Kondor3
Cafeteria Centrist
Iran's Muslim neighbors and peers, and most of Europe, lack the balls to go to war over the Iranian situation.
If war is coming, it will be the US on its own, against the Iranians, and whomever lines up behind them.
I seriously doubt that either Russia or China will wish to actually go to war over a pissant Muslim shithole like Iran, but one never knows.
I have no solid evidence to back this up, but my intuition tells me that the Russians are already badly over-extended and remain very ill-prepared, while the Chinese lack the ability to project power that far without grave risk to their eastern and southern flanks.
Shooting will probably break out, the next time the Iranians phukk with a Western naval vessel, but, if war comes over that, it will probably be a brief, undeclared, coastal thing, with a few air warfare sorties into their interior, but nothing decisive nor sustained, and the whole thing would probably peter-out within a fortnight or two...
If war is coming, it will be the US on its own, against the Iranians, and whomever lines up behind them.
I seriously doubt that either Russia or China will wish to actually go to war over a pissant Muslim shithole like Iran, but one never knows.
I have no solid evidence to back this up, but my intuition tells me that the Russians are already badly over-extended and remain very ill-prepared, while the Chinese lack the ability to project power that far without grave risk to their eastern and southern flanks.
Shooting will probably break out, the next time the Iranians phukk with a Western naval vessel, but, if war comes over that, it will probably be a brief, undeclared, coastal thing, with a few air warfare sorties into their interior, but nothing decisive nor sustained, and the whole thing would probably peter-out within a fortnight or two...