What's Really Going on in Keystone State

[Bush92]

New Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll shows Clinton ahead in Pennsylvania
Do we have any posters out there from Pennsylvania that can give a grassroots snap shot of what's happening out there for election 2016. Latest poll for presidential preference has a margin of error of 5.5% making it utterly useless as a predictor of possible outcome. I think Trump should do well with blue collar industrial Democrats who have lost their jobs due to poor trade policies. Also Catholics should break Trump as socially radical cultural policies of Democratic Party would turn them pro family Republican.

 

[owebo]

New Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll shows Clinton ahead in Pennsylvania
Do we have any posters out there from Pennsylvania that can give a grassroots snap shot of what's happening out there for election 2016. Latest poll for presidential preference has a margin of error of 5.5% making it utterly useless as a predictor of possible outcome. I think Trump should do well with blue collar industrial Democrats who have lost their jobs due to poor trade policies. Also Catholics should break Trump as socially radical cultural policies of Democratic Party would turn them pro family Republican.

Philadelphia is a democrat 'faucet' city where voting precincts can be pushed well beyond 110% of,registered voters without question....democrats also deploy voter suppression there....

 

[Bush92]

New Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll shows Clinton ahead in Pennsylvania
Do we have any posters out there from Pennsylvania that can give a grassroots snap shot of what's happening out there for election 2016. Latest poll for presidential preference has a margin of error of 5.5% making it utterly useless as a predictor of possible outcome. I think Trump should do well with blue collar industrial Democrats who have lost their jobs due to poor trade policies. Also Catholics should break Trump as socially radical cultural policies of Democratic Party would turn them pro family Republican.

Philadelphia is a democrat 'faucet' city where voting precincts can be pushed well beyond 110% of,registered voters without question....democrats also deploy voter suppression there....

View attachment 90885

Oh I agree. That's why voter ID laws are so important.

 

[JakeStarkey]

RCP averages put PA ahead this morning 6.6% .

Bush mistakes Clinton's lead for that of Dem candidate for Senate.

Clinton, according to Bush's link, is: "The survey, conducted Sept. 12-16, shows Clinton leading the presidential race here with support from 47 percent of likely voters who say they intend to vote for her or are leaning that way. Trump is at 38 percent, while 11 percent say they'd pick neither of the major-party choices, and 4 percent are not sure.

Clinton's lead narrows slightly to 8 percent when third-party candidates are included, with 40 percent for her, 32 percent for Trump, 14 percent for Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and 5 percent for Green Party nominee Jill Stein."

Bush's links put Clinton solidly ahead and beyond the MOE.

 

[Bush92]

RCP averages put PA ahead this morning 6.6% .

Bush mistakes Clinton's lead for that of Dem candidate for Senate.

Clinton, according to Bush's link, is: "The survey, conducted Sept. 12-16, shows Clinton leading the presidential race here with support from 47 percent of likely voters who say they intend to vote for her or are leaning that way. Trump is at 38 percent, while 11 percent say they'd pick neither of the major-party choices, and 4 percent are not sure.

Clinton's lead narrows slightly to 8 percent when third-party candidates are included, with 40 percent for her, 32 percent for Trump, 14 percent for Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and 5 percent for Green Party nominee Jill Stein."

Bush's links put Clinton solidly ahead and beyond the MOE.

But the poll is unreliable because of 5.5 MOE and thus it skews the Real Clear Average toward Clinton. I think Trump is most likely leading in Pennsylvania.

 

[JakeStarkey]

RCP averages put PA ahead this morning 6.6% .

Bush mistakes Clinton's lead for that of Dem candidate for Senate.

Clinton, according to Bush's link, is: "The survey, conducted Sept. 12-16, shows Clinton leading the presidential race here with support from 47 percent of likely voters who say they intend to vote for her or are leaning that way. Trump is at 38 percent, while 11 percent say they'd pick neither of the major-party choices, and 4 percent are not sure.

Clinton's lead narrows slightly to 8 percent when third-party candidates are included, with 40 percent for her, 32 percent for Trump, 14 percent for Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and 5 percent for Green Party nominee Jill Stein."

Bush's links put Clinton solidly ahead and beyond the MOE.

But the poll is unreliable because of 5.5 MOE and thus it skews the Real Clear Average toward Clinton. I think Trump is most likely leading in Pennsylvania.

The poll is reliable in that the numbers are 9% and 8% in 2-way and 4-way races, far beyond the 5.5 MOE. Using your logic, she may be 14.5 and 13.5 ahead of Trump. These are solid numbers, and you will have to live with them until new polls emerge.

 

[aaronleland]

Everybody I've spoken to thinks Trump is a joke, but are holding their noses while voting for Hillary.

 

[JakeStarkey]

Everybody I've spoken to thinks Trump is a joke, but are holding their noses while voting for Hillary.

She is going to take Texas by twenty points! (I am imitating Picaro and Bush and Tycho).

 

[Bush92]

Everybody I've spoken to thinks Trump is a joke, but are holding their noses while voting for Hillary.

You have a small group of friends.