Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

David Littleman????
BTW - his poll numbers have been improving not slipping.

HOWEVER: Trying to corrolate approval numbers today with Obama's potential for re-election is foolish. It assumes a Republican candidate can achieve a higher rating.

Right now - there is no challenger to weigh Obama's numbers against (or the challengers who have been suggested lag far behind.)

A voter could approve of Obama and STILL vote for another candidate IF they approve of that other candidate more and someone who reports disapproving of Obama could still vote for him if they disapprove of his opponent even more.

Until you have someone to compare Obama's numbers with - they are of little value. They may indicate the level of popularity his opponent would need to achieve to have a fighting chance, but not much more.

Precisely. The only thing approval rating polls are good for are for comparison to other presidents at the same point in their presidencies.

Obama's doing quite well where that is concerned, on par with Reagan.

Of course George Bush was doing better at this point, but that was because of 9/11.
 
Likely Voters are NOT diggin' the 0ssiah...

Again, those are "likely voters" according to Rasmussen. I have not seen any explanation at how they arrive at their "likely voters" figure.

The figures Ozz is posting are simply people who "strongly" feel one way or the other.

Meaning all the hyper-partisans.

As far as the total average numbers, they are up another .1%.

Of course as far as polling goes, that is not enough of a change to mean anything at all, but it is certainly not an indicator of a lessening in Obama popularity.
 
Last edited:
just keeping telling yourself that - evidence be damned. Did you try blowing out ALL the candles when you said it?

The evidence its there, nobraininnahead... Do you have any evidence that shows likely voters think Barry is doing better every day?

Just because you dismiss evidence that doesn't agree with your leftist way of thinking doesn't mean the rest of us have to...
 
An interesting note from Rasmussen's site concerning methodology:

Rasmussen Reports determines its partisan weighting targets through a dynamic weighting system that takes into account the state’s voting history, national trends, and recent polling in a particular state or geographic area.

And

Rasmussen Reports uses an automated polling methodology while some firms use operator-assisted techniques. Generally, these different methodologies generate about the same level of approval for different political figures, but the automated technology generally registers a higher level of disapproval...

...Rasmussen Reports surveys tend to have lower levels of no opinions and higher levels of unfavorable opinions for political figures.

And, as nodog correctly pointed out, "Likely Voter" scenarios are useless without an actual opponent.
 
Last edited:
His methods are accurate...

A Likely Voter boils down to someone who is likely to go and vote and not sit home...

As I said previously, you can bet that Barry is interested in what people who are real voters think...

Guarenteed....
 
It is also important to note that:

The final tally in the 2008 presidential elections had Obama ahead by 7.3%

Here are the closest results:

NBC News/WSJ: 8% (0.7% off)
CNN: 7% (0.3% off)
Rasmussen: 6% (1.3% off)
Foxnews: 7% (0.3% off)
Pew: 6% (1.3% off)

RCP Average: 7.6% (0.3% off)

Sources: Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

and

RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama

Which makes Rasmussen far from the most accurate, even among likely voters.

The most accurate award for 2008 was actually a 3 way tie between CNN, Foxnews (go figure), and the RCP average.
 
Last edited:
And, as nodog correctly pointed out, "Likely Voter" scenarios are useless without an actual opponent.

So you disagree with Rassmussen's methodology, but agree with the ones who weigh heavily to the left based on past voting results?

I do not. I agree with the average of all polls, which, by the way, had a much better result on last years elections, as seen above.
 
any poll touting "rass" accuracy also has to be one that ignored the consistent slant in the state polls

who cares

folks who try to gin up a movement by pretending that a movement is already under way are a dime a dozen - and boring.

All means nothing until a potential opponent can muster up more than 21% anyway.
 

Forum List

Back
Top