McRocket
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- Apr 4, 2018
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- #101
FALSE!! I did not see any "popular vote" predictions before the election. I saw EC projections, I saw that Hillary had between an 85% and 95% chance of winning, and I saw that Hillary was up by 4-points.WRONG. That is only part of the MSM.
You typed:
'The MSM said, as seen in the video "there is no way Trump can win and get 270 EC votes".'
MSM means - Mainstream Media. ALL OF IT.
'Mainstream media (MSM) is a term and abbreviation used to refer collectively to the various large mass news media that influence a large number of people,and both reflect and shape prevailing currents of thought.[1] The term is used tocontrast with alternative media which may contain content with more dissentingthought as they do not reflect prevailing opinion.'
Mainstream media
So you said - in essence - that ALL of the MSM said 'there is no way Trump can win and get 270 EC votes'.
1) the ENTIRE MSM did not say that.
2) you still have not quoted even one MSM source that said exactly that.
I suggest, in future, that you learn what words/phrases mean before you utter them.
And you still have not answered my question:
True or False - did the polls estimate the popular vote VERY close to the real outcome in 2016?
You're getting ridiculous about the MSM composition. The MSM can be represented by CNN, ABC, CBS, NBC. I'm not sure what "share" of the TV audience their news gets but by adding FXN and MSNBC I probably have more than 95% of viewership. If you have another station that has significant viewership, please list it so I can prove you wrong <again>
Here is Fox News prediction 1-day before the election: Hillary by 4 points
fox news predicts 2016 election - Google Search
"Here's how MSNBC got election prediction so very wrong" Watch this one it has 'splaining
How the media got election predictions so very wrong
Wrong. MSM - by definition - cannot be represented by singular, media sources unless you stipulate as such. You did not.
What you stated was factually wrong...period.
You misused a word/phrase and now you don't like it that someone called you on it.
Get over it.
And you AGAIN avoided my question:
True or False - did the polls estimate the popular vote VERY close to the real outcome in 2016?
I will not deal with you on that other nonsense until you answer my question.
The MSM predictions for the election were that Hillary was up by 4-points, that she won the meaningless "popular vote" by 2% is not the point. Is 2% "very close" as you say? Irrelevant. Say NO, because they all missed the actual winner.
The MSM was TOTALLY WRONG in predicting that Hillary would WIN THE ELECTION, which is the purpose of "polls".
Final Popular Vote Total Shows Hillary Clinton Won Almost 3 Million More Ballots Than Donald Trump | HuffPost
"With the presidential election results now certified in all 50 states and Washington, D.C., Hillary Clinton won a total of 65,844,610 votes ― 48.2 percent ― compared with Trump's 62,979,636 votes ― 46.1 percent ― according to David Wasserman of the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.Dec 20, 2016"
"MSM - by definition - cannot be represented by singular, media sources unless you stipulate as such.."
WTF are you talking about? Stop posting nonsense. Voters' main source of news is from the evening news, from many networks, and reliable newspapers. If you are inferring that the MSM includes online sources of "news" you are wrong, online sources are not credible. So yes, I'm stipulating that the MSM consists of the major TV network "news" and major newspapers.
I answered your big font question. Now answer mine. Were the MSM polls all wrong predicting the winner of the 2016 presidential election? From above:
"I saw Electoral College projections, I saw that Hillary had between an 85% and 95% chance of winning"
[just remembered, I worked with a guy who insisted that AlJazerra was the only true unbiased news source, so there are all kinds of opinions out there]
I see you are freaking out over this...in many colors, to boot. Why don't you calm down? It's a chat forum...not real life. Sheesh.
If there were EC predictions and IF they were wrong....then 'yes', they were wrong.
LOL.
But the candidate who wins the popular vote has won the election every time in American history but 2 or 3. And a swing of roughly 88,000 votes in the right districts would have given Clinton the EC victory.
I don't give a shit about the EC. I don't respect it, I don't honor it. And I don't care what the law says about it. As far as I am concerned, Donald Trump is NOT my POTUS. If he tried to tell me what to do, I would laugh in his face (unless he had cops force me at gunpoint to do as he asked).
It means next to NOTHING to me (and if the reverse had happened, I would feel the same way about 'President' Clinton).
So, the major polls said that Clinton would win by 3.2%. And she won the popular vote by 2.1%. And you are saying that their estimates were NOT very close to the real outcome?
And just how close would they had to have been for you to say they were 'very close'?
Ok, I took a nerve pill and washed it down with a beer. Its 12 O'clock somewhere...<g> I'm calmer now....
We're looking at polls from very different perspectives. I look at them as potentially influencing elections, so they need to be as accurate as possible. Then again, Trump disproved that beautiful theory with the ugly little fact that he won in spite of the polls and the MSM's and deep state's one-sided efforts.
We always need to obey the Laws, like them or not, or the democracy devolves into anarchy, and that you would not like, trust me. We didn't like Obama, but we put up with him for 8-years. You may need to put up with Trump for 8-years too. I can't pigeon hole you politically if you don't like Trump or Clinton?
The way you are pushing the poll issue, I'm assuming that you have something to do with polling. Okay, since you're being reasonable, I'll admit that if the margin of error of most polls is ~3.5% that the polls nailed the "popular vote", as irrelevant as they are. However, your spin that she would win the "election" by 3.2% falls flat, because the polls had her winning by a 90% probability and also projected her winning the EC, which was very wrong. So the polls missed the main reason they exist, to project the winner of the election.
I applaud you 'calming down and being more reasonable'. Darn rare thing around here.
All I am saying is the popular vote polls were VERY accurate AND that a swing of only 188,000 (sorry, said 88,000 earlier) in PA and Florida would have given Clinton the EC victory (it was that close)
2016 Presidential Election Results For Each State
AND FINALLY that the winner of the popular vote almost always wins the election. And the only two times in my lifetime (5 overall) that it was not the case (2016 and 2000). The results were INCREDIBLY close.
So I will continue to use the popular vote as the barometer for polling on federal elections. Obviously, you may do as you wish.
And BTW...I think Clinton would have made a LOUSY POTUS. More stable than Trump. But a lot less fun to watch.
As for laws? I do not follow laws that I do not agree with (unless not following them is not worth the hassle that results). Blindly following laws is wrong, IMO.
To me Honor is always above laws.
If a law is honorable or neutral - I will follow it. If it ain't, I ain't following it.
Good day.
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