Official Coronavirus Thread - Up to the minute Coronavirus map and count.

[U2Edge]

Terrible death numbers for the past two days. A combined 4,866 dead over April 28 and April 29. I thought the fact that 1,150 people died on April 26 meant that the United States would soon be under a thousand deaths per day setting up May to be a month where the number of deaths was less than half of that of April. But the number of deaths on April 28 and April 29 are some of the largest that have been seen yet.

The number of new cases is up near 30,000 again. I was hoping to see that number drop below 10,000 for May. Now some states are planning to open up and I'm concerned its simply going to make these numbers worse and set the country back even further.

 

[james bond]

Something light to ease up on the death mongering.

What spouses found out about their partners by staying at home together more. Yeesh lol.!

17 People Who Learned Things About Their Partners During Quarantine That They Were NOT Ready For

"My husband thought that when a woman has a cold, somehow her vagina has a cold, too."

www.buzzfeed.com

 

[Pogo]

I guess I usually post these daily so we have a record but got busy with other stuff so here's the stats as of end-of-day yesterday April 30:

Country, Other Total Cases New Cases Total Deaths New Deaths Total Recovered Active Cases Serious, Critical Tot Cases/ 1M pop Deaths/ 1M pop Total Tests Tests/ 1M pop World 3,218,183 +81,678 228,029 +6,593 1,000,033 1,990,121 59,817 413 29.3 USA 1,064,194 +28,429 61,655 +2,390 147,411 855,128 18,671 3,215 186 6,139,911 18,549 Spain 236,899 +4,771 24,275 +453 132,929 79,695 7,764 5,067 519 1,414,477 30,253 Italy 203,591 +2,086 27,682 +323 71,252 104,657 1,795 3,367 458 1,910,761 31,603 France 166,420 +509 24,087 +427 48,228 94,105 4,207 2,550 369 463,662 7,103 UK 165,221 +4,076 26,097 +795 N/A 138,780 1,559 2,434 384 818,539 12,058 Germany 161,539 +1,627 6,467 +153 120,400 34,672 2,415 1,928 77 2,547,052 30,400 Turkey 117,589 +2,936 3,081 +89 44,040 70,468 1,574 1,394 37 991,613 11,757 Russia 99,399 +5,841 972 +105 10,286 88,141 2,300 681 7 3,303,717 22,638 Iran 93,657 +1,073 5,957 +80 73,791 13,909 2,965 1,115 71 453,386 5,398 China 82,858 +22 4,633 77,578 647 50 58 3 Brazil 79,361 +6,462 5,511 +448 34,132 39,718 8,318 373 26 339,552 1,597 Canada 51,597 +1,571 2,996 +137 20,327 28,274 557 1,367 79 754,800 19,999

 

[Pogo]

View attachment 329553
White supremacists?

Oh yeah that's brilliant. Those who ignore their own history.......... as in 1918, when the media was censored by the government (those of the UK, France, Germany --- and the US where the virus spawned) which led to some 2/3 of a million Americans, and many more worldwide, losing their lives to the virus, including Rump's own grandfather who dropped dead at the age of 49. That pandemic came to be called "Spanish" Flu, not because it was Spanish at all --- it wasn't --- but because censored media was restrained from disseminating the word about it. Except in Spain, where the media was free to tell the truth.

Fun fact: more US military personnel shipped to Europe died from that flu than died from military action. They brought it with them.

So yeah tell us about how you want to pull that shit all over again, DICKHEAD.

 

[Manonthestreet]

Abstract
This is a retrospective cohort study which included two cohorts (active and expired) of 780 cases with laboratory-confirmed infection of SARS-CoV-2 in Indonesia. Age, sex, co-morbidity, Vitamin D status, and disease outcome (mortality) were extracted from electronic medical records. The aim was to determine patterns of mortality and associated factors, with a special focus on Vitamin D status. Results revealed that majority of the death cases were male and older and had pre-existing condition and below normal Vitamin D serum level. Univariate analysis revealed that older and male cases with pre-existing condition and below normal Vitamin D levels were associated with increasing odds of death. When controlling for age, sex, and comorbidity, Vitamin D status is strongly associated with COVID-19 mortality outcome of cases.



Note: Funding: The study was not funded by external sources.
Patterns of COVID-19 Mortality and Vitamin D: An Indonesian Study by Prabowo Raharusun, Sadiah Priambada, Cahni Budiarti, Erdie Agung, Cipta Budi :: SSRN

 

[Flopper]

Academic Coronaskeptics in the Czech Republic
Posted on April 29, 2020 by Baron Bodissey

​

The following document was published at the website of Charles University in Prague. We owe Xanthippa a debt of gratitude for translating it from the original Czech. The translator also recommends an English-language analysis of it by a highly respected physicist and formal presidential advisor.
This is one of the most sensible things I’ve read about the coronavirus. It’s good to see something like this put out by fully credentialed academic experts (as opposed to TV talking head experts). It’s like a formal text version of the video by the two California doctors that went viral before YouTube took it down:

April 21, 2020
Challenge from 11 doctors of Charles University to the public
The Czech Republic has been on lockdown for almost six weeks under restrictive measures introduced in connection with the protection of citizens’ health during the COVID-19 epidemic. The government needs to be commended for the first swift and comprehensive measures, which have undoubtedly helped to manage the risks. At present, in light of current epidemiological data and the development of the epidemic, it is necessary to significantly accelerate the dismantling of these measures — for the sake of the health of citizens, economic and social stability and the prosperity of the country.
The common motivation for the emergence of this challenge is the protection of the health of the citizens of the Czech Republic, which is threatened by long-term restrictions, fears for our future, whether health-related or economic, as well as efforts to dispel the untruths and myths which are being spread about the epidemic. These blanket measures will not lead to the eradication of COVID-19 . Above all, it is necessary to create an immune response in the majority of the population, which will also protect vulnerable groups of the population, as defined by their diagnosis, not by their age.
In order to maintain the health and prosperity of our country, it is essential to:

• end the state of emergency by 30 April 2020;
• restore full access to healthcare for all citizens;
• resume classes at primary, secondary and higher learning institutions during May 2020;
• remove obstacles to the functioning of the economy, prevent the collapse that threatens significant parts of small and medium-sized enterprises and sole proprietors;
• gradually loosen state borders in coordination with neighboring countries, and especially with our neighbors and those with a similar epidemiological situation, such as Germany or Austria;
• adopt well-thought-out solutions instead of chaotic and contradictory measures.

Our conclusion is drawn from current epidemiological data, knowledge, facts, expertise and also from our professional and practical experience and knowledge.

1. IT IS NECESSARY TO RESUME FULL MEDICAL CARE FOR ALL CITIZENS
Since the beginning of March, there has been a service outage in healthcare facilities for seriously ill patients who are not COVID-19 positive. Preventive programs in cardiovascular care and oncology have been stopped. For example, the removal of transplant organs and a number of surgical procedures have been reduced.
Other casualties are caused both by postponing planned interventions and by patients’ fear of going to hospital in time. There are increasing cases of neglected abdominal pain (ruptured appendix and other sudden abdominal events), minor movement or speaking disorders (stroke) or shoulder or back pain (acute myocardial infarction), all due to patients’ fear of infection during treatment or hospitalization.
The reduction in the choice of health insurance — even with the proposed increase in payments for state insured persons — will lead to a deepening of underfunding of the entire health care system, and thus, in its consequences, to worsened care for patients with other, often more serious diseases than COVID-19. Unfortunately, victims of this lack of care will have been caused by anti-epidemic measures against the coronavirus.

2. THE HEALTHCARE SYSTEM DID NOT AND SHALL NOT COLLAPSE UNDER THE PRESSURE OF SUPPORTING COVID-19 PATIENTS
From Italy, we know that 80% of the population infected with COVID-19 present with mild symptoms that do not require hospitalization. Of the 20% experiencing more severe symptoms, 5% required intensive care. Here, proponents of a full quarantine of the nation and the closure of the world are basing their calculations on 50% mortality rate and three weeks’ hospitalization in intensive care units [per patient]. These figures only apply to the most severe forms of pneumonia and respiratory distress. However, we find these in only 25%-30% of intensive care patients, while overall, the most common length of stay of a patient with COVID-19 is between 8-10 days. This more than doubles the estimated capacity of the availability of intensive care units. In addition, up until today (April 21, 2020) we have not filled more than 45% of the capacity of intensive care units in the Czech Republic, so we have more than half of them in reserve!

Good stuff well put together read it all @

Academic Coronaskeptics in the Czech Republic | Gates of Vienna

gatesofvienna.net

There are several problems with just ignoring the virus and letting the population infection level rise to herd immunity. First, we know next to nothing about immunity to the virus. We know that there is some immunity when a person recovers but we don't know if that immunity will last only a few weeks or as much as a lifetime. Secondly we don't know at what point herd immunity becomes significant. 60% to 80% is a figure often kicked around but it could be higher or lower.

If we do nothing and let the virus run thru the population and there is no lasting immunity then we could kill most or the population. Also, the idea that we actually could have business as usually during an epidemic such as this when people know they can be safe by staying home and avoiding crowds makes the whole idea of let the virus run it's course to save the economy, problematic at best.

 

[Sun Devil 92]

Terrible death numbers for the past two days. A combined 4,866 dead over April 28 and April 29. I thought the fact that 1,150 people died on April 26 meant that the United States would soon be under a thousand deaths per day setting up May to be a month where the number of deaths was less than half of that of April. But the number of deaths on April 28 and April 29 are some of the largest that have been seen yet.

The number of new cases is up near 30,000 again. I was hoping to see that number drop below 10,000 for May. Now some states are planning to open up and I'm concerned its simply going to make these numbers worse and set the country back even further.

Who gives a fuck what YOU are concerned about.

 

[Sun Devil 92]

Academic Coronaskeptics in the Czech Republic
Posted on April 29, 2020 by Baron Bodissey

​

The following document was published at the website of Charles University in Prague. We owe Xanthippa a debt of gratitude for translating it from the original Czech. The translator also recommends an English-language analysis of it by a highly respected physicist and formal presidential advisor.
This is one of the most sensible things I’ve read about the coronavirus. It’s good to see something like this put out by fully credentialed academic experts (as opposed to TV talking head experts). It’s like a formal text version of the video by the two California doctors that went viral before YouTube took it down:

April 21, 2020
Challenge from 11 doctors of Charles University to the public
The Czech Republic has been on lockdown for almost six weeks under restrictive measures introduced in connection with the protection of citizens’ health during the COVID-19 epidemic. The government needs to be commended for the first swift and comprehensive measures, which have undoubtedly helped to manage the risks. At present, in light of current epidemiological data and the development of the epidemic, it is necessary to significantly accelerate the dismantling of these measures — for the sake of the health of citizens, economic and social stability and the prosperity of the country.
The common motivation for the emergence of this challenge is the protection of the health of the citizens of the Czech Republic, which is threatened by long-term restrictions, fears for our future, whether health-related or economic, as well as efforts to dispel the untruths and myths which are being spread about the epidemic. These blanket measures will not lead to the eradication of COVID-19 . Above all, it is necessary to create an immune response in the majority of the population, which will also protect vulnerable groups of the population, as defined by their diagnosis, not by their age.
In order to maintain the health and prosperity of our country, it is essential to:

• end the state of emergency by 30 April 2020;
• restore full access to healthcare for all citizens;
• resume classes at primary, secondary and higher learning institutions during May 2020;
• remove obstacles to the functioning of the economy, prevent the collapse that threatens significant parts of small and medium-sized enterprises and sole proprietors;
• gradually loosen state borders in coordination with neighboring countries, and especially with our neighbors and those with a similar epidemiological situation, such as Germany or Austria;
• adopt well-thought-out solutions instead of chaotic and contradictory measures.

Our conclusion is drawn from current epidemiological data, knowledge, facts, expertise and also from our professional and practical experience and knowledge.

1. IT IS NECESSARY TO RESUME FULL MEDICAL CARE FOR ALL CITIZENS
Since the beginning of March, there has been a service outage in healthcare facilities for seriously ill patients who are not COVID-19 positive. Preventive programs in cardiovascular care and oncology have been stopped. For example, the removal of transplant organs and a number of surgical procedures have been reduced.
Other casualties are caused both by postponing planned interventions and by patients’ fear of going to hospital in time. There are increasing cases of neglected abdominal pain (ruptured appendix and other sudden abdominal events), minor movement or speaking disorders (stroke) or shoulder or back pain (acute myocardial infarction), all due to patients’ fear of infection during treatment or hospitalization.
The reduction in the choice of health insurance — even with the proposed increase in payments for state insured persons — will lead to a deepening of underfunding of the entire health care system, and thus, in its consequences, to worsened care for patients with other, often more serious diseases than COVID-19. Unfortunately, victims of this lack of care will have been caused by anti-epidemic measures against the coronavirus.

2. THE HEALTHCARE SYSTEM DID NOT AND SHALL NOT COLLAPSE UNDER THE PRESSURE OF SUPPORTING COVID-19 PATIENTS
From Italy, we know that 80% of the population infected with COVID-19 present with mild symptoms that do not require hospitalization. Of the 20% experiencing more severe symptoms, 5% required intensive care. Here, proponents of a full quarantine of the nation and the closure of the world are basing their calculations on 50% mortality rate and three weeks’ hospitalization in intensive care units [per patient]. These figures only apply to the most severe forms of pneumonia and respiratory distress. However, we find these in only 25%-30% of intensive care patients, while overall, the most common length of stay of a patient with COVID-19 is between 8-10 days. This more than doubles the estimated capacity of the availability of intensive care units. In addition, up until today (April 21, 2020) we have not filled more than 45% of the capacity of intensive care units in the Czech Republic, so we have more than half of them in reserve!

Good stuff well put together read it all @

Academic Coronaskeptics in the Czech Republic | Gates of Vienna

gatesofvienna.net

There are several problems with just ignoring the virus and letting the population infection level rise to herd immunity. First, we know next to nothing about immunity to the virus. We know that there is some immunity when a person recovers but we don't know if that immunity will last only a few weeks or as much as a lifetime. Secondly we don't know at what point herd immunity becomes significant. 60% to 80% is a figure often kicked around but it could be higher or lower.

If we do nothing and let the virus run thru the population and there is no lasting immunity then we could kill most or the population. Also, the idea that we actually could have business as usually during an epidemic such as this when people know they can be safe by staying home and avoiding crowds makes the whole idea of let the virus run it's course to save the economy, problematic at best.

Not at all.

First, you don't "do nothing". That is stupid. You take precautions and you watch out for the most vulnerable.

You continue to collect data.

Notice, Sweden's numbers (while worse than Norway's) and approach have drawn praise from the WHO (admittedly a Chinese POS).

But, the WHO is correct in that the virus hasn't gone apeshit.

 

[Sun Devil 92]

WHO Praises Sweden For Resisting COVID-19 Lockdown

Sweden isn't resorting to enforcing social distancing or mandatory lockdown of the economy to stem the onslaught of COVID-19.

www.ibtimes.com

 

[Sun Devil 92]

USA already at 1,900.

North East showing 1,100.

Ill and MI combining for 250

South Dakota adds 4 to the total....of 17.

South Dakota cases at 63.

USA cases at 24,000 already.

Same players leading the way.

What the fuck have New Jersey and New York failed to learn.

 

[XponentialChaos]

New York is bad but still improving. That's good.

New Jersey appears to be getting worse.

Minnesota has been getting worse lately. The numbers aren't terrible, at least not yet, but increasing quickly. Keeping an eye on them.

 

[U2Edge]

Terrible death numbers for the past two days. A combined 4,866 dead over April 28 and April 29. I thought the fact that 1,150 people died on April 26 meant that the United States would soon be under a thousand deaths per day setting up May to be a month where the number of deaths was less than half of that of April. But the number of deaths on April 28 and April 29 are some of the largest that have been seen yet.

The number of new cases is up near 30,000 again. I was hoping to see that number drop below 10,000 for May. Now some states are planning to open up and I'm concerned its simply going to make these numbers worse and set the country back even further.

Who gives a fuck what YOU are concerned about.

Certainly YOU do given this post.

 

[Pogo]

I guess I usually post these daily so we have a record but got busy with other stuff so here's the stats as of end-of-day yesterday April 30:

Illinois had 2nd most new cases with over 2500. US still leads by far in daily cases with most of western Europe dropping behind emerging infection centers in Russia, Peru and Brazil.

Country, Other Total Cases New Cases Total Deaths New Deaths Total Recovered Active Cases Serious, Critical Tot Cases/ 1M pop Deaths/ 1M pop Total Tests Tests/ 1M pop World 3,218,183 +81,678 228,029 +6,593 1,000,033 1,990,121 59,817 413 29.3 USA 1,064,194 +28,429 61,655 +2,390 147,411 855,128 18,671 3,215 186 6,139,911 18,549 Spain 236,899 +4,771 24,275 +453 132,929 79,695 7,764 5,067 519 1,414,477 30,253 Italy 203,591 +2,086 27,682 +323 71,252 104,657 1,795 3,367 458 1,910,761 31,603 France 166,420 +509 24,087 +427 48,228 94,105 4,207 2,550 369 463,662 7,103 UK 165,221 +4,076 26,097 +795 N/A 138,780 1,559 2,434 384 818,539 12,058 Germany 161,539 +1,627 6,467 +153 120,400 34,672 2,415 1,928 77 2,547,052 30,400 Turkey 117,589 +2,936 3,081 +89 44,040 70,468 1,574 1,394 37 991,613 11,757 Russia 99,399 +5,841 972 +105 10,286 88,141 2,300 681 7 3,303,717 22,638 Iran 93,657 +1,073 5,957 +80 73,791 13,909 2,965 1,115 71 453,386 5,398 China 82,858 +22 4,633 77,578 647 50 58 3 Brazil 79,361 +6,462 5,511 +448 34,132 39,718 8,318 373 26 339,552 1,597 Canada 51,597 +1,571 2,996 +137 20,327 28,274 557 1,367 79 754,800 19,999

Correction for the record -- the above was the end-of-day totals for April 29, posted ON April 30.

Here's the actual final April 30 chart

Country, Other Total Cases New Cases Total Deaths New Deaths Total Recovered Active Cases Serious, Critical Tot Cases/ 1M pop Deaths/ 1M pop Total Tests Tests/ 1M pop World 3,304,220 +86,037 233,830 +5,801 1,039,058 2,031,332 50,956 424 30.0 USA 1,095,023 +30,829 63,856 +2,201 152,324 878,843 15,226 3,308 193 6,391,887 19,311 Spain 239,639 +2,740 24,543 +268 137,984 77,112 2,676 5,125 525 1,455,306 31,126 Italy 205,463 +1,872 27,967 +285 75,945 101,551 1,694 3,398 463 1,979,217 32,735 UK 171,253 +6,032 26,771 +674 N/A 144,138 1,559 2,523 394 901,905 13,286 France 167,178 +758 24,376 +289 49,476 93,326 4,019 2,561 373 724,574 11,101 Germany 163,009 +1,470 6,623 +156 123,500 32,886 2,415 1,946 79 2,547,052 30,400 Turkey 120,204 +2,615 3,174 +93 48,886 68,144 1,514 1,425 38 1,033,617 12,255 Russia 106,498 +7,099 1,073 +101 11,619 93,806 2,300 730 7 3,490,000 23,915 Iran 94,640 +983 6,028 +71 75,103 13,509 2,976 1,127 72 463,295 5,516 Brazil 85,380 +6,019 5,901 +390 35,935 43,544 8,318 402 28 339,552 1,597 China 82,862 +4 4,633 77,610 619 41 58 3 Canada 53,236 +1,639 3,184 +188 21,423 28,629 557 1,411 84 806,449 21,367

 

[Deplorable Yankee]

Blah blah blah blah

 

[U2Edge]

TOTAL NUMBER AND DAILY RATE OF INCREASE IN CORONAVIRUS INFECTIONS BY DATE:

March 24, 2020 - United States - 54,916
March 25, 2020 - United States - 68,489 - 24.7% increase
March 26, 2020 - United States - 85,594 - 24.97% increase
March 27, 2020 - United States - 104,256 - 21.8% increase
March 28, 2020 - United States - 123,776 - 18.7% increase
March 29, 2020 - United States - 142,224 - 14.9% increase
March 30, 2020 - United States - 164,266 - 15.5% increase
March 31, 2020 - United States - 188,578 - 14.8% increase
April 1, 2020 - United States - 215,300 - 14.2% increase
April 2, 2020 - United States - 245,193 - 13.9% increase
April 3, 2020 - United States - 277,475 - 13.2% increase
April 4, 2020 - United States - 311,635 - 12.3% increase
April 5, 2020 - United States - 336,830 - 8.1% increase
April 6, 2020 - United States - 367,629 - 9.1% increase
April 7, 2020 - United States - 400,540 - 9.0% increase
April 8, 2020 - United States - 435,160 - 8.6% increase
April 9, 2020 - United States - 468,895 - 7.8% increase
April 10, 2020 - United States - 502,876 - 7.3% increase
April 11, 2020 - United States - 533,115 - 6.0% increase
April 12, 2020 - United States - 560,433 - 5.1% increase
April 13, 2020 - United States - 587,155 - 4.8% increase
April 14, 2020 - United States - 614,246 - 4.6% increase
April 15, 2020 - United States - 644,089 - 4.9% increase
April 16, 2020 - United States - 678,144 - 5.3% increase
April 17, 2020 - United States - 710,272 - 4.7% increase
April 18, 2020 - United States - 738,923 - 4.0% increase
April 19, 2020 - United States - 764,265 - 3.4% increase
April 20, 2020 - United States - 792,913 - 3.8% increase
April 21, 2020 - United States - 819,175 - 3.3% increase
April 22, 2020 - United States - 849,092 - 3.7% increase
April 23, 2020 - United States - 886,709 - 4.4% increase
April 24, 2020 - United States - 925,758 - 4.4% increase
April 25, 2020 - United States - 960,896 - 3.8% increase
April 26, 2020 - United States - 987,322 - 2.8% increase
April 27, 2020 - United States - 1,010,507 - 2.4% increase
April 28, 2020 - United States - 1,035,765 - 2.5% increase
April 29, 2020 - United States - 1,064,572 - 2.8% increase
April 30, 2020 - United States - 1,095,210 - 2.9% increase


TOTAL NUMBER AND DAILY RATE OF INCREASE IN CORONAVIRUS DEATHS BY DATE:

March 26, 2020 - United States - 1,000
April 6, 2020 - United States - 10,000 - 900% increase
April 19, 2020 - United States - 40,000 - 300% increase
April 23, 2020 - United States - 50,243 - 25.6% increase
April 24, 2020 - United States - 52,217 - 3.9% increase
April 25, 2020 - United States - 54,265 - 3.9% increase
April 26, 2020 - United States - 55,415 - 2.1% increase
April 27, 2020 - United States - 56,803 - 2.5% increase
April 28, 2020 - United States - 59,266 - 4.3% increase
April 29, 2020 - United States - 61,669 - 4.1% increase
April 30, 2020 - United States - 63,861 - 3.6% increase

 

[Deplorable Yankee]

People are dying
How dare you question the cause as being something other than covid
MUH MORAL AVACADO KAVANUGH OUTRAGE!

 

[Deplorable Yankee]

YouTube's gonnaban that ...for our own good

 

[Sun Devil 92]

About 1,000 deaths in the U.S. so far.

Like a broken record.....

New York and New Jersey ==> 60%

New cases are increasing.....East Coast in general is having a bad day.

North Dakota adds 4 for a total of 21. Glad everyone is eyeballing that HOT SPOT

Sweden at 60 deaths.

 

[XponentialChaos]

Almost 36,000 new cases today. That's our second highest day. Not good.

Still seeing lots of the hard-hit states increasing. A bit uncharacteristic of their previous numbers, but Tennessee showed a big increase relative to their previous number of cases. 11% increase in number of cases in just one day. That's not a good sign, but at least deaths are still low.

The infection rate among those tested is still decreasing, but it's decreasing very slowly while deaths and new cases pile up.

I was hoping we were turning the corner when we showed some declining results less than a week ago. Unfortunately, things aren't looking so good any more.

 

[Flopper]

Almost 36,000 new cases today. That's our second highest day. Not good.

Still seeing lots of the hard-hit states increasing. A bit uncharacteristic of their previous numbers, but Tennessee showed a big increase relative to their previous number of cases. 11% increase in number of cases in just one day. That's not a good sign, but at least deaths are still low.

The infection rate among those tested is still decreasing, but it's decreasing very slowly while deaths and new cases pile up.

I was hoping we were turning the corner when we showed some declining results less than a week ago. Unfortunately, things aren't looking so good any more.

Maybe next week. Keep in mind that more testing will increase the number of cases. In my state, the number of new cases and deaths will determine when we can move to phase 2 which will determine when I can eat a meal that doesn't come out of a cardboard box and can go to Happy Hour every Friday. God, I miss that.