Ray From Cleveland
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- Aug 16, 2015
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At the heart of your posts seems to be the belief that government social programs create dependency and that dependency is destroying the will to work. If generous government social programs are destroying the incentive to work, then why are 60% of families on food stamps working? And why do most families receiving welfare payments have at least one family member working? And why are most families on TANF off in 21 months?It seems from your post, you're saying that welfare is a major reason why the poor vote Democrat. The question why members of any demographic group vote a certain way involves a number of issues because we are all different..The Democrat leaning poor just don't vote. Those who are financially insecure largely opt out of the political system altogether. Those that are most dependent on government welfare programs are the least likely to vote. That opting out disproportionately affects Democratic support.Are Welfare Recipients mostly Republican?
Posted on February 22, 2012 by Tino
Paul Krugman is in puzzlement, having observed that Red States get more welfare funding, while Republican voters oppose the welfare state. He portrays Republicans as “Moochers” who are either hypocritical or too stupid to know their own best interest.
But as we know, states do not vote, individuals do. There is only a paradox if Republican voters receive welfare at above average rates while voting against it. From the Gellman-paradox we know that the low-income voters who drag down the Red States average tend to vote disproportionally for Democrats. Republican voters earn significantly more than Democrats, even though Red state earn less than Blue states.
Krugman reports no individual level data, so let me. The Maxwell Poll has detailed information about welfare use. The data is from 2004-2007. During this period in these polls a plurality of voters supported Democrats. I will graph the two-party vote, more data is at the end.
Hardly surprising, we see that in a two-party split, 60-80% of welfare recipients are Democrats, while full time Workers are evenly divided between parties.
You have similar results in this recent NPR-Poll. Among the Long Term Unemployed, 72% of the two-party support goes to Democrats.
Share of Recipients of each program that self-identified as supporters of Republican party in 2004-2007 Maxwell Poll:
Gov. Subsidized Housing 12%
Medicaid: 16%
Food Stamps: 20%
Unemployment Compensation: 21%
Welfare or public assistance: 22%
Disability benefits from government 25%
Are Welfare Recipients mostly Republican? | Tino Sanandaji
Among the poor that vote for Republican, do so because of issues that have little to do with social welfare, abortion, same sex marriage, immigration, and terrorism.
Pew: The poor like Democrats, but don't vote for them
The blacks like Democrats too. A large percentage of them don't vote either, but the Democrats scramble to win that vote and in fact, many say that the minority vote will wipe out the Republican party. The black population in this country is only 13%.
Ask yourself: what does the Democrat party have to offer people but free stuff? Nothing.
Liberals and Demorats don't pay attention to politics, this is true. Look at the cable news ratings compared to Fox. Look at how many liberal outlets on the radio and television have failed. PBS, NPR and others would not be around today if not for taxpayer support. They just don't attract enough audience.
But a little here and a little there, their support of the Democrat party is priceless.
The poor, at least those that do vote, do lean Democrat for a lot of reasons other than the size of their government check. Republicans have fought to keep wages low by blocking minimum wage increase. They have been fighting to destroy unions forever. Most Republican tax proposals increases taxes on those least able to pay. They support legislation that weakens civil rights. In general, Republicans support most legislation the middle and upper class over the poor. Thus there are good reason why the poor leans Democrat that have nothing to do with welfare.
However, there are lot of poor people who vote Republican who are Christian conservatives, and swayed by many of the same issues as higher income tax payers such as terrorism, healthcare, and immigration.
It doesn't have to be a government check to "give them anything."
I can't go through your lengthy list of what you THINK Republicans are for, but let's look at what Sanders and Clinton are preaching about. If it were up to Sanders, he would take away most of the wealth from the wealthy. Of course his followers "assume" that they will end up with that wealth. Free college! Liberals love to talk about free stuff--but never talk about who is going to pay for free.
Then we have the equal pay nonsense. Yes, the Democrats can point to statistics that show men make more than women, but no evidence as to why. They just leave the impression that it must be gender discrimination. So they tell half of our population that they will pass an equal pay law, even though that law was already passed in 1962.
Hillary (like Sanders) complains about those evil one-percenters. Her followers ignore the fact that she is a one-percenter. Criminal justice reform. That's a hot one. Blacks commit a disproportional amount of crime in this country--especially theft and violence, so Hillary wants to do something about getting them out of jail.
Paid family leave. Yes, it's not bad enough that businesses leave this country due to all the expense it takes to have employees in the US, now she is promising Americans even more paid time-off from work.
It all boils down to making more government dependents and giving people more stuff. As you can see, it doesn't have to be a check from the government.
I don't believe social programs are stopping people from working but I do believe some of the programs need a better phase out as income increases, some of the programs such as child care for the working poor needs to be expanded, and benefits should be based on total income without excisions.
I believe just the opposite.
I remember during the heart of the recession, my neighbor lost his job because the company closed. Granted, he put in a lot of years with his company and deserved unemployment, but he made sure he milked it right to the very last week.
After taxes, he was getting close to 400 a week. Why should he look for a job? After all, 400 a week after taxes is about a 13 dollar an hour job. It would be foolish to accept anything under 16 dollars an hour and give up the unemployment checks.
For him, it would be stupid to accept anything under 20 dollars an hour because he was working for cash under the table on top of his unemployment check. It was a year or so paid vacation for him.
I don't want to repeat the same stories over and over again, but I've seen plenty of times where these social programs do support not working. We have 93 million Americans of working age that are not working or looking for work, 45 million on the SNAP's program, and I'm told by the Obama administration that our economy is sailing like a boat.