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That's why I'm not prognosticating. All I'm doing is tracking the real time electoral votes.Professional Political Prognosticators have been wrong all along regarding the 2016 election...
She lost West Virginia 6 months ago. I realize she didn't mean what they thought she meant, but it doesn't matter. The damage was already done.That's why I'm not prognosticating. All I'm doing is tracking the real time electoral votes.Professional Political Prognosticators have been wrong all along regarding the 2016 election...
I think you're probably right about West Virginia.
Gee, this certainly reminds me of projections last Summer when the "experts" predicted that Trump had a zero chance of being the GOP nominee.
I'd like to know what math they're using, cuz I track this over several different sources, all using different algorithms, and the closest I have seen Trump is 227, and that's a far cry from "within 13".FoxNews says the probability is that Trump is within 13 of the needed 270.
How is Virginia red? I'm not seeing one poll showing Trump up there.New electoral count demonstrates the problem that the spoilers are going to create for Clinton:
Clinton: 277
Trump: 214
Tied: 47
What's interesting to note is that the state that Clinton has lost control of is Virginia, in spite of her VP pick, Tim Kaine. As you dig into the polls out of Virginia, you learn that Trump did not gain any ground in Virginia; rather, Clinto lost ground to Gary Johnson.
This seems to be evidence that what many, including myself, have been warning Progressives about, for weeks - Neither Johnson, nor Stein are going to win the election (Johnson only stole a whopping 7% from Clinton), but they will help Trump to beat Clinton, even while being a less popular candidate.
Trump was facing 16 other clowns, who were all weaker than shit, and who didn't have a clue about anything?? Scott Walker, Carly FiorinaGee, this certainly reminds me of projections last Summer when the "experts" predicted that Trump had a zero chance of being the GOP nominee.
Gee, this certainly reminds me of projections last Summer when the "experts" predicted that Trump had a zero chance of being the GOP nominee.
Gee, this certainly reminds me of projections last Summer when the "experts" predicted that Trump had a zero chance of being the GOP nominee.
I am slowly starting to believe that Hillary may win Texas. I find it very likely that she tops 400 electoral votes.
North Carolina moves back to red. No surprise there.
Clinton: 273
Trump: 218
Tied: 47
Gee, this certainly reminds me of projections last Summer when the "experts" predicted that Trump had a zero chance of being the GOP nominee.
I am slowly starting to believe that Hillary may win Texas. I find it very likely that she tops 400 electoral votes.
Change Georgia to Blue. Michigan blue and PA blue.By way of explanation, every elections cycle, there ends up being discussion ad nasueum about polls, and raw popular votes. I realized some time ago that the popular vote is, in many ways, irrelevant. Let us say, for instance, that Trump wins the popular vote in, say the entire North East corridor, but loses California, Texas, Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Ohio. Theoretically, while he may have won the popular vote in a plurality of states, if they are the wrong states, he will still lose the election, because of the electoral college. So, while everyone else debates the daily, and weekly polls, and who is ahead, I spend my time looking at the states, and watching who has what electoral votes. I track it daily, and will post any changes to the electoral map, as they come.
July 26th - Looks like Trump picked up Nevada, and Ohio coming off the convention:
We'll have to see if he can hold on to those. Current count:>
Clinton: 288
Trump: 221
Tied: 29
Florida remains a consistent dead heat.
Change Georgia to Blue. Michigan blue and PA blue.By way of explanation, every elections cycle, there ends up being discussion ad nasueum about polls, and raw popular votes. I realized some time ago that the popular vote is, in many ways, irrelevant. Let us say, for instance, that Trump wins the popular vote in, say the entire North East corridor, but loses California, Texas, Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Ohio. Theoretically, while he may have won the popular vote in a plurality of states, if they are the wrong states, he will still lose the election, because of the electoral college. So, while everyone else debates the daily, and weekly polls, and who is ahead, I spend my time looking at the states, and watching who has what electoral votes. I track it daily, and will post any changes to the electoral map, as they come.
July 26th - Looks like Trump picked up Nevada, and Ohio coming off the convention:
We'll have to see if he can hold on to those. Current count:>
Clinton: 288
Trump: 221
Tied: 29
Florida remains a consistent dead heat.
I know!Change Georgia to Blue. Michigan blue and PA blue.By way of explanation, every elections cycle, there ends up being discussion ad nasueum about polls, and raw popular votes. I realized some time ago that the popular vote is, in many ways, irrelevant. Let us say, for instance, that Trump wins the popular vote in, say the entire North East corridor, but loses California, Texas, Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Ohio. Theoretically, while he may have won the popular vote in a plurality of states, if they are the wrong states, he will still lose the election, because of the electoral college. So, while everyone else debates the daily, and weekly polls, and who is ahead, I spend my time looking at the states, and watching who has what electoral votes. I track it daily, and will post any changes to the electoral map, as they come.
July 26th - Looks like Trump picked up Nevada, and Ohio coming off the convention:
We'll have to see if he can hold on to those. Current count:>
Clinton: 288
Trump: 221
Tied: 29
Florida remains a consistent dead heat.
I've been reading about all American elections since 1980, and I can't understand how you think Hillary win's Georgia, the last Democrat to win Georgia was Bill, but Georgia has become more Conservative since.
I know!Change Georgia to Blue. Michigan blue and PA blue.By way of explanation, every elections cycle, there ends up being discussion ad nasueum about polls, and raw popular votes. I realized some time ago that the popular vote is, in many ways, irrelevant. Let us say, for instance, that Trump wins the popular vote in, say the entire North East corridor, but loses California, Texas, Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Ohio. Theoretically, while he may have won the popular vote in a plurality of states, if they are the wrong states, he will still lose the election, because of the electoral college. So, while everyone else debates the daily, and weekly polls, and who is ahead, I spend my time looking at the states, and watching who has what electoral votes. I track it daily, and will post any changes to the electoral map, as they come.
July 26th - Looks like Trump picked up Nevada, and Ohio coming off the convention:
We'll have to see if he can hold on to those. Current count:>
Clinton: 288
Trump: 221
Tied: 29
Florida remains a consistent dead heat.
I've been reading about all American elections since 1980, and I can't understand how you think Hillary win's Georgia, the last Democrat to win Georgia was Bill, but Georgia has become more Conservative since.
New poll has Georgia leaning Clinton
In Georgia, Clinton leads, although within the margin of error. The poll has Clinton at 42.8%, Trump at 41.8% and 15.5% undecided, with a margin of error of 1.7%. Morning Consult’s previous poll, conducted last winter, had Trump at 45.3% and Clinton at 39.0%. 15.7% were undecided. That poll had a margin of error of 2%. The changing poll results moved the Peach State from the “Solid Trump” column to the “Leaning Clinton” column.
Georgia is a red state, but that is now in jeopardy. That fact that this is even up in the air is amazing. Great job, Trumpers.