal note: My mother has been getting robo calls asking for her to press 1 if she is going to vote for Obama and to press 2 for Romney. She presses 2 and the robo comes back with this is an invalid number--LOL. So your only choice on this Robo poll is to vote for Obama by pressing 1--the number 2 for Romney doesn't work.--LOL.
He now considers foreign policy and our troops fighting and dying in Afghanistan "a distraction" and "a shiny object".
He is not fit to be POTUS or CiC.
I can't wait for the next round of ads from Obama.
He now considers foreign policy and our troops fighting and dying in Afghanistan "a distraction" and "a shiny object".
He is not fit to be POTUS or CiC.
I can't wait for the next round of ads from Obama.
NO LINK?
As we know--the national polls have been oversampling democrats to republicans and leaving independents out of the equation. They're also using 2008 voter turn-out to give these very unrealistic polling data to show Obama ahead. In fact the Obama administration threatened to sue Gallop for trying to use 2010 voter turnout.
Dateline.. Team Obama threatens to sue Gallop Polling to get them to change their methodology to make Oscumbo look better.. And there are many here who wonder why I call him Oscumbo..
Here is a good example of what they're doing:
CNN a couple of weeks ago showed Obama leading by 6 points over Romney in a national poll.
CNN manipulated their polling | Education News
Of course then last week Quinnipac released several swing state polls showing Obama ahead in every one of them--again by over-polling democrats to republicans and only adding a 1% sample of Independents.
Never trust a word they say: NY Times, Quinnipiac skew polling in attempt to depress turnout of voters frustrated with the failures of Obamanomics « Bob OwensJammie Wearing catches the NY Times/Quinnipiac poll dramatically skewing the methodology of the poll to strongly over-sample Democrats:
So Obama is up 9 in Florida with a D+9 sample, up 10 in Ohio with a D+9 sample and up 12 in Pennsylvania with a D+11 sample. I notice in all the orgasmic news reports this morning none of them mention the ridiculous skew to the polls. But all you will hear all day is how big a lead Obama has.
So here is the un-manipulation chart--(that btw) that only includes a 1% sampling of independents who favor Romney now by 15 points. You'll see that Romney is leading in these swing states.
James Carville Poll Panics Dems: Romney Leads By 15 Points Among Independents « Pat Dollard
Basically the polls are telling us that the same amount of people are going to come out and vote for Barack Obama as they did in 2008 (because that's what the polls are basing voter turnout on)--and that the Republicans that showed up in 2010 which resulted in an historic 75 year butt kicking of democrats across this country won't be voting this year along with independents--who Romney leads with by 15 points---
Just a personal note: My mother has been getting robo calls asking for her to press 1 if she is going to vote for Obama and to press 2 for Romney. She presses 2 and the robo comes back with this is an invalid number--LOL. So your only choice on this Robo poll is to vote for Obama by pressing 1--the number 2 for Romney doesn't work.--LOL.
I had a similar call. It was a survey. Press one for Obama, two fro Romney. I pressed Two.
The survey went on to ask questions as though I had pressed ONE for Obama.
Now, the polls are being commissioned by democrat operatives and the lib media( CBS/NYT..C'mon folks who's kidding who here) who are in the business of telling GOP voters the race is lost already and not to bother showing up to vote.
That is the tactic here.
Hopefully it will backfire and democrat voters will stay home figuring the thing is won already.
I hope it pours up and down the east coast on election day. Democrat voters tend to stay home on election day if the weather is bad. LOL!!!
NO LINK?
As we know--the national polls have been oversampling democrats to republicans and leaving independents out of the equation. They're also using 2008 voter turn-out to give these very unrealistic polling data to show Obama ahead. In fact the Obama administration threatened to sue Gallop for trying to use 2010 voter turnout.
Dateline.. Team Obama threatens to sue Gallop Polling to get them to change their methodology to make Oscumbo look better.. And there are many here who wonder why I call him Oscumbo..
Here is a good example of what they're doing:
CNN a couple of weeks ago showed Obama leading by 6 points over Romney in a national poll.
CNN manipulated their polling | Education News
Of course then last week Quinnipac released several swing state polls showing Obama ahead in every one of them--again by over-polling democrats to republicans and only adding a 1% sample of Independents.
Never trust a word they say: NY Times, Quinnipiac skew polling in attempt to depress turnout of voters frustrated with the failures of Obamanomics « Bob Owens
So here is the un-manipulation chart--(that btw) that only includes a 1% sampling of independents who favor Romney now by 15 points. You'll see that Romney is leading in these swing states.
James Carville Poll Panics Dems: Romney Leads By 15 Points Among Independents « Pat Dollard
Basically the polls are telling us that the same amount of people are going to come out and vote for Barack Obama as they did in 2008 (because that's what the polls are basing voter turnout on)--and that the Republicans that showed up in 2010 which resulted in an historic 75 year butt kicking of democrats across this country won't be voting this year along with independents--who Romney leads with by 15 points---
Just a personal note: My mother has been getting robo calls asking for her to press 1 if she is going to vote for Obama and to press 2 for Romney. She presses 2 and the robo comes back with this is an invalid number--LOL. So your only choice on this Robo poll is to vote for Obama by pressing 1--the number 2 for Romney doesn't work.--LOL.
I had a similar call. It was a survey. Press one for Obama, two fro Romney. I pressed Two.
The survey went on to ask questions as though I had pressed ONE for Obama.
Now, the polls are being commissioned by democrat operatives and the lib media( CBS/NYT..C'mon folks who's kidding who here) who are in the business of telling GOP voters the race is lost already and not to bother showing up to vote.
That is the tactic here.
Hopefully it will backfire and democrat voters will stay home figuring the thing is won already.
I hope it pours up and down the east coast on election day. Democrat voters tend to stay home on election day if the weather is bad. LOL!!!
My mom was telling me she had the same experience. It's a robo call out of California, that states press 1 in you support Obama, press 2 if you support Romney and when she presses 2, the recording tells her that it's not an option. LOL They have called her several times, I told her next time to press 1 to see what happens. LOL If that's their idea of a scientific poll they are going to be real surprized come election day.
What everyone should consider before anyone gets their hopes up too high. As far as I can tell I don't see where the independents have been polled, they have just been doing Rep and Dems. It's the independents that are the majority in my state and across the country and they are breaking hard for Romney.
I had a similar call. It was a survey. Press one for Obama, two fro Romney. I pressed Two.
The survey went on to ask questions as though I had pressed ONE for Obama.
Now, the polls are being commissioned by democrat operatives and the lib media( CBS/NYT..C'mon folks who's kidding who here) who are in the business of telling GOP voters the race is lost already and not to bother showing up to vote.
That is the tactic here.
Hopefully it will backfire and democrat voters will stay home figuring the thing is won already.
I hope it pours up and down the east coast on election day. Democrat voters tend to stay home on election day if the weather is bad. LOL!!!
My mom was telling me she had the same experience. It's a robo call out of California, that states press 1 in you support Obama, press 2 if you support Romney and when she presses 2, the recording tells her that it's not an option. LOL They have called her several times, I told her next time to press 1 to see what happens. LOL If that's their idea of a scientific poll they are going to be real surprised come election day.
What everyone should consider before anyone gets their hopes up too high. As far as I can tell I don't see where the independents have been polled, they have just been doing Rep and Dems. It's the independents that are the majority in my state and across the country and they are breaking hard for Romney.
At least I know my mom is not losing it, as your mom had the same experience. LOL
Something tells me these RoboCopped "moms" are made up.
lol
Both parties are push polling for votes.
Why, Maple? I agree with much of what you write, but you won't believe that (1) Americans will not forgive the GOP for the Bush years and (2) Americans hate the far right more and distrust it more than they dislike and distrust Obama.
Both parties are push polling for votes.
