Cecilie1200
Diamond Member
- Nov 15, 2008
- 55,062
- 16,609
Joe B.A gun in the home is 43 times more likely to kill a member of the household than a bad guy.
Right there is the fuking "fact" you gun nuts don't want to talk about.
That's because it's not a "fact" at all. It's a deliberate misinterpretation of data.
The Kellerman study of 1986, published in The New England Journal of Medicine, which produced your number, was badly flawed in methodology, and has been debunked many times, most famously by Florida State University professor Gary Kleck.
First of all, Kellerman simply took the gun deaths in King County, Washington, added them up, and said, "Look, 43 non-self defense gun deaths for every one gun death in self-defense". That's utterly ridiculous. If you do the same thing for non-gun deaths, you get a ratio of 99 to 1. By your logic, and Kellerman's, what does that tell us?
By the logic of sane people, it tells us nothing, and neither does the gun death ratio.
Guns are most often used in self-defense WITHOUT anyone being killed, and in fact without the gun even being discharged. But we never hear you anti-gun nuts citing THAT ratio, which actually tells us something useful. Why is that?
Furthermore, the vast majority of deaths in BOTH numbers, gun and non-gun, come from suicides. That means that guns are only "responsible" for those deaths if the presence of the gun is what made the person decide to kill himself. By the same token, that would mean the presence of prescription medication in the house ALSO makes people kill themselves, and should therefore be prohibited.
Japan has already been mentioned, and it should be pointed out that, while they have much more restrictive gun bans than we do, they have a HIGHER suicide rate than we do. Clearly, gun bans do nothing to prohibit suicide.
If you take out the suicides, you have a ratio of about 2.39 to 1 on gun deaths in the home. Of that number, the "accidental" deaths have been shown by other studies to be likely to occur even without a gun, because the person in question was involved in other reckless or dangerous behavior at the time, such as drinking. Do you think a person who drinks heavily and then handles a gun might also be likely to drink heavily and then get behind the wheel of a car? Or pass out and drown in the bathtub, as Whitney Houston did under the influence of alcohol and drugs?
You probably don't get the point, but I'll bet everyone else does.