Ray From Cleveland
Diamond Member
- Aug 16, 2015
- 97,215
- 37,439
Demand is actually a very big part of it. I can't imagine why anyone would say it's a small part of it. Basic economics.New data from the Energy Information Administration shows gasoline demand has decreased to the lowest level on record since February 2017, and the average price of gasoline has declined in tandem.
Gee I wonder why demand is down? Might be all those hybrid/electric cars...
That's only a small part of it:
•Supplies are up. Last week's EIA report showed U.S. crude oil inventories in what EIA called "the upper half of the average range for this time of year." Before the financial crisis, inventories often were at or below average.
On Oct. 16, EIA reported that the U.S. had increased its proved reserves of crude oil 2% last year.
Gas prices drop 26 cents in a week; some areas below $2 a gallon
Because demand is calculated after they get the results.
In the commodities market (which controls the prices) they either buy long contracts or short based on the news of the commodity. When it's understood that the reserves are higher than normal, it's a reason to buy short contracts meaning they expect the price to drop. The thing about the commodities market is you can bet either way and make the same amount of money. So unlike the stock market, they could care less which way it goes, as long as it goes in the direction they predicted.
For instance let's say that the people who own the land oil is drilled on in our country decide to stop production. That would cause prices to increase even if there is no real effect at the time. We could have the same amount of oil or gasoline that we did last week, but because of the news, investors would be buying long contracts which increases the price.