Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

[ozzmdj]

Tuesday, September 15, 2009 -4.......Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports™

 

[Sarah G]

He's up two points on Real Clear since his speech.

 

[ozzmdj]

Wednesday, September 16, 2009 -6.......Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports™

 

[Vast LWC]

Gallup: . . . . . . Approve: 51 / Dissapprove: 41 / Spread: +10 (Newest: 9/13-9/15)
Rasmussen Reports . . 49 / 51 / -2
Bloomberg . . . . . 56 / 37 / +19
CNN/Opinion Research . . 58 / 40 / +18
USA Today/Gallup . . . 54 / 43 / +11
ABC News/Wash Post . . 54 / 43 / +11 (Oldest: 9/10-9/12)

Once again, Rasmussen is the outlier.

Without Rasmussen, the average in the polls since 9/10 is:

Approve: . . 54.6
Disapprove:. . 40.8
Spread: . . . +13.8
Which puts Rasmussen well outside the margin of error. Again.

 

[DiveCon]

Gallup: . . . . . . Approve: 51 / Dissapprove: 41 / Spread: +10 (Newest: 9/13-9/15)
Rasmussen Reports . . 49 / 51 / -2
Bloomberg . . . . . 56 / 37 / +19
CNN/Opinion Research . . 58 / 40 / +18
USA Today/Gallup . . . 54 / 43 / +11
ABC News/Wash Post . . 54 / 43 / +11 (Oldest: 9/10-9/12)

Once again, Rasmussen is the outlier.

Without Rasmussen, the average in the polls since 9/10 is:

Approve: . . 54.6
Disapprove:. . 40.8
Spread: . . . +13.8
Which puts Rasmussen well outside the margin of error. Again.

sorry, but rasmussen is within the margin of error for all of those polls but bloomberg and cnn

 

[rightwinger]

Polls???

Who cares about polls when you are 3+ years from the election? Obama needs to ignore the weekly polls and do what needs to be done.

The biggest poll is that nobody has a republican challenger that can go toe to toe with Obama. The biggest poll will come in 2012. The republicans are still a party in political exile. Obama beat the best they had to offer by a 2:1 margin last go round.

This time, they don't have a candidate of the calibre of John McCain. They will get beaten worse

 

[Vast LWC]

Gallup: . . . . . . Approve: 51 / Dissapprove: 41 / Spread: +10 (Newest: 9/13-9/15)
Rasmussen Reports . . 49 / 51 / -2
Bloomberg . . . . . 56 / 37 / +19
CNN/Opinion Research . . 58 / 40 / +18
USA Today/Gallup . . . 54 / 43 / +11
ABC News/Wash Post . . 54 / 43 / +11 (Oldest: 9/10-9/12)

Once again, Rasmussen is the outlier.

Without Rasmussen, the average in the polls since 9/10 is:

Approve: . . 54.6
Disapprove:. . 40.8
Spread: . . . +13.8
Which puts Rasmussen well outside the margin of error. Again.

sorry, but rasmussen is within the margin of error for all of those polls but bloomberg and cnn

Ummm, how is 12 points within the Margin of Error?

 

[Annie]

Polls???

Who cares about polls when you are 3+ years from the election? Obama needs to ignore the weekly polls and do what needs to be done.

The biggest poll is that nobody has a republican challenger that can go toe to toe with Obama. The biggest poll will come in 2012. The republicans are still a party in political exile. Obama beat the best they had to offer by a 2:1 margin last go round.

This time, they don't have a candidate of the calibre of John McCain. They will get beaten worse

I agree. Obama and minions should ignore the tea parties, town halls, letters, polls, etc.

 

[Vast LWC]

Polls???

Who cares about polls when you are 3+ years from the election? Obama needs to ignore the weekly polls and do what needs to be done.

The biggest poll is that nobody has a republican challenger that can go toe to toe with Obama. The biggest poll will come in 2012. The republicans are still a party in political exile. Obama beat the best they had to offer by a 2:1 margin last go round.

This time, they don't have a candidate of the calibre of John McCain. They will get beaten worse

I agree. Obama and minions should ignore the tea parties, town halls, letters, polls, etc.

And why not? Bush did, and he not only got re-elected for it, but the Republican Congress did too.

 

[rightwinger]

Polls???

Who cares about polls when you are 3+ years from the election? Obama needs to ignore the weekly polls and do what needs to be done.

The biggest poll is that nobody has a republican challenger that can go toe to toe with Obama. The biggest poll will come in 2012. The republicans are still a party in political exile. Obama beat the best they had to offer by a 2:1 margin last go round.

This time, they don't have a candidate of the calibre of John McCain. They will get beaten worse

I agree. Obama and minions should ignore the tea parties, town halls, letters, polls, etc.

Yes...and he should also ignore the armed republicans outside his speaking engagements, the rightwingers forbidding their children from hearing a speech on the value of education, the republicans swearing he was born in another country and those who claim he is a communist

 

[Vast LWC]

But, since the vast majority of Polls say that he's doing quite well in his Job Approval Ratings, better than Reagan's first term average, He doesn't really need to ignore them, does he?

Ronald Reagan Average Approval for first term - January 1981-January 1989: 52.8

Presidential Approval Ratings -- Gallup Historical Statistics and Trends

Current Obama Average Approval Rating (including Outliers): 53.1

RealClearPolitics - Election Other - President Obama Job Approval

 

[DiveCon]

Gallup: . . . . . . Approve: 51 / Dissapprove: 41 / Spread: +10 (Newest: 9/13-9/15)
Rasmussen Reports . . 49 / 51 / -2
Bloomberg . . . . . 56 / 37 / +19
CNN/Opinion Research . . 58 / 40 / +18
USA Today/Gallup . . . 54 / 43 / +11
ABC News/Wash Post . . 54 / 43 / +11 (Oldest: 9/10-9/12)

Once again, Rasmussen is the outlier.

Without Rasmussen, the average in the polls since 9/10 is:

Approve: . . 54.6
Disapprove:. . 40.8
Spread: . . . +13.8
Which puts Rasmussen well outside the margin of error. Again.

sorry, but rasmussen is within the margin of error for all of those polls but bloomberg and cnn

Ummm, how is 12 points within the Margin of Error?

its not 12 points

 

[Vast LWC]

The spread of the nearest poll is +10

Rasmussen is -2.

That's 12 points.

If it were simply the approval rating, and didn't include the disapproval rating, you would be correct. But Rasmussen is off on both, thus the spread comes into play.

Admittedly, the MoE on the spread, is the MoE of both the Approval and Dissapproval ratings combined. But that would still only be 6 points, assuming an MoE of +/- 3 points, which is standard.

 

[Vast LWC]

But even if one were to take ONLY the approval numbers, all but one of the other polls are outside the MoE of +/- 3 Points for Rasmussen.

 

[DiveCon]

The spread of the nearest poll is +10

Rasmussen is -2.

That's 12 points.

If it were simply the approval rating, and didn't include the disapproval rating, you would be correct. But Rasmussen is off on both, thus the spread comes into play.

Admittedly, the MoE on the spread, is the MoE of both the Approval and Dissapproval ratings combined. But that would still only be 6 points, assuming an MoE of +/- 3 points, which is standard.

forget the spread
because they don't cover the 100% of the spectrum
go on the approval only
they are within 4% points of the rest

 

[Vast LWC]

The spread of the nearest poll is +10

Rasmussen is -2.

That's 12 points.

If it were simply the approval rating, and didn't include the disapproval rating, you would be correct. But Rasmussen is off on both, thus the spread comes into play.

Admittedly, the MoE on the spread, is the MoE of both the Approval and Dissapproval ratings combined. But that would still only be 6 points, assuming an MoE of +/- 3 points, which is standard.

forget the spread
because they don't cover the 100% of the spectrum
go on the approval only
they are within 4% points of the rest

No, they're not. 54 minus 49 is 5.

 

[DiveCon]

The spread of the nearest poll is +10

Rasmussen is -2.

That's 12 points.

If it were simply the approval rating, and didn't include the disapproval rating, you would be correct. But Rasmussen is off on both, thus the spread comes into play.

Admittedly, the MoE on the spread, is the MoE of both the Approval and Dissapproval ratings combined. But that would still only be 6 points, assuming an MoE of +/- 3 points, which is standard.

forget the spread
because they don't cover the 100% of the spectrum
go on the approval only
they are within 4% points of the rest

No, they're not. 54 minus 49 is 5.

oops, i made a math error

still 5 points it is not that far out
and could easily be explained by the survey method
likely voters vs all adults

 

[skookerasbil]

DISAPPROVE rate update s0ns................................

 

[skookerasbil]

By the way.........how hysterical is it that back just about 10 months ago, the k00ks flipped out every time RCP showed any number of polls showing McCain closer than Rasmussen did. The k00ks were falling all over themselves to post up the Rasmussen poll.............which turned out to be spot on!!!


Now of course, the k00ks call Rasmussen an outlier!!!!







OK................

 

[rightwinger]

By the way.........how hysterical is it that back just about 10 months ago, the k00ks flipped out every time RCP showed any number of polls showing McCain closer than Rasmussen did. The k00ks were falling all over themselves to post up the Rasmussen poll.............which turned out to be spot on!!!


Now of course, the k00ks call Rasmussen an outlier!!!!







OK................

Rassmussen Polls???


Nobody cares s0n !!!