kaz
Diamond Member
- Dec 1, 2010
- 78,025
- 22,327
- Thread starter
- #181
Inflation will increase if you don't increase the money supply? I don't mean this insulting, I really don't, but you should read more about the gold standard. It supports everything you've been arguing in this discussion so far. I think you just need to understand it better. I was the same, I was in another discussion on another board about the Fed and the gold standard came up. I realized I didn't understand the points being made well enough, so I went off and read about it. Lightbulbs went off that was the solution to the problem of the Fed stealing from us.I've heard sound arguments that restricting the supply of liquidity to just gold in the economy might hinder growth, so that is sort of a trick question. I think Todd is trying to trip us up, he knows quite a bit about what he is talking about here. Gold bugs can be a bit unrealistic. (OTH, maybe hindering growth, i.e., placing limits on growth is fates/divinity's way of saying, that is all the planet can take? That's my spiritual and philosophical side.)For example, loans for mortgages based on money added to the money supply through Fed money provided to banks
The US economy is much larger than the gold supply of the entire planet by now. That said, I'm not opposed to a commodity based currency however. Even one based on the labor and goods, which is the full faith and credit of the American people, would be good enough.
"The reverse of the notes were printed with green ink, and were thus called "greenbacks" by the public, being considered equivalent to the Demand Notes already known as such. These Notes were issued by the United States to pay for labor and goods.[3][6]
Earlier Secretary Chase had the slogan, "In God We Trust" engraved on U. S. coins. During a cabinet meeting there was some discussion of adding it to the U. S. Notes as well. Lincoln, however, humorously remarked, "If you are going to put a legend on the greenbacks, I would suggest that of Peter and Paul, 'Silver and gold I have none, but such as I have I give to thee.'"[7]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenback_(1860s_money)
When they eventually replace the dollar, it will either be with a new debt based fiat currency, or, if things go against them and the other side gets it's way, a free floating exchange basket of currencies based on commodities. Who knows? Maybe global civilization will collapse in a nuke exchange and make the whole thing pointless and academic, these maniacs are playing with fire.
1) Just because I advocate going back to the gold standard doesn't mean I want to go back to the dollar value that was then. It would in fact not work, you have to set the dollar value at the total US dollar money supply / the amount of gold held by the US government. The trick then is you freeze it there
2) You actually just made the same argument that Todd's making that you're correctly refuting. How would restricting the nominal amount of money available make people not achieve pro-growth strategies? How do decreasing real values of nominal currency spur growth? It doesn't make sense
All the gold standard does is prevent the Fed from what it's doing, printing money and stealing from the American people.
Suppose you're in a game of monopoly. Someone just gets all the money from another game of monopoly and starts buying up your and other player's property with that money. They devalued everyone's property and they took property without creating anything. That's what the Fed does.
As for "I'm not opposed to a commodity based currency however. Even one based on the labor and goods, which is the full faith and credit of the American people, would be good enough." Bad idea. That's what we have now. It's what allows the Fed to do what it does
I'm not sure how I argued Todd's argument about restricting the nominal values. I guess my mid-morning migraine is interfering with my ability to communicate effectively.
However, as I see it, one of two things will happen.
If you restrict the money supply as the economy grows, the requirements for liquidity will necessarily increase. If you do not expand the supply of money as the needs of the economy require, you will see inflationary pressure on the currency.
I suppose your scenario would work, but that inflationary pressure on the currency would seem to me to result in a corresponding pressure that would hamper growth. Haven't we always seen inflation hamper growth?
I am NOT however for decreasing nominal values of the currency. That is why I tried to make clear, and others have been trying to tell you, that using gold as the backer of currency might not work. Unless you are fine with a slowly decreasing nominal value, or introducing a basket of commodities like silver, platinum, or other financial wizardry to back each dollar. Gold is relatively finite. If you are willing to have your growth as finite as your ability to mine or find more of it, or decrease the nominal value of the currency by introducing more, the only logical answer is inflation and artificially slowing growth.
I have even heard a unique proposal that each unit of currency should be backed by units of energy. If you have ever looked at the growth of a nation versus it's use of energy, you will see they are intricately linked. Money is after all, in it's purest form, energy. In the modern age, few could quibble with trading their currency in for . . . .
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This, in the end, is what we are really talking about. Man hours of labor. Industrial production of robots. Trucks and ships hauling freight. Sunshine growing crops. When ever you trade your currency, it reflects a trade of energy.
So why not instead of having a debt based currency, have a commodity based currency that reflects the reality of the world? I realize of course, this would give energy companies tremendously much more power. I think this is where things are headed now. This is why I have always liked the idea of energy co-operatives better than profit based energy corporations.
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As for the money supply, Investors aren't fooled by gimmicks. Growing or shrinking the money supply doesn't change the real value in the economy. The value of a dollar is the real value in the economy divided by the number of nominal dollars in the economy. All raising the money supply does is change the nominal value of the money in the economy proportionally. It doesn't create value
Todd is arguing that adding nominal dollars somehow leads to the creation of value. It doesn't. Your argument was that restricting growth of nominal dollars harms the economy or I misunderstood it. It doesn't. That's what I was saying
Todd is arguing that adding nominal dollars somehow leads to the creation of value. It doesn't.
If the price level increases at the same rate that the Fed creates money, no value is created.
If the price level increases at a lower rate, value is created.
If the price level increases at a higher rate, value is destroyed.
The price level increases at the same rate all else held equal, the second and third never change. No one is fooled by the addition of currency without the addition of value.
You're just making false cause and effect fallacies that other things happening in the economy that do affect economic value have to do with the issuance of nominal dollars