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It sounds like CNN did make random calls but didn't weight the population parameters?most serious polls use data weighting for population parameters, but NOT for party affiliation.So it wasn't a random poll? I thought polls were just you-get-who-you-get? I'm confused.Trump supporters were jubilant a few days ago when new poll suddenly showed Trump ahead of Hillary.....but, as it turns out.....someone skewed the polling. Too bad for Trump and his supporters....you need to work harder.
The poll of likely voters, released Tuesday by CNN/ORC, showed Trump ahead of Clinton nationwide in a four-way contest, 45 percent to 43 percent. But MSNBC host Chuck Todd explained that the poll, in his network’s estimation, may have oversampled white voters without a college degree, one of Trump’s strongest groups.
“Whites without a college degree appear to make up nearly half of their sample. In 2012, by the way, whites without a college degree was slightly more than a third of all voters,” Todd said. “The point is, your numbers may not be wrong but your weighting may be, your assumptions. So the CNN folks assumed an electorate that is not an impossible scenario for Trump, but it would be an historic shift if it occurred.”
With the numbers adjusted to reflect how the electorate shook out four years ago, Clinton’s two-point deficit shifted to a four-point lead, 46 percent to 42 percent.
The poll was conducted via landlines and cellphones from Sept. 1-4, surveying 1,001 adults with an overall margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, including 886 registered voters and 786 likely voters.
Read more: MSNBC unskews CNN poll that showed Trump ahead
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook
MSNBC unskews CNN poll that showed Trump ahead
Mrs. Clinton is too unhealthy to run for President, and if she gets elected, she might not even survive her first term.
Why do Liberals need everything explained to them?where is the glitch? were blacks oversampled in a poll showing hillary ahead?As opposed to Blacks with zero education voting for Hillary.Trump supporters were jubilant a few days ago when new poll suddenly showed Trump ahead of Hillary.....but, as it turns out.....someone skewed the polling. Too bad for Trump and his supporters....you need to work harder.
The poll of likely voters, released Tuesday by CNN/ORC, showed Trump ahead of Clinton nationwide in a four-way contest, 45 percent to 43 percent. But MSNBC host Chuck Todd explained that the poll, in his network’s estimation, may have oversampled white voters without a college degree, one of Trump’s strongest groups.
“Whites without a college degree appear to make up nearly half of their sample. In 2012, by the way, whites without a college degree was slightly more than a third of all voters,” Todd said. “The point is, your numbers may not be wrong but your weighting may be, your assumptions. So the CNN folks assumed an electorate that is not an impossible scenario for Trump, but it would be an historic shift if it occurred.”
With the numbers adjusted to reflect how the electorate shook out four years ago, Clinton’s two-point deficit shifted to a four-point lead, 46 percent to 42 percent.
The poll was conducted via landlines and cellphones from Sept. 1-4, surveying 1,001 adults with an overall margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, including 886 registered voters and 786 likely voters.
Read more: MSNBC unskews CNN poll that showed Trump ahead
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook
MSNBC unskews CNN poll that showed Trump ahead
"Damn" that glitch in your argument.
Follow the thread where I explain why Mertex is a racist.
Hillary won't even do a press conference.Mrs. Clinton is too unhealthy to run for President, and if she gets elected, she might not even survive her first term.
Hahahaha....if she was able to withstand a whole day of grueling questioning from the conservative Benghazi Nazi squad, I'm sure being president will be easy as pie. On the other hand, Trump would probably explode the first day when Congress turns down his request for a Quadrillion dollar beautiful wall.
Follow the thread where I explain why Mertex is a racist.
Uh, no.Why do Liberals need everything explained to them?where is the glitch? were blacks oversampled in a poll showing hillary ahead?As opposed to Blacks with zero education voting for Hillary.Trump supporters were jubilant a few days ago when new poll suddenly showed Trump ahead of Hillary.....but, as it turns out.....someone skewed the polling. Too bad for Trump and his supporters....you need to work harder.
The poll of likely voters, released Tuesday by CNN/ORC, showed Trump ahead of Clinton nationwide in a four-way contest, 45 percent to 43 percent. But MSNBC host Chuck Todd explained that the poll, in his network’s estimation, may have oversampled white voters without a college degree, one of Trump’s strongest groups.
“Whites without a college degree appear to make up nearly half of their sample. In 2012, by the way, whites without a college degree was slightly more than a third of all voters,” Todd said. “The point is, your numbers may not be wrong but your weighting may be, your assumptions. So the CNN folks assumed an electorate that is not an impossible scenario for Trump, but it would be an historic shift if it occurred.”
With the numbers adjusted to reflect how the electorate shook out four years ago, Clinton’s two-point deficit shifted to a four-point lead, 46 percent to 42 percent.
The poll was conducted via landlines and cellphones from Sept. 1-4, surveying 1,001 adults with an overall margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, including 886 registered voters and 786 likely voters.
Read more: MSNBC unskews CNN poll that showed Trump ahead
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook
MSNBC unskews CNN poll that showed Trump ahead
"Damn" that glitch in your argument.
Follow the thread where I explain why Mertex is a racist.
you deflected, failed, and then flailed. awesome.
you're right. it was not awesome at all. i tried to be kind. now run along.Uh, no.Why do Liberals need everything explained to them?where is the glitch? were blacks oversampled in a poll showing hillary ahead?As opposed to Blacks with zero education voting for Hillary.Trump supporters were jubilant a few days ago when new poll suddenly showed Trump ahead of Hillary.....but, as it turns out.....someone skewed the polling. Too bad for Trump and his supporters....you need to work harder.
The poll of likely voters, released Tuesday by CNN/ORC, showed Trump ahead of Clinton nationwide in a four-way contest, 45 percent to 43 percent. But MSNBC host Chuck Todd explained that the poll, in his network’s estimation, may have oversampled white voters without a college degree, one of Trump’s strongest groups.
“Whites without a college degree appear to make up nearly half of their sample. In 2012, by the way, whites without a college degree was slightly more than a third of all voters,” Todd said. “The point is, your numbers may not be wrong but your weighting may be, your assumptions. So the CNN folks assumed an electorate that is not an impossible scenario for Trump, but it would be an historic shift if it occurred.”
With the numbers adjusted to reflect how the electorate shook out four years ago, Clinton’s two-point deficit shifted to a four-point lead, 46 percent to 42 percent.
The poll was conducted via landlines and cellphones from Sept. 1-4, surveying 1,001 adults with an overall margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, including 886 registered voters and 786 likely voters.
Read more: MSNBC unskews CNN poll that showed Trump ahead
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook
MSNBC unskews CNN poll that showed Trump ahead
"Damn" that glitch in your argument.
Follow the thread where I explain why Mertex is a racist.
you deflected, failed, and then flailed. awesome.
I enjoy it when Progressives such as yourself expose their supidity for all to see.Follow the thread where I explain why Mertex is a racist.
Sorry, but we don't speak the Trump-cult language.
Could you try to translate your weird cult babbling into standard English? If, that is, you remember standard English.
If any of the other Trump-cultists can help you translate, they should feel free to step up.
"Uh, uh, I'm a Libral and ur tupid."you're right. it was not awesome at all. i tried to be kind. now run along.Uh, no.Why do Liberals need everything explained to them?where is the glitch? were blacks oversampled in a poll showing hillary ahead?As opposed to Blacks with zero education voting for Hillary.
"Damn" that glitch in your argument.
Follow the thread where I explain why Mertex is a racist.
you deflected, failed, and then flailed. awesome.
The way things are going, Hillary will have a complete physical or mental breakdown before the election, so the polls aren't what matter now.
That doesn't mean the majority of Hillary Clinton voters are black. Minorities make up the majority of her voters, and many are Hispanic, Muslim, Asian, etc.....but the majority of Trump voters are the uneducated whites without college degrees.The MAJORITY of Blacks are.As opposed to Blacks with zero education voting for Hillary.Trump supporters were jubilant a few days ago when new poll suddenly showed Trump ahead of Hillary.....but, as it turns out.....someone skewed the polling. Too bad for Trump and his supporters....you need to work harder.
The poll of likely voters, released Tuesday by CNN/ORC, showed Trump ahead of Clinton nationwide in a four-way contest, 45 percent to 43 percent. But MSNBC host Chuck Todd explained that the poll, in his network’s estimation, may have oversampled white voters without a college degree, one of Trump’s strongest groups.
“Whites without a college degree appear to make up nearly half of their sample. In 2012, by the way, whites without a college degree was slightly more than a third of all voters,” Todd said. “The point is, your numbers may not be wrong but your weighting may be, your assumptions. So the CNN folks assumed an electorate that is not an impossible scenario for Trump, but it would be an historic shift if it occurred.”
With the numbers adjusted to reflect how the electorate shook out four years ago, Clinton’s two-point deficit shifted to a four-point lead, 46 percent to 42 percent.
The poll was conducted via landlines and cellphones from Sept. 1-4, surveying 1,001 adults with an overall margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, including 886 registered voters and 786 likely voters.
Read more: MSNBC unskews CNN poll that showed Trump ahead
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook
MSNBC unskews CNN poll that showed Trump ahead
"Damn" that glitch in your argument.
Except blacks don't make up the majority of Hillary's voters.......damn, that just made it rain on your parade!
I'm sure your comment makes sense to you....but what specific "structure" am I in that the "uneducated" built?Isn't it funny that you're in a structure built by some of those "uneducated" you think you're better than?
The way things are going, Hillary will have a complete physical or mental breakdown before the election, so the polls aren't what matter now.
That's why I go with Silver. It's a poll of polls and things are starting to tighten, but Trump hasn't ever had a lead in the most conservative of their methodologies.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus
What should matter is, why Trump is hiding his medical reports and tax returns?The way things are going, Hillary will have a complete physical or mental breakdown before the election, so the polls aren't what matter now.
He said he'd release his returns as soon as Hillary releases the emails and her medical records. LOL He cornered her again
Hillary isn't holding any e-mails....remember....the FBI took hold of them, and she has released more medical information than necessary....but releasing tax returns is a tradition that goes back a long time.....what is Trump hiding?
He should release his tax returns because we know that his uneducated and uninformed supporters don't care if he has donated money to Russia, if he has avoided paying taxes for years and whether or not he is lying about his fortunes....so what has he got to lose?
Oh BS, get informed and then comment to me, I have no patience for loony left talking points I can readily hear on CNN or MSNBC
He said he'd release his returns as soon as Hillary releases the emails and her medical records. LOL He cornered her again
Bwahahaha.....I'm always having to educate you...so quit fantasizing.Why do Liberals need everything explained to them?where is the glitch? were blacks oversampled in a poll showing hillary ahead?As opposed to Blacks with zero education voting for Hillary.Trump supporters were jubilant a few days ago when new poll suddenly showed Trump ahead of Hillary.....but, as it turns out.....someone skewed the polling. Too bad for Trump and his supporters....you need to work harder.
The poll of likely voters, released Tuesday by CNN/ORC, showed Trump ahead of Clinton nationwide in a four-way contest, 45 percent to 43 percent. But MSNBC host Chuck Todd explained that the poll, in his network’s estimation, may have oversampled white voters without a college degree, one of Trump’s strongest groups.
“Whites without a college degree appear to make up nearly half of their sample. In 2012, by the way, whites without a college degree was slightly more than a third of all voters,” Todd said. “The point is, your numbers may not be wrong but your weighting may be, your assumptions. So the CNN folks assumed an electorate that is not an impossible scenario for Trump, but it would be an historic shift if it occurred.”
With the numbers adjusted to reflect how the electorate shook out four years ago, Clinton’s two-point deficit shifted to a four-point lead, 46 percent to 42 percent.
The poll was conducted via landlines and cellphones from Sept. 1-4, surveying 1,001 adults with an overall margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, including 886 registered voters and 786 likely voters.
Read more: MSNBC unskews CNN poll that showed Trump ahead
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook
MSNBC unskews CNN poll that showed Trump ahead
"Damn" that glitch in your argument.
Follow the thread where I explain why Mertex is a racist.
Republican Donald Trump unveiled a plan to boost military spending by tens of billions of dollars on Wednesday, promising major increases in the number of active troops, Navy ships and submarines, and fighter planes as he works to convince skeptics in both parties that he's ready to lead the world's most powerful military.
The New York businessman, who has struggled at times to demonstrate a command of foreign policy, also seemed to acknowledge he does not currently have a plan to address cyber security or the Islamic State group.
If elected, Trump said he would give military leaders 30 days to formulate a plan to defeat the group, commonly known as ISIS. And he would ask the joint chiefs of staff to conduct a review of the nation's cyber defenses to determine all vulnerabilities.
Trump's address came hours before his national security acumen is tested at a "commander in chief" forum on NBC.
Hillary won't even do a press conference.Mrs. Clinton is too unhealthy to run for President, and if she gets elected, she might not even survive her first term.
Hahahaha....if she was able to withstand a whole day of grueling questioning from the conservative Benghazi Nazi squad, I'm sure being president will be easy as pie. On the other hand, Trump would probably explode the first day when Congress turns down his request for a Quadrillion dollar beautiful wall.
The pollsters have access to the voter rolls and call people according to how they want the results to be. That's why most polls are skewed and inaccurate.So it wasn't a random poll? I thought polls were just you-get-who-you-get? I'm confused.Trump supporters were jubilant a few days ago when new poll suddenly showed Trump ahead of Hillary.....but, as it turns out.....someone skewed the polling. Too bad for Trump and his supporters....you need to work harder.
The poll of likely voters, released Tuesday by CNN/ORC, showed Trump ahead of Clinton nationwide in a four-way contest, 45 percent to 43 percent. But MSNBC host Chuck Todd explained that the poll, in his network’s estimation, may have oversampled white voters without a college degree, one of Trump’s strongest groups.
“Whites without a college degree appear to make up nearly half of their sample. In 2012, by the way, whites without a college degree was slightly more than a third of all voters,” Todd said. “The point is, your numbers may not be wrong but your weighting may be, your assumptions. So the CNN folks assumed an electorate that is not an impossible scenario for Trump, but it would be an historic shift if it occurred.”
With the numbers adjusted to reflect how the electorate shook out four years ago, Clinton’s two-point deficit shifted to a four-point lead, 46 percent to 42 percent.
The poll was conducted via landlines and cellphones from Sept. 1-4, surveying 1,001 adults with an overall margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, including 886 registered voters and 786 likely voters.
Read more: MSNBC unskews CNN poll that showed Trump ahead
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook
MSNBC unskews CNN poll that showed Trump ahead
