Freewill
Platinum Member
- Oct 26, 2011
- 31,158
- 5,073
- 1,130
- Thread starter
- #41
Following the logic that set the eligibility date at inception, today it should be at least 75.
Age 75? ridiculous. Even a truck driver at 62 can be falling apart. Eyesight, back, hips........A desk job with 3-4 hour stop/go commute can wipe out many by 65, sciatica, hip, knees. you folks is crazy.
When age 65 was decided upon, life expectancy was about 50. Now life expectancy is around 80.
You can not expect a fund survive when the 'takers' outnumber the 'givers'.
If you can see that don't you think accuaries can see the same problem? Back when SS started there certainly were a lot of people who collect a lot more then they ever put in. But that is natural when something starts new. That time has passed those who are lining up for SS paid their entire lives. They were promised a payment in return, now is their time.
I went through the numbers before. Yes, the life expectancy at birth when SS started was lower then it is today. But the life expectancy at 65 is approximately the same. In colonial times if a woman could make it through her child bearing years she could expect a long life, not much different then today.
Never the less actuaries look at these numbers, they recognize a problem, IN THE FUTURE, and steps will be taken.
Actually, this inspired me to do a little looking, and from what I found, life expectancy at 65 has gone up a decent amount since 1939, just a few years after the Social Security Act was passed. The numbers I found show life expectancy from birth in 1939 was about 64, while in 2014 it was about 77. In 1939 a 65 year old was expected to live another 12-14 years, while today the average is 19-21 years.
Here are the sites I got the numbers from, the CDC and SSA :
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/lifetables/life39-41_acturial.pdf
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/hus/hus14.pdf#016
Calculators: Life Expectancy
So we have a 13 year increase in life expectancy from birth from just after the inception of SS and a 7 year increase in life expectancy from age 65 from the same point. A 7 year increase in retirement age from the original age seems reasonable based on those numbers, particularly if it would help with keeping the program solvent.
While 7 years isn't a short period were you surprised it wasn't more? To hear most folks you would think people were all living to 100.