Busy Hurricane Season is predicted for 2024

[Crick]

NOAA predicted up to 33 named storms, CSU 23. There was a constant drumbeat of doom. Now? Just shows how much they don't know and speculate on emotion. Its actually very sad to see.

How does NOAA see the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season shaping up?​

By Matthew Rosencrans
Published June 27, 2024

This is a guest post by Matthew Rosencrans, who is the lead hurricane season forecaster at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center.
Spring has turned to summer, which means that allergies have mostly let go of their hold over our collective sinuses (apologies to those still suffering), sunscreen lathering is again a daily ritual, and many people grab their chairs and blankets and head to the beach. However, this is also when trouble can start brewing in the tropics, and so at this same time every year, forecasters across NOAA (1) turn their attention to the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season. Each May, NOAA issues their Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook for the number of tropical storms and hurricanes we can expect in the upcoming summer and fall.
This year, NOAA predicts a very high likelihood (85% chance) of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season (2), with 17-25 named storms (average is 14), 8-13 hurricanes (average is 7), and 4-7 major hurricanes (average is 3) (3). Why is NOAA so confident that we will have an active Atlantic hurricane season? We’ll lay it all out for you here (spoiler alert: we wouldn’t neglect ENSO on the ENSO Blog!).

How does NOAA see the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season shaping up?

Matthew Rosencrans of the NOAA Climate Prediction Center tells us why NOAA predicts a very active Atlantic hurricane season.

www.climate.gov

 

[Manonthestreet]

'The tropics are broken:' So where are all the Atlantic hurricanes?

It's been eerily calm in the Atlantic over the past week or so as we approach what's traditionally the busiest time of the season.

www.usatoday.com

 

[jc456]

How does NOAA see the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season shaping up?​

By Matthew Rosencrans
Published June 27, 2024

This is a guest post by Matthew Rosencrans, who is the lead hurricane season forecaster at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center.
Spring has turned to summer, which means that allergies have mostly let go of their hold over our collective sinuses (apologies to those still suffering), sunscreen lathering is again a daily ritual, and many people grab their chairs and blankets and head to the beach. However, this is also when trouble can start brewing in the tropics, and so at this same time every year, forecasters across NOAA (1) turn their attention to the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season. Each May, NOAA issues their Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook for the number of tropical storms and hurricanes we can expect in the upcoming summer and fall.
This year, NOAA predicts a very high likelihood (85% chance) of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season (2), with 17-25 named storms (average is 14), 8-13 hurricanes (average is 7), and 4-7 major hurricanes (average is 3) (3). Why is NOAA so confident that we will have an active Atlantic hurricane season? We’ll lay it all out for you here (spoiler alert: we wouldn’t neglect ENSO on the ENSO Blog!).

So dude, shell game posts are so boring. Do you know what an average number infers? Just curious how much you think you know, I'll start there before I write anymore.